Championship prediction and preview: Swansea City modest favorites to beat Bristol City

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Sat 18.July
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Liberty Stadium (20827 seats)

It's advantage Swansea City so far with their 8th position in the Championship table, welcoming Bristol City who are placed 10th.

It's no vacation for neither Swansea nor Bristol City as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

Bristol City are still fighting for top positions and their benefits.

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Swansea City form and stats

9 victories, 5 draws and 8 defeats. That’s what Swansea City have to build on here at Liberty Stadium in the Championship.

The home team returns to Liberty Stadium after being equal after 90 minutes with Nottingham Forest (placed 5th) on their last time out; the Championship game ended 2-2. Before that game, the home loss against Leeds United with the scoreline 0-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Swansea have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 17 games) they have won eight times, drawn five and lost four.

Swansea are traveling soon after this match as the Championship match at Reading awaits in four days.

Swansea has scored 26 league goals at home this season, in 22 matches. Swansea City have conceded 23 in these home matches.

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Bristol City form and stats

9 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses. That’s the product of Bristol City playing as the away team in the Championship this season.

There were no winners in Bristol's previous match, a Championship home game that ended 1-1 vs Stoke City (placed 18th). Ahead of that match was the victory versus Middlesbrough at their stadium, the result 3-1.

Bristol are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is five wins, three draws and five defeats. From a total of 13 matches.

After this away game Bristol City return home for a Championship game against Preston North End. That game is only four sleeps after this.

Bristol have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 22 league away games 30 goals have been scored. As opposed to that, Bristol have seen the ball go into their own net 31 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Bristol City - Swansea 0-0, played this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Swansea City two wins, four draws and Bristol City four victories. As for goals, zero matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), ten games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

SwanseaA. Ayew Pelé
A. Ayew Pelé
15 goals
Bristol CityF. Diedhiou
F. Diedhiou
11 goals
Swansea CityR. Brewster
R. Brewster
9 goals

Swansea City missing players

Bristol City missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Swansea City Bristol City
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
44 22 7 Played P 7 22 44
16 9 3 Won W 2 9 17
16 5 3 Drew D 2 5 11
12 8 1 Lost L 3 8 16
57 26 11 Scored S 6 30 59
52 23 9 Conceded C 9 31 63
86% 86% 86% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 95%
66% 59% 86% Over 1.5 O 1.5 57% 73% 75%
50% 50% 57% Over 2.5 O 2.5 29% 55% 57%
27% 18% 29% Over 3.5 O 3.5 14% 32% 32%
9% 9% 29% Over 4.5 O 4.5 14% 14% 11%
57% 50% 86% BTTS BTTS 57% 64% 59%
27% 27% 14% Clean Sheets C S 14% 18% 23%
30% 36% 14% Failed to Score F T 29% 18% 23%
 
5.2 5.9 5.3 Corners for (avg) C F 3.7 4.5 4.7
5.1 4.1 5.1 Corners against (avg) C A 7.4 7 6.4
1.6 1.2 0.9 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.6 1.7 1.4
4 2 1 Red cards R C 1 1 3
 
518 280 83 Total Shots T S 50 194 437
166 92 24 Shots on Target S O 14 66 141
34% 28% 46% Goal Efficiency G E 43% 45% 42%
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Bristol City haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Leeds United 44 26 9 9 70 34 22 14 5 3 36 14 22 12 4 6 34 20 36 87
2 West Bromwich Albion 45 22 16 7 75 43 22 10 9 3 42 25 23 12 7 4 33 18 32 82
3 Brentford 44 24 9 11 79 35 22 14 5 3 43 16 22 10 4 8 36 19 44 81
4 Fulham 44 22 11 11 58 44 22 14 2 6 35 23 22 8 9 5 23 21 14 77
5 Nottingham Forest 44 18 16 10 57 45 22 10 5 7 26 23 22 8 11 3 31 22 12 70
6 Cardiff City 44 17 16 11 62 57 22 10 9 3 32 21 22 7 7 8 30 36 5 67
7 Millwall 44 16 17 11 50 46 22 9 8 5 29 24 22 7 9 6 21 22 4 65
8 Swansea City 44 16 16 12 57 52 22 9 5 8 26 23 22 7 11 4 31 29 5 64
9 Preston North End 44 17 11 16 56 53 22 11 4 7 37 29 22 6 7 9 19 24 3 62
10 Bristol City 44 17 11 16 59 63 22 8 6 8 29 32 22 9 5 8 30 31 -4 62
11 Derby County 44 16 13 15 58 60 22 11 8 3 32 18 22 5 5 12 26 42 -2 61
12 Blackburn Rovers 44 16 12 16 60 57 22 9 9 4 29 21 22 7 3 12 31 36 3 60
13 Wigan Athletic 44 15 12 17 54 53 22 10 6 6 32 22 22 5 6 11 22 31 1 57
14 Reading 44 15 11 18 55 50 22 7 4 11 25 30 22 8 7 7 30 20 5 56
15 Sheffield Wednesday 44 15 11 18 54 59 22 7 7 8 18 28 22 8 4 10 36 31 -5 56
16 Queens Park Rangers 44 15 9 20 61 71 22 8 5 9 38 39 22 7 4 11 23 32 -10 54
17 Huddersfield Town 45 13 12 20 51 66 23 8 6 9 26 30 22 5 6 11 25 36 -15 51
18 Stoke City 44 14 8 22 57 67 22 10 3 9 35 26 22 4 5 13 22 41 -10 50
19 Middlesbrough 44 12 14 18 45 57 22 6 8 8 19 26 22 6 6 10 26 31 -12 50
20 Birmingham City 44 12 14 18 53 70 22 6 7 9 32 39 22 6 7 9 21 31 -17 50
21 Charlton Athletic 44 12 11 21 48 59 22 8 5 9 26 25 22 4 6 12 22 34 -11 47
22 Hull City 44 12 9 23 57 83 22 7 3 12 29 36 22 5 6 11 28 47 -26 45
23 Luton Town 44 12 9 23 50 80 22 7 7 8 30 35 22 5 2 15 20 45 -30 45
24 Barnsley 44 10 13 21 46 68 22 6 9 7 28 33 22 4 4 14 18 35 -22 43

Swansea City:
Bristol City:
Championship:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Leeds United 44 26 9 9 70 34 22 14 5 3 36 14 22 12 4 6 34 20 36 87
2 West Bromwich Albion 45 22 16 7 75 43 22 10 9 3 42 25 23 12 7 4 33 18 32 82
3 Brentford 44 24 9 11 79 35 22 14 5 3 43 16 22 10 4 8 36 19 44 81
4 Fulham 44 22 11 11 58 44 22 14 2 6 35 23 22 8 9 5 23 21 14 77
5 Nottingham Forest 44 18 16 10 57 45 22 10 5 7 26 23 22 8 11 3 31 22 12 70
6 Cardiff City 44 17 16 11 62 57 22 10 9 3 32 21 22 7 7 8 30 36 5 67
7 Millwall 44 16 17 11 50 46 22 9 8 5 29 24 22 7 9 6 21 22 4 65
8 Swansea City 44 16 16 12 57 52 22 9 5 8 26 23 22 7 11 4 31 29 5 64
9 Preston North End 44 17 11 16 56 53 22 11 4 7 37 29 22 6 7 9 19 24 3 62
10 Bristol City 44 17 11 16 59 63 22 8 6 8 29 32 22 9 5 8 30 31 -4 62
11 Derby County 44 16 13 15 58 60 22 11 8 3 32 18 22 5 5 12 26 42 -2 61
12 Blackburn Rovers 44 16 12 16 60 57 22 9 9 4 29 21 22 7 3 12 31 36 3 60
13 Wigan Athletic 44 15 12 17 54 53 22 10 6 6 32 22 22 5 6 11 22 31 1 57
14 Reading 44 15 11 18 55 50 22 7 4 11 25 30 22 8 7 7 30 20 5 56
15 Sheffield Wednesday 44 15 11 18 54 59 22 7 7 8 18 28 22 8 4 10 36 31 -5 56
16 Queens Park Rangers 44 15 9 20 61 71 22 8 5 9 38 39 22 7 4 11 23 32 -10 54
17 Huddersfield Town 45 13 12 20 51 66 23 8 6 9 26 30 22 5 6 11 25 36 -15 51
18 Stoke City 44 14 8 22 57 67 22 10 3 9 35 26 22 4 5 13 22 41 -10 50
19 Middlesbrough 44 12 14 18 45 57 22 6 8 8 19 26 22 6 6 10 26 31 -12 50
20 Birmingham City 44 12 14 18 53 70 22 6 7 9 32 39 22 6 7 9 21 31 -17 50
21 Charlton Athletic 44 12 11 21 48 59 22 8 5 9 26 25 22 4 6 12 22 34 -11 47
22 Hull City 44 12 9 23 57 83 22 7 3 12 29 36 22 5 6 11 28 47 -26 45
23 Luton Town 44 12 9 23 50 80 22 7 7 8 30 35 22 5 2 15 20 45 -30 45
24 Barnsley 44 10 13 21 46 68 22 6 9 7 28 33 22 4 4 14 18 35 -22 43

More from England - Championship

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.