Football betting preview: Corinthians vs Fluminense

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Thu 27.October
Match begins: 00:45 (UTC)
Venue: Neo Química Arena

Serie A: A pair of contenders who have played fine thus far. Prepare for Corinthians - Fluminense with this thorough guide!

Insights:
  • Corinthians have the fewest conceded goals (8) at home in Serie A
  • Fluminense have the most matches over the total-line (16) in Serie A

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Corinthians form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Neo Química Arena as Corinthians have scored 23 goals to get 37 points from 16 games. The overall stats in the Serie A are 11-4-1 (wins-draws-losses). There’s a good atmosphere here at Neo Química Arena after three straight home wins.

Corinthians are returning here after visiting Santos and winning with a 1-0 scoreline. Guedes scored the goal(s). Renan, defender, was given a rating of 7.32/10 in that game, top of the team. Renan won 3 of 5 duels.

In the match before, 1-1 away to Flamengo (after extra-time, 6-5 on penalties) (Copa do Brasil). The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Corinthians have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 8 games) they have won 6 times, drawn 1 and lost 1.

Corinthians are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 23 goals in 16 games. From these home matches, Corinthians have conceded only 8 goals.

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Fluminense form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Serie A travels is 6 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats.

Fluminense played 2-2 against Botafogo in their previous match. A comeback secured a 90 minute draw in the match against Botafogo. Fluminense were trailing 0-2 but refused to surrender and clawed their way back to 2-2, with Martins scoring the equalizer. The draw against Botafogo came from a losing position. The Fluminense manager Silva brought on Martins as a substitute and the player scored to make the scores level. Ganso, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 7.43. Ganso scored one goal, hit one key pass and had 74 successful passes (of 82 total).

Ahead of that match was the victory versus Avaí at their stadium, the result 3-0.

We have checked recent matches where Fluminense have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 4 games were 1 victory, 0 draws and 3 defeats.

Fluminense have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 16 league away games 20 goals have been scored. Fluminense have conceded 21 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The two duelists also encountered each other before this match year: Fluminense - Corinthians 4-0. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: three - three - four (Corinthians wins - draws - Fluminense wins). As for goals, six matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

FluminenseG. Cano
G. Cano
18 goals
CorinthiansR. Krug Guedes
R. Krug Guedes
10 goals
FluminenseJ. Arias Andrade
J. Arias Andrade
7 goals

Corinthians missing players

Fluminense missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Corinthians Fluminense
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
32 16 4 Played P 4 16 33
16 11 2 Won W 1 6 16
9 4 1 Drew D 1 4 7
7 1 1 Lost L 2 6 10
39 23 5 Scored S 3 20 53
30 8 4 Conceded C 6 21 40
97% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 94%
59% 56% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 62% 73%
38% 31% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 50% 55%
22% 12% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 31% 30%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 19% 15%
44% 38% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 44% 48%
38% 56% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 31% 30%
22% 12% 25% Failed to Score F T 50% 31% 27%
 
4.9 5.6 4.5 Corners for (avg) C F 3.2 4.2 5.7
4.7 4.2 5 Corners against (avg) C A 6 6.1 5.4
1.8 1.3 1.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 2 2.1
2 0 0 Red cards R C 3 6 9
 
11.3 12.8 11.5 Shots (avg) S ( 10.2 11.6 14.5
4 4.1 3.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 4.1 5
30% 35% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 30% 31% 32%
 
13.1 11.8 13.5 Shots against (avg) S A 15.2 14.8 12.6
4.3 4.1 3.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5 4.6 4.2
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Corinthians have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Corinthians have the fewest conceded goals (8) at home in Serie A
  • Fluminense have the fewest matches under the total-line (11) in Serie A
  • Fluminense have the most matches over the total-line (16) in Serie A
  • Fluminense have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Palmeiras 33 20 11 2 56 21 17 11 4 2 33 11 16 9 7 0 23 10 35 71
2 Internacional 33 16 13 4 50 29 16 10 5 1 33 13 17 6 8 3 17 16 21 61
3 Flamengo 33 17 7 9 53 30 16 10 3 3 32 9 17 7 4 6 21 21 23 58
4 Corinthians 32 16 9 7 39 30 16 11 4 1 23 8 16 5 5 6 16 22 9 57
5 Fluminense 33 16 7 10 53 40 17 10 3 4 33 19 16 6 4 6 20 21 13 55
6 Athletico PR 33 14 9 10 40 40 16 9 6 1 24 12 17 5 3 9 16 28 0 51
7 Atletico Mineiro 32 12 11 9 38 33 16 6 5 5 21 16 16 6 6 4 17 17 5 47
8 São Paulo 33 11 14 8 46 35 16 7 5 4 28 17 17 4 9 4 18 18 11 47
9 América Mineiro 33 13 6 14 31 34 17 8 3 6 20 17 16 5 3 8 11 17 -3 45
10 Fortaleza 32 12 8 12 34 33 15 5 6 4 14 11 17 7 2 8 20 22 1 44
11 Botafogo 33 12 8 13 34 37 16 4 4 8 13 16 17 8 4 5 21 21 -3 44
12 Santos 33 11 10 12 38 30 17 8 4 5 27 16 16 3 6 7 11 14 8 43
13 Bragantino 33 10 11 12 45 45 17 8 5 4 28 18 16 2 6 8 17 27 0 41
14 Goiás 32 10 11 11 35 41 15 5 6 4 17 16 17 5 5 7 18 25 -6 41
15 Coritiba 33 10 5 18 33 53 17 10 3 4 22 14 16 0 2 14 11 39 -20 35
16 Ceará 33 6 16 11 29 34 17 3 8 6 16 20 16 3 8 5 13 14 -5 34
17 Atlético GO 33 8 9 16 33 49 17 6 4 7 19 19 16 2 5 9 14 30 -16 33
18 Cuiabá 33 7 10 16 25 37 16 4 7 5 13 13 17 3 3 11 12 24 -12 31
19 Avaí 33 7 7 19 28 55 17 6 4 7 21 24 16 1 3 12 7 31 -27 28
20 Juventude 33 3 12 18 26 60 17 2 8 7 16 24 16 1 4 11 10 36 -34 21

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Palmeiras 33 20 11 2 56 21 17 11 4 2 33 11 16 9 7 0 23 10 35 71
2 Internacional 33 16 13 4 50 29 16 10 5 1 33 13 17 6 8 3 17 16 21 61
3 Flamengo 33 17 7 9 53 30 16 10 3 3 32 9 17 7 4 6 21 21 23 58
4 Corinthians 32 16 9 7 39 30 16 11 4 1 23 8 16 5 5 6 16 22 9 57
5 Fluminense 33 16 7 10 53 40 17 10 3 4 33 19 16 6 4 6 20 21 13 55
6 Athletico PR 33 14 9 10 40 40 16 9 6 1 24 12 17 5 3 9 16 28 0 51
7 Atletico Mineiro 32 12 11 9 38 33 16 6 5 5 21 16 16 6 6 4 17 17 5 47
8 São Paulo 33 11 14 8 46 35 16 7 5 4 28 17 17 4 9 4 18 18 11 47
9 América Mineiro 33 13 6 14 31 34 17 8 3 6 20 17 16 5 3 8 11 17 -3 45
10 Fortaleza 32 12 8 12 34 33 15 5 6 4 14 11 17 7 2 8 20 22 1 44
11 Botafogo 33 12 8 13 34 37 16 4 4 8 13 16 17 8 4 5 21 21 -3 44
12 Santos 33 11 10 12 38 30 17 8 4 5 27 16 16 3 6 7 11 14 8 43
13 Bragantino 33 10 11 12 45 45 17 8 5 4 28 18 16 2 6 8 17 27 0 41
14 Goiás 32 10 11 11 35 41 15 5 6 4 17 16 17 5 5 7 18 25 -6 41
15 Coritiba 33 10 5 18 33 53 17 10 3 4 22 14 16 0 2 14 11 39 -20 35
16 Ceará 33 6 16 11 29 34 17 3 8 6 16 20 16 3 8 5 13 14 -5 34
17 Atlético GO 33 8 9 16 33 49 17 6 4 7 19 19 16 2 5 9 14 30 -16 33
18 Cuiabá 33 7 10 16 25 37 16 4 7 5 13 13 17 3 3 11 12 24 -12 31
19 Avaí 33 7 7 19 28 55 17 6 4 7 21 24 16 1 3 12 7 31 -27 28
20 Juventude 33 3 12 18 26 60 17 2 8 7 16 24 16 1 4 11 10 36 -34 21

More from Brazil - Serie A

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.