Serie A prediction: Flamengo should edge out CSA on their own turf

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: Sun 27.October
Match begins: 23:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio do Maracana (78838 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The home fans are optimistic that the difference between 1st and 18th place in the table will show on the pitch.

The hosts Flamengo saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the Copa Libertadores. Thankfully the previous game, versus Grêmio, was also a home game here at Estadio do Maracana. The away team is better rested. That game was an away game at Grêmio, so at least Flamengo are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 2100 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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Flamengo form and stats

12-1-0 is the performance here at Estadio do Maracana so far in the Serie A, giving Flamengo a total of 37 from their 13 games here. Outstanding results! Flamengo haven’t lost a game in 14 attempts regardless of arena, a great achievement. Their last loss was the fixture versus Bahia, 84 days ago. The Flamengo fans aren't used to losing here at Estadio do Maracana and will expect new points from this game. Flamengo has played 18 games in a row here without a defeat.

Flamengo's previous game was a Copa Libertadores match also played at home, ending 5-0 versus Grêmio (placed 7th). The home side are looking to build on that result. Previous to that game, a Serie A home match hosting Fluminense in a game that was won 2-0.

As mentioned above, Flamengo "killed" Grêmio in their previous game. They need to reset completely for this one and beware of complacency.

Everyone expects Flamengo to win this match. We have checked our database for matches where they have been as big a favourite and found ten games: 9 home wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat. Flamengo have won with at least two goals margin 6 times in similar situations.

The manager Jorge Jesus will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Goiás in only four days.

Flamengo are showing their attacking force in their league home games this season, scoring more than 2,5 goals per game on average (34 goals in 13 games). Flamengo are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estadio do Maracana in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 10 from 13 matches.

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CSA form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for CSA, who have the fewest scored goals (5) away in Serie A, so far with only 6 points returning home. The records show 1-3-9 (win-draw-lose). It's all red in the travel logs of CSA, having lost four matches in a row as the visiting team.

Two away games in a row for CSA, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 1-2 versus Botafogo in the Serie A. Ahead of that game was the 2-2 draw at home against Atletico Mineiro.

Nobody expects CSA to collect points from a game like this. The team has been David versus Goliath 20 times before, with the overall statistics of won 7, draw 8 and lost 5. When defeated, 1 match have been lost by two or more goals.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Corinthians in just three days.

Goals are few and far between in CSA's away league games. Only 5 goals from 13 travels. CSA have conceded 24 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was CSA - Flamengo 0-2, played this season.

Top Goalscorers

FlamengoBruno Henrique
Bruno Henrique
8 goals
FlamengoGabriel Barbosa
Gabriel Barbosa
7 goals
FlamengoDiego
Diego
3 goals

Flamengo missing players

CSA missing players

Flamengo CSA
Total Home Home vs low Statistics Stat Away vs top Away Total
27 13 4 Played P 5 13 27
20 12 4 Won W 0 1 6
4 1 0 Drew D 1 3 8
3 0 0 Lost L 4 9 13
57 34 9 Scored S 3 5 18
22 10 2 Conceded C 12 24 39
93% 92% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 85% 85%
85% 85% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 54% 59%
63% 69% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 31% 30%
30% 54% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 23% 22%
15% 23% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 8% 4%
56% 62% 50% BTTS BTTS 40% 23% 30%
41% 38% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 23% 33%
11% 8% 0% Failed to Score F T 60% 69% 52%
 
6.7 6.8 7.8 Corners For (avg) C F 2.6 2.6 3
3.3 2.4 3.8 Corners Against (avg) C A 9.2 7.5 7.2
2.4 2.5 2.5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 3 2.3 2.4
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 2 2
Key stats this season:
  • CSA have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • CSA have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • CSA have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Flamengo have created more than twice as many corners as CSA.
  • Flamengo have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Flamengo have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Flamengo have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Flamengo have scored more than double the goals of CSA.
  • Flamengo have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.

Flamengo
All Copa Libertadores Carioca 1 Copa do Brasil Serie A Florida Cup
All Home Away Home vs low
11-10-19 SA Flamengo 3 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
13-10-19 SA Athletico PR 0 - 2 Flamengo
17-10-19 SA Fortaleza 1 - 2 Flamengo
20-10-19 SA Flamengo 2 - 0 Fluminense
24-10-19 CL Flamengo 5 - 0 Grêmio
27-10-19 SA Flamengo 23:00 CSA
01-11-19 SA Goiás 00:00 Flamengo
03-11-19 SA Flamengo 20:00 Corinthians
08-11-19 SA Botafogo - Flamengo
10-11-19 SA Flamengo 22:00 Bahia
CSA
All Copa do Nordeste Copa do Brasil Alagoano Serie B Serie A
All Home Away Away vs top
07-10-19 SA CSA 3 - 1 Avai
10-10-19 SA CSA 1 - 0 Internacional
12-10-19 SA Goiás 1 - 0 CSA
17-10-19 SA CSA 2 - 2 Atletico Mineiro
22-10-19 SA Botafogo 2 - 1 CSA
27-10-19 SA Flamengo 23:00 CSA
31-10-19 SA CSA 01:30 Corinthians
03-11-19 SA Athletico PR 22:00 CSA
08-11-19 SA Grêmio 01:00 CSA
10-11-19 SA CSA 23:00 Vasco da Gama

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Flamengo 27 20 4 3 57 22 13 12 1 0 34 10 14 8 3 3 23 12 35 64
2 Palmeiras 27 15 9 3 42 21 13 10 3 0 28 6 14 5 6 3 14 15 21 54
3 Santos 27 15 6 6 38 26 13 9 3 1 28 12 14 6 3 5 10 14 12 51
4 Sao Paulo 27 12 10 5 27 17 14 7 6 1 18 8 13 5 4 4 9 9 10 46
5 Corinthians 27 11 11 5 30 20 14 8 5 1 18 9 13 3 6 4 12 11 10 44
6 Internacional 27 12 6 9 31 24 14 9 4 1 20 8 13 3 2 8 11 16 7 42
7 Grêmio 27 11 8 8 44 30 13 7 3 3 26 16 14 4 5 5 18 14 14 41
8 Bahia 27 11 8 8 30 24 14 7 4 3 18 11 13 4 4 5 12 13 6 41
9 Athletico PR 27 11 6 10 38 29 13 7 2 4 17 10 14 4 4 6 21 19 9 39
10 Goiás 27 11 5 11 29 39 13 8 2 3 19 11 14 3 3 8 10 28 -10 38
11 Vasco da Gama 27 10 7 10 25 31 14 6 4 4 15 15 13 4 3 6 10 16 -6 37
12 Atletico Mineiro 27 10 5 12 34 37 14 7 2 5 22 19 13 3 3 7 12 18 -3 35
13 Botafogo 27 10 3 14 25 30 13 7 1 5 15 12 14 3 2 9 10 18 -5 33
14 Fortaleza 27 9 4 14 30 37 14 7 1 6 16 13 13 2 3 8 14 24 -7 31
15 Ceara 27 8 5 14 27 29 13 6 3 4 16 10 14 2 2 10 11 19 -2 29
16 Fluminense 27 8 5 14 28 38 14 5 3 6 15 13 13 3 2 8 13 25 -10 29
17 Cruzeiro 27 6 10 11 22 34 13 5 4 4 11 12 14 1 6 7 11 22 -12 28
18 CSA 27 6 8 13 18 39 14 5 5 4 13 15 13 1 3 9 5 24 -21 26
19 Chapecoense 27 3 8 16 21 42 14 2 5 7 12 17 13 1 3 9 9 25 -21 17
20 Avai 27 3 8 16 13 40 13 1 7 5 6 15 14 2 1 11 7 25 -27 17

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