Serie A match prediction and preview for Bahia vs Atletico Mineiro clash

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: Thu 28.November
Match begins: 00:00 (UTC)
Venue: Arena Fonte Nova (48000 seats)

Getting closer to the top teams is at stake when these two mid-table clubs battle it out. Both will be aiming to improve their league table standing, Bahia in 10th and Atletico Mineiro in 13th place.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Bahia and Atlético Mineiro.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 1400 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

Atlético Mineiro are fighting to avoid relegation and will work hard for points.

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Bahia form and stats

7 victories, 6 draws and 4 defeats. That’s what Bahia have to build on here at Arena Fonte Nova in the Serie A. Bahia have played two draws in a row on their own stadium.

The fans are hoping that Bahia will strike back in this match, putting things right after the 3-4 away loss in the Serie A game against Goiás (placed 9th). Before that, Bahia drew at home versus Palmeiras.

A goal frenzy last time out for Bahia, with a total of 7 goals in the match against Goiás. Fun stuff to watch!

This is expected to be a close game, with Bahia perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Bahia as a small favourite), we find six games. Bahia has won 2 of these, drawn 1 and lost 3.

Bahia are traveling soon after this match as the Serie A match at CSA awaits in four days.

Bahia has scored 22 league goals at home this season, in 17 matches. Bahia are not conceding a lot of goals here at Arena Fonte Nova in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 16 from 17 matches.

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Atlético Mineiro form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Atlético Mineiro so far with only 15 points returning home. The records show 3-6-8 (win-draw-lose). The loyal fans travelling with their beloved Atlético Mineiro have enjoyed the stadium food more than the matches as the visitors have gone twelve consecutive matches without winning on the road. The last time three points were secured away was the Chapecoense game.

The manager Vágner Mancini was unhappy after their last game, a Serie A match played at their home ground Arena Fonte Nova. Atlético Mineiro suffered a 0-1 loss to Athletico PR (placed 5th). Before that, Atlético Mineiro travelled to Fluminense and returned home with a draw after the game finished 1-1.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found ten similar matches played by Atlético Mineiro in our archives, and the results are: 2 wins for Atlético Mineiro, 2 draws and 6 defeats.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Corinthians in just four days.

The attacking power of Atlético Mineiro when travelling is not overwhelming with 15 goals scored from 17 league matches away. 23 goals have been conceded by Atlético Mineiro in these games.

Head 2 Head

Bahia and Atlético Mineiro have met before this season: Atlético Mineiro - Bahia 0-1. Bahia-Atlético Mineiro H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Bahia 2 wins, Atlético Mineiro 2 wins, 6 draws. 2 of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Atlético MineiroJ. Cazares
J. Cazares
4 goals
Atlético MineiroNathan
Nathan
4 goals
Atlético MineiroFábio Santos
Fábio Santos
3 goals

Bahia missing players

Atlético Mineiro missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Bahia Atlético Mineiro
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
34 17 4 Played P 4 17 34
11 7 1 Won W 1 3 11
11 6 2 Drew D 2 6 8
12 4 1 Lost L 1 8 15
39 22 7 Scored S 4 15 39
38 16 7 Conceded C 4 23 45
85% 88% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 88% 94%
62% 65% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 65% 76%
35% 35% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 47% 50%
24% 18% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 24% 24%
15% 18% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 3%
47% 53% 100% BTTS BTTS 50% 59% 56%
41% 41% 0% Clean Sheets C S 25% 12% 18%
26% 18% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 41% 32%
 
4.7 5.4 5.2 Corners For (avg) C F 4.8 5.4 6.1
5.5 5 5.2 Corners Against (avg) C A 8 6.3 5.7
1.7 1.5 1.2 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1.2 2.2 2
4 3 1 Red Cards R C 1 3 5
 
424 241 57 Total Shots T S 55 223 524
139 83 17 Shots on Target S O 18 80 184
28% 27% 41% Goal Efficiency G E 22% 19% 21%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Atlético Mineiro has the fewest clean sheets (6)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Flamengo 34 25 6 3 73 30 17 15 2 0 46 16 17 10 4 3 27 14 43 81
2 Santos 34 20 8 6 53 30 17 12 4 1 38 15 17 8 4 5 15 15 23 68
3 Palmeiras 34 19 11 4 53 27 17 12 4 1 34 9 17 7 7 3 19 18 26 68
4 Grêmio 34 17 8 9 57 34 17 10 3 4 33 18 17 7 5 5 24 16 23 59
5 Athletico PR 34 16 8 10 47 31 17 10 3 4 23 11 17 6 5 6 24 20 16 56
6 São Paulo 34 14 12 8 34 25 17 8 6 3 20 11 17 6 6 5 14 14 9 54
7 Internacional 34 14 9 11 39 34 17 10 6 1 25 12 17 4 3 10 14 22 5 51
8 Corinthians 34 12 14 8 36 30 17 9 7 1 21 11 17 3 7 7 15 19 6 50
9 Goiás 34 13 7 14 39 54 17 10 3 4 27 19 17 3 4 10 12 35 -15 46
10 Bahia 34 11 11 12 39 38 17 7 6 4 22 16 17 4 5 8 17 22 1 44
11 Vasco da Gama 34 11 11 12 36 42 17 6 5 6 18 21 17 5 6 6 18 21 -6 44
12 Fortaleza 34 12 7 15 44 46 17 9 2 6 22 15 17 3 5 9 22 31 -2 43
13 Atlético Mineiro 34 11 8 15 39 45 17 8 2 7 24 22 17 3 6 8 15 23 -6 41
14 Botafogo 34 12 3 19 29 41 17 9 1 7 18 15 17 3 2 12 11 26 -12 39
15 Fluminense 34 10 8 16 34 44 17 5 6 6 17 15 17 5 2 10 17 29 -10 38
16 Ceará 34 10 7 17 33 34 17 8 5 4 22 12 17 2 2 13 11 22 -1 37
17 Cruzeiro 34 7 15 12 27 40 17 5 8 4 13 14 17 2 7 8 14 26 -13 36
18 CSA 34 7 8 19 21 51 17 6 5 6 15 20 17 1 3 13 6 31 -30 29
19 Chapecoense 34 6 10 18 27 48 17 3 5 9 13 21 17 3 5 9 14 27 -21 28
20 Avaí 34 3 9 22 16 52 17 1 7 9 9 23 17 2 2 13 7 29 -36 18

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Flamengo 34 25 6 3 73 30 17 15 2 0 46 16 17 10 4 3 27 14 43 81
2 Santos 34 20 8 6 53 30 17 12 4 1 38 15 17 8 4 5 15 15 23 68
3 Palmeiras 34 19 11 4 53 27 17 12 4 1 34 9 17 7 7 3 19 18 26 68
4 Grêmio 34 17 8 9 57 34 17 10 3 4 33 18 17 7 5 5 24 16 23 59
5 Athletico PR 34 16 8 10 47 31 17 10 3 4 23 11 17 6 5 6 24 20 16 56
6 São Paulo 34 14 12 8 34 25 17 8 6 3 20 11 17 6 6 5 14 14 9 54
7 Internacional 34 14 9 11 39 34 17 10 6 1 25 12 17 4 3 10 14 22 5 51
8 Corinthians 34 12 14 8 36 30 17 9 7 1 21 11 17 3 7 7 15 19 6 50
9 Goiás 34 13 7 14 39 54 17 10 3 4 27 19 17 3 4 10 12 35 -15 46
10 Bahia 34 11 11 12 39 38 17 7 6 4 22 16 17 4 5 8 17 22 1 44
11 Vasco da Gama 34 11 11 12 36 42 17 6 5 6 18 21 17 5 6 6 18 21 -6 44
12 Fortaleza 34 12 7 15 44 46 17 9 2 6 22 15 17 3 5 9 22 31 -2 43
13 Atlético Mineiro 34 11 8 15 39 45 17 8 2 7 24 22 17 3 6 8 15 23 -6 41
14 Botafogo 34 12 3 19 29 41 17 9 1 7 18 15 17 3 2 12 11 26 -12 39
15 Fluminense 34 10 8 16 34 44 17 5 6 6 17 15 17 5 2 10 17 29 -10 38
16 Ceará 34 10 7 17 33 34 17 8 5 4 22 12 17 2 2 13 11 22 -1 37
17 Cruzeiro 34 7 15 12 27 40 17 5 8 4 13 14 17 2 7 8 14 26 -13 36
18 CSA 34 7 8 19 21 51 17 6 5 6 15 20 17 1 3 13 6 31 -30 29
19 Chapecoense 34 6 10 18 27 48 17 3 5 9 13 21 17 3 5 9 14 27 -21 28
20 Avaí 34 3 9 22 16 52 17 1 7 9 9 23 17 2 2 13 7 29 -36 18

More from Brazil - Serie A

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.