Home advantage could prove decisive in Millwall - Derby County battle

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Sat 05.December
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: The Den (20146 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Millwall are in the 13th position while the guesting Derby County worry at 24th.

Insights:
  • Derby County is in the worst form (0-2-4)

It's no vacation for neither Millwall nor Derby County as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Millwall form and stats

Overall Championship stats at home this season for Millwall are 1-5-1 (wins-draw-losses). Their last two home games have resulted in two points, meaning they were both draws.

No payout for Millwall in their previous match, an away game at Blackburn Rovers that ended in defeat 1-2. Before that, Millwall played out a draw 0-0 when visiting Birmingham City.

The defeat against Blackburn Rovers was especially painful as the deciding goal against was scored one minutes into stoppage time (by A. Armstrong).

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Millwall handle that role? We have found eleven games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are four wins, five draws and two defeats.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Championship game versus Queens Park Rangers in only three days. This game is also played here at The Den.

Millwall aren't scoring a lot here at The Den in the league, with only 6 goals from 7 games. 7 goals have been conceded.

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Derby County form and stats

Derby County, who have the fewest clean sheets (1) in Championship, have only collected 5 points from their away games in the Championship, after 1-2-4 (7 played). County are desperate to end a eleven-game winless run, as they haven't won a game since the Norwich City fixture. The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as County have lost on their last two travels.

County's last game was the home draw against Coventry City (1-1). Preceding that match was the 1-1 draw at home vs Wycombe Wanderers.

County are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is one win, three draws and eleven defeats. From a total of 15 matches.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Derby County manager L. Rosenior as the team has another away game coming up in only four days, this time against Brentford.

The attacking power of Derby County when travelling is not overwhelming with 4 goals scored from 7 league matches away. As opposed to that, County have seen the ball go into their own net 9 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Millwall won four games, three matches ended with a draw and Derby County has three wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: five / five

Top Goalscorers

MillwallJ. Wallace
J. Wallace
5 goals
Derby CountyM. Waghorn
M. Waghorn
2 goals
MillwallJ. Cooper
J. Cooper
1 goals

Millwall missing players

Derby County missing players

Millwall Derby County
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
15 7 0 Played P 3 7 15
4 1 0 Won W 0 1 1
8 5 0 Drew D 0 2 5
3 1 0 Lost L 3 4 9
13 6 0 Scored S 1 4 7
12 7 0 Conceded C 6 9 22
73% 86% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
67% 86% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 57% 67%
27% 14% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 29% 20%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 7%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
47% 57% 0% BTTS BTTS 33% 43% 40%
47% 29% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 14% 7%
33% 29% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 43% 53%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.5 2.1 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.3 1.6 1.9
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
11.2 11.7 0 Shots (avg) S ( 12 11.7 11
3.4 4.3 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 2.9 3.1
25% 20% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 20% 15%
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Derby County has the fewest clean sheets (1) in Championship
  • Derby County has the the worst goal difference (-15) in Championship
  • Derby County have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Derby County have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Derby County haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Derby County is in the worst form (0-2-4)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Norwich City 15 8 4 3 19 14 7 3 3 1 7 5 8 5 1 2 12 9 5 28
2 AFC Bournemouth 15 7 6 2 25 16 8 5 2 1 14 8 7 2 4 1 11 8 9 27
3 Watford 15 7 6 2 19 11 7 6 1 0 16 7 8 1 5 2 3 4 8 27
4 Reading 15 8 3 4 24 19 7 5 0 2 10 7 8 3 3 2 14 12 5 27
5 Bristol City 15 8 3 4 19 15 7 3 2 2 7 6 8 5 1 2 12 9 4 27
6 Brentford 15 7 5 3 22 13 7 3 3 1 11 7 8 4 2 2 11 6 9 26
7 Swansea City 15 7 5 3 17 10 7 4 2 1 9 4 8 3 3 2 8 6 7 26
8 Stoke City 15 7 4 4 22 18 7 3 2 2 13 13 8 4 2 2 9 5 4 25
9 Blackburn Rovers 15 7 3 5 29 17 8 4 2 2 14 8 7 3 1 3 15 9 12 24
10 Middlesbrough 15 6 6 3 16 10 8 5 2 1 11 4 7 1 4 2 5 6 6 24
11 Luton Town 15 6 4 5 14 18 8 3 3 2 10 10 7 3 1 3 4 8 -4 22
12 Cardiff City 15 5 5 5 20 13 8 3 2 3 13 7 7 2 3 2 7 6 7 20
13 Millwall 15 4 8 3 13 12 7 1 5 1 6 7 8 3 3 2 7 5 1 20
14 Barnsley 15 5 4 6 17 17 7 3 2 2 8 4 8 2 2 4 9 13 0 19
15 Preston North End 15 6 1 8 20 23 7 1 0 6 2 10 8 5 1 2 18 13 -3 19
16 Huddersfield Town 15 5 3 7 18 22 7 3 1 3 8 8 8 2 2 4 10 14 -4 18
17 Queens Park Rangers 15 4 5 6 17 22 8 3 3 2 11 10 7 1 2 4 6 12 -5 17
18 Birmingham City 15 3 7 5 11 14 8 2 2 4 7 10 7 1 5 1 4 4 -3 16
19 Coventry City 15 3 5 7 15 25 7 3 2 2 9 12 8 0 3 5 6 13 -10 14
20 Rotherham United 15 3 4 8 14 20 8 2 2 4 9 10 7 1 2 4 5 10 -6 13
21 Nottingham Forest 15 3 4 8 9 17 8 2 3 3 7 8 7 1 1 5 2 9 -8 13
22 Wycombe Wanderers 15 2 4 9 7 21 8 1 3 4 3 7 7 1 1 5 4 14 -14 10
23 Sheffield Wednesday 15 3 6 6 8 13 8 1 5 2 4 5 7 2 1 4 4 8 -5 9
24 Derby County 15 1 5 9 7 22 8 0 3 5 3 13 7 1 2 4 4 9 -15 8

Millwall:
Derby County:
Championship:
England:

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.