Serie A: Santos expected to win home against Botafogo

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: Sun 03.November
Match begins: 23:00 (UTC)
Venue: Urbano Caldeira (16798 seats)

The league table in Serie A tells a story about these teams so far, with Santos leading Botafogo by 22 points. Match preview to follow:

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Santos and Botafogo.

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Santos form and stats

Santos are steadily winning Serie A games and points here at Urbano Caldeira. 10 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat is the summary from 14 games. After failing to beat Grêmio here at Urbano Caldeira, Santos has put together a very nice winning streak on their own turf with four wins in a row.

Santos's previous game was a Serie A match also played at home, ending 1-0 versus Bahia (placed 9th). The home side are looking to build on that result. Preceding that game was the away draw at Corinthians that finished 0-0.

Santos are believed to win this game, given a winning chance of about 70% by the bookmakers. We have checked our records for their performance in similar circumstances and found eight matches and the win/draw/lost stats: W6-D1-L1.

Santos are traveling soon after this match as the Serie A match at Avai awaits in three days.

The Santos manager J. Sampaoli has got the team scoring with 29 from 14 home games in the league. Santos are not conceding a lot of goals here at Urbano Caldeira in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 12 from 14 matches.

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Botafogo form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Botafogo so far with only 11 points returning home. The records show 3-2-10 (win-draw-lose). It's all red in the travel logs of Botafogo, having lost five matches in a row as the visiting team.

The manager Alberto Valentim was unhappy after their last game, a Serie A match played at their home ground Urbano Caldeira. Botafogo suffered a 0-2 loss to Cruzeiro (placed 16th). It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Grêmio wasn't a success with a 0-3 loss.

We have done a similar check as we did with the hometeam, looking up recent matches where Botafogo played away with similar odds. This revealed two games. The visitors overcame the odds to win 0 times, 0 were draws and the home team won as expected 2 times.

A quick return to home after this game, as Botafogo are hosting Flamengo in the Serie A only four days away.

The attacking power of Botafogo when travelling is not overwhelming with 10 goals scored from 15 league matches away. 21 goals have been conceded by Botafogo in these games.

Head 2 Head

The two sides played each other earlier this season: Botafogo - Santos 0-1. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's 7 Santos victories, 2 draws and 1 Botafogo win. 3 of these games ended with three goals or more, 7 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

SantosEduardo Sasha
Eduardo Sasha
10 goals
SantosC. Sánchez
C. Sánchez
8 goals
SantosY. Soteldo
Y. Soteldo
4 goals

Santos missing players

Botafogo missing players

Santos Botafogo
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
29 14 4 Played P 5 15 29
16 10 4 Won W 0 3 10
7 3 0 Drew D 0 2 3
6 1 0 Lost L 5 10 16
39 29 9 Scored S 4 10 25
26 12 3 Conceded C 12 21 35
86% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 87% 90%
59% 79% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 60% 55%
38% 57% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 33% 38%
21% 29% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 40% 13% 14%
10% 14% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 40% 13% 10%
34% 50% 75% BTTS BTTS 40% 27% 34%
48% 43% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 27% 24%
31% 14% 0% Failed to Score F T 60% 60% 52%
 
5.2 6.6 9 Corners For (avg) C F 3.2 2.6 3.7
4.6 3.7 4 Corners Against (avg) C A 5.6 7.5 6.6
2.8 2.7 2.5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2.8 2 2.5
5 1 1 Red Cards R C 0 1 2
Key stats this season:
  • Botafogo have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Botafogo have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Botafogo have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Santos have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Santos have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Santos have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Botafogo have scored away.
  • Santos have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Flamengo 29 21 5 3 60 24 14 13 1 0 35 10 15 8 4 3 25 14 36 68
2 Palmeiras 29 17 9 3 47 22 14 11 3 0 31 6 15 6 6 3 16 16 25 60
3 Santos 29 16 7 6 39 26 14 10 3 1 29 12 15 6 4 5 10 14 13 55
4 Sao Paulo 29 13 10 6 29 20 15 8 6 1 20 8 14 5 4 5 9 12 9 49
5 Grêmio 29 13 8 8 50 31 14 8 3 3 29 16 15 5 5 5 21 15 19 47
6 Internacional 29 13 7 9 35 27 15 9 5 1 21 9 14 4 2 8 14 18 8 46
7 Corinthians 29 11 12 6 31 22 15 8 6 1 18 9 14 3 6 5 13 13 9 45
8 Athletico PR 29 12 7 10 43 31 14 8 2 4 21 11 15 4 5 6 22 20 12 43
9 Bahia 29 11 8 10 32 28 15 7 4 4 20 14 14 4 4 6 12 14 4 41
10 Goias 29 11 6 12 32 45 14 8 3 3 21 13 15 3 3 9 11 32 -13 39
11 Vasco da Gama 29 10 8 11 27 35 15 6 4 5 16 18 14 4 4 6 11 17 -8 38
12 Fortaleza 29 10 5 14 34 39 14 7 1 6 16 13 15 3 4 8 18 26 -5 35
13 Atletico Mineiro 29 10 5 14 34 41 15 7 2 6 22 21 14 3 3 8 12 20 -7 35
14 Botafogo 29 10 3 16 25 35 14 7 1 6 15 14 15 3 2 10 10 21 -10 33
15 Ceara 29 9 6 14 30 30 15 7 4 4 19 11 14 2 2 10 11 19 0 33
16 Cruzeiro 29 7 11 11 25 35 14 5 5 4 12 13 15 2 6 7 13 22 -10 32
17 Fluminense 29 8 6 15 29 41 15 5 4 6 16 14 14 3 2 9 13 27 -12 30
18 CSA 29 7 8 14 20 41 15 6 5 4 15 16 14 1 3 10 5 25 -21 29
19 Chapecoense 29 4 9 16 24 43 14 2 5 7 12 17 15 2 4 9 12 26 -19 21
20 Avai 29 3 8 18 15 45 15 1 7 7 8 20 14 2 1 11 7 25 -30 17

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