Delightful dogfight as daring Atlético Mineiro duel with determined Fluminense

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sat 01.October
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto (58170 seats)

Fluminense will not expect any donations from hosts Atlético Mineiro in this Serie A fixture. Here's your comprehensive preview!

Insights:
  • Atlético Mineiro have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Fluminense have the most scored goals (46) in Serie A

It's no vacation for neither Atlético Mineiro nor Fluminense as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Atlético Mineiro form and stats

When playing at home in the Serie A, Atlético Mineiro have managed 5 wins, 4 draws and suffered 5 defeats from 14 games.

Stress levels are on the rise for Atlético's attacking players as they have now played 253 minutes without scoring in a league game. Ademir was their last goal scorer.

The Atlético Mineiro crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 0-1 to Palmeiras here at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto. Defender Mariano got the top score of the team in the match with a rating of 8.31/10. Mariano hit four key passes and won 8 of 9 duels.

Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Avai (0-1).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Atlético have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 8 games) they have won 6 times, drawn 1 and lost 1.

Low-scoring affair? In this club's last 13 league matches, 10 have had two goals or less.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Atlético Mineiro as they are travelling to their away game against Santos in the Serie A. That match is four days after this one.

Atlético Mineiro are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 19 goals in 14 games. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Atlético Mineiro's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 16 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Fluminense form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team, who have the most scored goals (46) in Serie A, on their Serie A travels is 5 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats.

Fluminense go into this game after a win, the home game against Juventude that ended 4-0. As you can tell from the results above, Fluminense was very dominant against Juventude, winning the match with a scoreline that even the finest fortune teller couldn't predict. 4-0 (!) with Araújo, Cano, Arias and Xavier providing the goals. Midfield player Arias was the top player of the team with a match rating of 9.15/10. Arias scored one goal, served one assist, hit five key passes and had 68 successful passes (of 74 total).

Prior to that result Fluminense won their away game at Flamengo. The scoreline was 2-1.

We have checked recent matches where Fluminense have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 5 games were 2 victories, 0 draws and 3 defeats.

Observe that 11 of this side's 14 latest league games have ended with at least three goals.

The schedule is very tough for Fluminense now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Serie A game at Atletico GO is waiting in only four days.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Fluminense have scored 15 goals in 13 league games away. As opposed to that, Fluminense have seen the ball go into their own net 16 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

This isn't the first time these parties meet this season, as the results database show this recent match: Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro 5-3. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's four Atlético victories, four draws and two Fluminense wins. Over/under statistics; four of these games ended with three goals or more, six matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

FluminenseG. Cano
G. Cano
16 goals
Atlético MineiroG. Vieira de Souza
G. Vieira de Souza
9 goals
FluminenseJ. Arias Andrade
J. Arias Andrade
6 goals

Atlético Mineiro missing players

Fluminense missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Atlético Mineiro Fluminense
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
28 14 5 Played P 5 13 28
10 5 2 Won W 2 5 15
10 4 0 Drew D 3 4 6
8 5 3 Lost L 0 4 7
34 19 7 Scored S 8 15 46
31 16 6 Conceded C 6 16 31
89% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 92% 93%
68% 79% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 54% 68%
36% 43% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 46% 54%
18% 21% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 60% 31% 29%
11% 14% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 15% 14%
50% 57% 40% BTTS BTTS 60% 46% 50%
36% 29% 40% Clean Sheets C S 40% 31% 32%
25% 21% 20% Failed to Score F T 20% 31% 25%
 
6.3 7.1 7 Corners for (avg) C F 5 4.3 5.8
3.4 3.4 4.4 Corners against (avg) C A 3.2 5.2 5
2.2 2.1 2.4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.8 2.2 2.1
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 5 8
 
17 18.6 16.4 Shots (avg) S ( 14.6 11.3 14.2
5.2 5.6 4.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.2 3.8 4.8
23% 24% 29% Goal Efficiency G E 31% 31% 35%
 
9.9 8.3 8.8 Shots against (avg) S A 10.8 13.7 11.6
3.4 3.5 3.6 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.2 4.3 3.9
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Atlético Mineiro have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Atlético Mineiro have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Fluminense have the fewest matches under the total-line (9) in Serie A
  • Fluminense have the most matches over the total-line (13) in Serie A
  • Fluminense have the most scored goals (46) in Serie A
  • Fluminense have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Palmeiras 28 17 9 2 45 19 14 9 3 2 26 11 14 8 6 0 19 8 26 60
2 Fluminense 28 15 6 7 46 31 15 10 2 3 31 15 13 5 4 4 15 16 15 51
3 Internacional 28 13 11 4 43 26 14 8 5 1 28 11 14 5 6 3 15 15 17 50
4 Corinthians 28 13 8 7 32 27 14 9 4 1 19 7 14 4 4 6 13 20 5 47
5 Flamengo 28 13 6 9 44 27 13 8 2 3 27 8 15 5 4 6 17 19 17 45
6 Atletico PR 28 12 8 8 33 33 13 7 5 1 20 11 15 5 3 7 13 22 0 44
7 Atlético Mineiro 28 10 10 8 34 31 14 5 4 5 19 16 14 5 6 3 15 15 3 40
8 América Mineiro 28 11 6 11 24 27 14 8 3 3 17 11 14 3 3 8 7 16 -3 39
9 Botafogo 28 10 7 11 28 30 14 4 4 6 12 12 14 6 3 5 16 18 -2 37
10 Santos 28 9 10 9 31 25 14 7 4 3 22 12 14 2 6 6 9 13 6 37
11 Goiás 28 9 10 9 30 34 14 5 6 3 17 15 14 4 4 6 13 19 -4 37
12 Sao Paulo 28 8 13 7 39 31 14 6 5 3 25 15 14 2 8 4 14 16 8 37
13 Bragantino 28 8 11 9 37 34 14 6 5 3 22 13 14 2 6 6 15 21 3 35
14 Fortaleza 28 9 7 12 28 31 14 4 6 4 12 11 14 5 1 8 16 20 -3 34
15 Coritiba 28 9 4 15 29 43 15 9 2 4 19 12 13 0 2 11 10 31 -14 31
16 Ceará 28 6 13 9 26 29 14 3 6 5 13 16 14 3 7 4 13 13 -3 31
17 Cuiaba 28 7 9 12 21 28 14 4 7 3 11 9 14 3 2 9 10 19 -7 30
18 Avai 28 7 7 14 26 43 14 6 4 4 19 17 14 1 3 10 7 26 -17 28
19 Atletico GO 28 5 7 16 25 44 14 4 3 7 14 16 14 1 4 9 11 28 -19 22
20 Juventude 28 3 10 15 21 49 14 2 6 6 12 19 14 1 4 9 9 30 -28 19

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Palmeiras 28 17 9 2 45 19 14 9 3 2 26 11 14 8 6 0 19 8 26 60
2 Fluminense 28 15 6 7 46 31 15 10 2 3 31 15 13 5 4 4 15 16 15 51
3 Internacional 28 13 11 4 43 26 14 8 5 1 28 11 14 5 6 3 15 15 17 50
4 Corinthians 28 13 8 7 32 27 14 9 4 1 19 7 14 4 4 6 13 20 5 47
5 Flamengo 28 13 6 9 44 27 13 8 2 3 27 8 15 5 4 6 17 19 17 45
6 Atletico PR 28 12 8 8 33 33 13 7 5 1 20 11 15 5 3 7 13 22 0 44
7 Atlético Mineiro 28 10 10 8 34 31 14 5 4 5 19 16 14 5 6 3 15 15 3 40
8 América Mineiro 28 11 6 11 24 27 14 8 3 3 17 11 14 3 3 8 7 16 -3 39
9 Botafogo 28 10 7 11 28 30 14 4 4 6 12 12 14 6 3 5 16 18 -2 37
10 Santos 28 9 10 9 31 25 14 7 4 3 22 12 14 2 6 6 9 13 6 37
11 Goiás 28 9 10 9 30 34 14 5 6 3 17 15 14 4 4 6 13 19 -4 37
12 Sao Paulo 28 8 13 7 39 31 14 6 5 3 25 15 14 2 8 4 14 16 8 37
13 Bragantino 28 8 11 9 37 34 14 6 5 3 22 13 14 2 6 6 15 21 3 35
14 Fortaleza 28 9 7 12 28 31 14 4 6 4 12 11 14 5 1 8 16 20 -3 34
15 Coritiba 28 9 4 15 29 43 15 9 2 4 19 12 13 0 2 11 10 31 -14 31
16 Ceará 28 6 13 9 26 29 14 3 6 5 13 16 14 3 7 4 13 13 -3 31
17 Cuiaba 28 7 9 12 21 28 14 4 7 3 11 9 14 3 2 9 10 19 -7 30
18 Avai 28 7 7 14 26 43 14 6 4 4 19 17 14 1 3 10 7 26 -17 28
19 Atletico GO 28 5 7 16 25 44 14 4 3 7 14 16 14 1 4 9 11 28 -19 22
20 Juventude 28 3 10 15 21 49 14 2 6 6 12 19 14 1 4 9 9 30 -28 19

More from Brazil - Serie A

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.