League One prediction and guide: Burton Albion modest betting favourite to get the better of Cambridge United

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Competition: England League One
Competition: Sat 25.March
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Pirelli Stadium (6912 seats)

This game stars two squads residing in the cellar of the League One, Burton Albion holding 18th place and Cambridge United lying 23rd. A decent chance for one of the contenders to boost their position.

Insights:
  • Burton Albion have the most conceded goals in the second half (42) in League One
  • Cambridge United have the the worst goal difference (-25) away in League One

Both contenders have had ample time to rest since their previous effort on the pitch. Let's aim for an enthusiastic match!

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Burton Albion form and stats

Burton Albion have played 18 League One games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 6-5-7 (wins-draws-losses). When Burton Albion hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like Morecambe, Oxford United, Accrington Stanley, Forest Green Rovers, Milton Keynes Dons, Burton Albion and Cheltenham Town), they have won 3 of 5 matches!

Burton Albion are returning here after visiting Port Vale (after extra-time) and winning with a 3-2 scoreline. Taylor (2) and Smith scored the goal(s). The attacker Smith was named "man of the match" for Burton Albion with a rating of 8.72/10. Smith scored one goal, served one assist, hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times.

Preceding that match was a defeat to Peterborough United (after extra-time) (2-5).

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Burton handle that role? We have found 9 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are 4 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats.

The Burton Albion fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 21 in 18 matches. Burton Albion have conceded 29 from these games. Burton Albion has at home met teams with this table position (low), five times. It has ended with less than 2.5 goals 4 of 5 times.

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Cambridge United form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Cambridge United so far with only 8 points returning home. The records show 2-2-14 (win-draw-lose). The loyal fans travelling with their beloved Cambridge have enjoyed the stadium food more than the matches as the visitors have gone ten consecutive matches without winning on the road.

The manager Bonner was unhappy after their last game, played at their home venue Abbey Stadium. Cambridge United suffered a 1-2 loss to Charlton Athletic (after extra-time) (placed 11th). Jones, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 7.32. Jones scored one goal and won 5 of 7 duels.

Preceding that game, the 0-1 loss visiting Milton Keynes Dons (after extra-time)'s place.

We have checked recent matches where Cambridge have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 7 games were 2 victories, 1 draw and 4 defeats.

Few goals the story here? 9 of this team's most recent 11 league fixtures have contained zero, one or two goals.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Cambridge United as they have only managed to score 11 times from 18 away games in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 0 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Cambridge United have pulled off a sequence of 4 consecutive matches without defeat (3-1-0) when playing Burton.

Cambridge United - Burton Albion 4-3 was the story when these participants formerly did battle, earlier this season.

Top Goalscorers

Cambridge UnitedJ. Ironside
J. Ironside
6 goals
Cambridge UnitedS. Smith
S. Smith
6 goals
Cambridge UnitedH. Knibbs
H. Knibbs
5 goals

Burton Albion missing players

Cambridge United missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Burton Albion Cambridge United
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
36 18 5 Played P 5 18 37
11 6 3 Won W 1 2 8
8 5 2 Drew D 0 2 6
17 7 0 Lost L 4 14 23
47 21 7 Scored S 4 11 28
70 29 3 Conceded C 7 36 59
97% 94% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 92%
83% 72% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 67% 65%
58% 44% 20% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 50% 43%
36% 33% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 22% 14%
25% 17% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 22% 14%
53% 39% 40% BTTS BTTS 60% 44% 43%
17% 28% 60% Clean Sheets C S 0% 6% 16%
33% 39% 20% Failed to Score F T 40% 56% 49%
 
5.7 6.6 6.4 Corners for (avg) C F 5.6 3.8 4.6
5.2 5.1 4 Corners against (avg) C A 4.8 5.3 5
1.4 0.9 0.6 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.6 2 1.8
4 3 1 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
11.8 12.3 13 Shots (avg) S ( 9.6 9.3 10.3
3.8 4.1 4.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.4 2.8 3.1
34% 28% 32% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 22% 25%
 
13.4 12 7.2 Shots against (avg) S A 12.4 14.5 12.8
4.2 3.5 2.6 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.4 4.9 4.1
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Burton Albion have the most conceded goals in the second half (42) in League One
  • Cambridge United have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Cambridge United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Cambridge United have the the worst goal difference (-25) away in League One
  • Cambridge United have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sheffield Wednesday 35 23 9 3 62 23 19 13 5 1 42 14 16 10 4 2 20 9 39 78
2 Plymouth Argyle 37 23 8 6 65 41 19 17 1 1 38 13 18 6 7 5 27 28 24 77
3 Ipswich Town 37 21 12 4 72 31 19 12 6 1 42 12 18 9 6 3 30 19 41 75
4 Barnsley 35 21 6 8 56 29 17 12 1 4 32 16 18 9 5 4 24 13 27 69
5 Derby County 37 18 10 9 59 37 19 12 4 3 37 16 18 6 6 6 22 21 22 64
6 Bolton Wanderers 38 18 10 10 52 31 19 12 4 3 28 11 19 6 6 7 24 20 21 64
7 Peterborough United 37 19 3 15 63 47 18 11 2 5 33 21 19 8 1 10 30 26 16 60
8 Wycombe Wanderers 37 18 6 13 50 35 19 10 4 5 28 17 18 8 2 8 22 18 15 60
9 Portsmouth 37 15 12 10 51 42 18 7 8 3 28 18 19 8 4 7 23 24 9 57
10 Shrewsbury Town 37 16 7 14 47 41 18 10 2 6 28 22 19 6 5 8 19 19 6 55
11 Charlton Athletic 37 12 12 13 52 49 18 6 6 6 29 23 19 6 6 7 23 26 3 48
12 Fleetwood Town 37 11 13 13 39 38 18 5 6 7 17 18 19 6 7 6 22 20 1 46
13 Exeter City 36 12 10 14 48 48 17 7 5 5 24 20 19 5 5 9 24 28 0 46
14 Bristol Rovers 37 12 9 16 50 60 19 5 6 8 22 30 18 7 3 8 28 30 -10 45
15 Lincoln City 36 9 18 9 33 38 18 4 13 1 16 14 18 5 5 8 17 24 -5 45
16 Port Vale 37 12 8 17 38 53 19 7 4 8 20 25 18 5 4 9 18 28 -15 44
17 Cheltenham Town 37 12 7 18 32 47 18 7 4 7 17 21 19 5 3 11 15 26 -15 43
18 Burton Albion 36 11 8 17 47 70 18 6 5 7 21 29 18 5 3 10 26 41 -23 41
19 Oxford United 37 9 10 18 39 49 18 5 3 10 22 26 19 4 7 8 17 23 -10 37
20 Milton Keynes Dons 37 10 6 21 33 54 18 3 4 11 12 25 19 7 2 10 21 29 -21 36
21 Accrington Stanley 36 8 11 17 30 56 18 5 5 8 20 28 18 3 6 9 10 28 -26 35
22 Morecambe 38 7 13 18 37 62 20 6 8 6 25 26 18 1 5 12 12 36 -25 34
23 Cambridge United 37 8 6 23 28 59 19 6 4 9 17 23 18 2 2 14 11 36 -31 30
24 Forest Green Rovers 37 5 8 24 28 71 18 4 1 13 13 32 19 1 7 11 15 39 -43 23

Burton Albion:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sheffield Wednesday 35 23 9 3 62 23 19 13 5 1 42 14 16 10 4 2 20 9 39 78
2 Plymouth Argyle 37 23 8 6 65 41 19 17 1 1 38 13 18 6 7 5 27 28 24 77
3 Ipswich Town 37 21 12 4 72 31 19 12 6 1 42 12 18 9 6 3 30 19 41 75
4 Barnsley 35 21 6 8 56 29 17 12 1 4 32 16 18 9 5 4 24 13 27 69
5 Derby County 37 18 10 9 59 37 19 12 4 3 37 16 18 6 6 6 22 21 22 64
6 Bolton Wanderers 38 18 10 10 52 31 19 12 4 3 28 11 19 6 6 7 24 20 21 64
7 Peterborough United 37 19 3 15 63 47 18 11 2 5 33 21 19 8 1 10 30 26 16 60
8 Wycombe Wanderers 37 18 6 13 50 35 19 10 4 5 28 17 18 8 2 8 22 18 15 60
9 Portsmouth 37 15 12 10 51 42 18 7 8 3 28 18 19 8 4 7 23 24 9 57
10 Shrewsbury Town 37 16 7 14 47 41 18 10 2 6 28 22 19 6 5 8 19 19 6 55
11 Charlton Athletic 37 12 12 13 52 49 18 6 6 6 29 23 19 6 6 7 23 26 3 48
12 Fleetwood Town 37 11 13 13 39 38 18 5 6 7 17 18 19 6 7 6 22 20 1 46
13 Exeter City 36 12 10 14 48 48 17 7 5 5 24 20 19 5 5 9 24 28 0 46
14 Bristol Rovers 37 12 9 16 50 60 19 5 6 8 22 30 18 7 3 8 28 30 -10 45
15 Lincoln City 36 9 18 9 33 38 18 4 13 1 16 14 18 5 5 8 17 24 -5 45
16 Port Vale 37 12 8 17 38 53 19 7 4 8 20 25 18 5 4 9 18 28 -15 44
17 Cheltenham Town 37 12 7 18 32 47 18 7 4 7 17 21 19 5 3 11 15 26 -15 43
18 Burton Albion 36 11 8 17 47 70 18 6 5 7 21 29 18 5 3 10 26 41 -23 41
19 Oxford United 37 9 10 18 39 49 18 5 3 10 22 26 19 4 7 8 17 23 -10 37
20 Milton Keynes Dons 37 10 6 21 33 54 18 3 4 11 12 25 19 7 2 10 21 29 -21 36
21 Accrington Stanley 36 8 11 17 30 56 18 5 5 8 20 28 18 3 6 9 10 28 -26 35
22 Morecambe 38 7 13 18 37 62 20 6 8 6 25 26 18 1 5 12 12 36 -25 34
23 Cambridge United 37 8 6 23 28 59 19 6 4 9 17 23 18 2 2 14 11 36 -31 30
24 Forest Green Rovers 37 5 8 24 28 71 18 4 1 13 13 32 19 1 7 11 15 39 -43 23

More from England - League One

Read more about League One

The English Football League One (usually referred to as League One) is the third highest division in English football. The League One league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Three teams are promoted and four relegated.