Serie A preview: Can Flamengo edge out victory against Palmeiras?

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: Sun 01.September
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (78838 seats)

The managers Jorge Jesus and Luiz Felipe Scolari are both dreading and looking forward to this decisive game in the upper regions of the Serie A league table.

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

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Flamengo form and stats

Flamengo, who have the most points (21) at home in Serie A, have been very solid at home in the Serie A so far, with 21 points collected from 7 matches (7-0-0). This has contributed greatly to their 1st position in the table. The Flamengo fans aren't used to losing here at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho and will expect new points from this game. Flamengo has played 14 games in a row here without a defeat. The team is doing great wherever they are playing as Flamengo has won four games in a row. The Bahia match was the last time out without a victory.

A good away victory last time out for Flamengo, who won 3-0 against Ceará. Before that, Flamengo had a Copa Libertadores home game versus Internacional which ended with a victory 2-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Flamengo have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found two games) they have won 1 time, drawn 0 and lost 1.

Flamengo always seem capable of creating a buzz here at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho with 22 goals in 7 league games. 8 goals have been conceded.

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Palmeiras form and stats

3 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss. That’s the product of Palmeiras playing as the away team in the Serie A this season.

It's the second away game in a row for Palmeiras, but there's smiles all around after the 1-0 victory versus Grêmio in the Copa Libertadores last time out. Preceding that game, the 1-1 draw paying a visit to Grêmio.

We have checked recent matches where Palmeiras have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those two games were W2-D0-L0.

Palmeiras have scored 9 goals on their travels this season, from 8 away games in the league. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (7 so far).

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: 1 win for Flamengo, 5 draws and 4 wins for Palmeiras. Over 2,5 goals: 6 times; under 2,5 goals: 4 games.

Top Goalscorers

Bruno Henrique
8 goals
Gabriel Barbosa
7 goals
Dudu
5 goals / 5 assists

Flamengo missing players

Palmeiras missing players

Flamengo Palmeiras
Total Home Home vs top Statistic Away vs top Away Total
16 7 0 Played 3 8 15
10 7 0 Won 1 3 8
3 0 0 Drew 2 4 6
3 0 0 Lost 0 1 1
35 22 0 Scored 4 9 24
18 8 0 Conceded 2 7 10
94% 100% 0% Over 0.5 100% 100% 100%
94% 100% 0% Over 1.5 100% 88% 80%
69% 86% 0% Over 2.5 0% 12% 27%
38% 71% 0% Over 3.5 0% 0% 20%
25% 43% 0% Over 4.5 0% 0% 0%
69% 86% 0% BTTS 67% 62% 47%
25% 14% 0% Clean Sheets 33% 25% 47%
12% 0% 0% Failed To Score 0% 12% 7%
 
6.9 7.1 0 Corners For (avg) 4.3 4.6 5.3
3.8 2.4 0 Corners Against (avg) 6.3 3.5 3.6
2.6 3 0 Yellow Cards (avg) 3 2 2.1
1 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 1
Key stats this season:
  • All of Flamengo's home matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Flamengo have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Flamengo have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Flamengo have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Palmeiras have scored away.
  • Flamengo have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Flamengo have won all their home matches so far.
  • Flamengo have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Flamengo haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Palmeiras have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Palmeiras haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Flamengo
All Copa Libertadores Carioca 1 Copa do Brasil Serie A Florida Cup Club Friendlies
All Home Away
04-08-19 SA Bahia 3 - 0 Flamengo
10-08-19 SA Flamengo 3 - 1 Grêmio
17-08-19 SA Vasco da Gama 1 - 4 Flamengo
22-08-19 CL Flamengo 2 - 0 Internacional
25-08-19 SA Ceará 0 - 3 Flamengo
29-08-19 CL Internacional 00:30 Flamengo
01-09-19 SA Flamengo 19:00 Palmeiras
07-09-19 SA Avaí 20:00 Flamengo
14-09-19 SA Flamengo 14:00 Santos
21-09-19 SA Cruzeiro 22:00 Flamengo
Palmeiras
All Copa Libertadores Copa do Brasil Serie A Club Friendlies Paulista A1
All Home Away
31-07-19 CL Palmeiras 4 - 0 Godoy Cruz
04-08-19 SA Corinthians 1 - 1 Palmeiras
11-08-19 SA Palmeiras 2 - 2 Bahia
18-08-19 SA Grêmio 1 - 1 Palmeiras
21-08-19 CL Grêmio 0 - 1 Palmeiras
28-08-19 CL Palmeiras 00:30 Grêmio
01-09-19 SA Flamengo 19:00 Palmeiras
08-09-19 SA Goiás - Palmeiras
11-09-19 SA Palmeiras - Fluminense
14-09-19 SA Palmeiras 22:00 Cruzeiro

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Flamengo 16 10 3 3 35 18 7 7 0 0 22 8 9 3 3 3 13 10 17 33
2 Santos 16 10 3 3 28 17 8 6 2 0 21 7 8 4 1 3 7 10 11 33
3 Palmeiras 15 8 6 1 24 10 7 5 2 0 15 3 8 3 4 1 9 7 14 30
4 São Paulo 16 8 6 2 20 11 8 4 4 0 13 5 8 4 2 2 7 6 9 30
5 Corinthians 16 7 7 2 18 9 8 5 3 0 9 2 8 2 4 2 9 7 9 28
6 Atlético Mineiro 16 8 3 5 22 17 9 5 2 2 15 9 7 3 1 3 7 8 5 27
7 Internacional 16 7 3 6 18 14 8 6 2 0 14 4 8 1 1 6 4 10 4 24
8 Bahia 16 6 6 4 18 15 8 5 2 1 12 6 8 1 4 3 6 9 3 24
9 Botafogo 16 7 2 7 14 15 8 4 1 3 7 6 8 3 1 4 7 9 -1 23
10 Athletico PR 16 7 1 8 23 17 7 5 0 2 10 4 9 2 1 6 13 13 6 22
11 Goiás 16 6 3 7 16 25 8 5 1 2 11 7 8 1 2 5 5 18 -9 21
12 Grêmio 16 5 6 5 20 21 8 4 2 2 15 13 8 1 4 3 5 8 -1 21
13 Ceará 16 6 2 8 19 17 9 5 1 3 15 9 7 1 1 5 4 8 2 20
14 Vasco da Gama 16 5 5 6 16 22 9 4 3 2 11 10 7 1 2 4 5 12 -6 20
15 Fortaleza 16 5 3 8 19 24 7 3 1 3 8 8 9 2 2 5 11 16 -5 18
16 Cruzeiro 16 3 6 7 14 23 7 3 2 2 6 5 9 0 4 5 8 18 -9 15
17 Chapecoense 16 3 5 8 16 27 8 2 3 3 8 9 8 1 2 5 8 18 -11 14
18 Fluminense 15 3 3 9 19 25 8 2 2 4 8 8 7 1 1 5 11 17 -6 12
19 CSA 16 2 6 8 5 23 9 1 4 4 4 12 7 1 2 4 1 11 -18 12
20 Avaí 16 0 7 9 8 22 8 0 6 2 5 8 8 0 1 7 3 14 -14 7

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