League One forecast and preview: Milton Keynes Dons modest expected to get the better of Cambridge United

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Competition: England League One
Competition: Sat 11.March
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadium mk (30500 seats)

League One: Tipsway are looking at an absorbing and important duel involving Milton Keynes Dons and Cambridge United at Stadium mk. They both need to win this!

Insights:
  • Milton Keynes Dons have the fewest points (10) at home in League One
  • Cambridge United have the the worst goal difference (-24) away in League One

There has not been much time to rest for the guests, as they played a League One game only four days ago.

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Milton Keynes Dons form and stats

Milton Keynes Dons's results here at Stadium mk in the League One have been very modest with 2 victories, 4 draws and 11 defeats.

In their previous game, the manager Jackson led his Milton Keynes Dons to a defeat away at Port Vale. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Stadium mk. Tucker was "man of the match" with a rating of 7.01 out of 10. The defender Tucker won 6 of 9 duels.

A 1-1 draw away before that, with Lincoln City the opponent.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Milton Keynes Dons have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 14 games) they have won 12 times, drawn 1 and lost 1.

Keynes have scored {11 league goals} here from 17 matches, not a lot. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Milton Keynes Dons's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 25 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. Milton Keynes Dons has at home met teams with this table position (low), four times. It has ended with less than 2.5 goals 4 of 4 times.

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Cambridge United form and stats

Cambridge United have only collected 8 points from their away games in the League One, after 2-2-13 (17 played). The pressure to perform on the road is increasing on Bonner, the Cambridge United manager, as the last three away games were defeats.

Cambridge played 1-1 against Morecambe in their previous match. Digby got a match rating of 7.64 in that game, top player of the team. Digby served one assist and hit two key passes.

The game before that, was lost at home, a 0-1 defeat against Portsmouth.

Cambridge United are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats. From a total of 7 matches.

A tale of few goals? 8 of this side's last 10 league fixtures have had two goals or less.

The visitors have scored 11 goals from 17 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 0 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. For Cambridge United, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net. When Cambridge is visiting a side on the bottom half, 3 of 4 matches have ended with three or more goals. These are matches against Morecambe, Cambridge United, Oxford United, Accrington Stanley, Forest Green Rovers, Burton Albion and Cheltenham Town.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other already this season, with the result Cambridge United - Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 logged in the official records. Head-to-head totals (for the previous six meetings): Keynes won four games, one match ended with a draw and Cambridge United have one win. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: three / three.

Top Goalscorers

Cambridge UnitedJ. Ironside
J. Ironside
6 goals
Cambridge UnitedS. Smith
S. Smith
6 goals
Milton Keynes DonsM. Eisa
M. Eisa
5 goals

Milton Keynes Dons missing players

Cambridge United missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Milton Keynes Dons Cambridge United
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
35 17 4 Played P 4 17 35
8 2 1 Won W 1 2 8
6 4 3 Drew D 0 2 6
21 11 0 Lost L 3 13 21
31 11 4 Scored S 4 11 27
54 25 3 Conceded C 6 35 56
94% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 91%
69% 59% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 71% 66%
40% 29% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 53% 43%
23% 18% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 24% 14%
11% 12% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 24% 14%
43% 47% 75% BTTS BTTS 75% 47% 43%
20% 12% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 6% 17%
43% 47% 0% Failed to Score F T 25% 53% 49%
 
4 4.5 5 Corners for (avg) C F 6.2 3.8 4.5
5 4.7 5 Corners against (avg) C A 4.5 5.3 5
1.9 1.8 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1.9 1.7
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
9.6 10.6 13 Shots (avg) S ( 10.5 9.5 10.4
3.4 3.4 3.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.2 2.8 3
26% 19% 27% Goal Efficiency G E 44% 23% 26%
 
12.9 12 13.5 Shots against (avg) S A 12.5 14.6 12.9
4.3 3.9 3.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.8 5.1 4.1
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Cambridge United have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Cambridge United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Cambridge United have the the worst goal difference (-24) away in League One
  • Milton Keynes Dons have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored at home.
  • Milton Keynes Dons have the fewest points (10) at home in League One
  • Milton Keynes Dons have the fewest scored goals (11) at home in League One

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sheffield Wednesday 33 22 8 3 60 22 18 13 4 1 41 13 15 9 4 2 19 9 38 74
2 Plymouth Argyle 35 22 8 5 63 38 18 16 1 1 36 13 17 6 7 4 27 25 25 74
3 Ipswich Town 35 19 12 4 68 31 18 11 6 1 40 12 17 8 6 3 28 19 37 69
4 Barnsley 33 19 6 8 52 29 16 11 1 4 29 16 17 8 5 4 23 13 23 63
5 Bolton Wanderers 36 18 9 9 51 28 18 12 4 2 28 9 18 6 5 7 23 19 23 63
6 Derby County 35 17 10 8 56 33 18 12 4 2 37 14 17 5 6 6 19 19 23 61
7 Wycombe Wanderers 34 17 6 11 47 32 18 10 4 4 28 16 16 7 2 7 19 16 15 57
8 Peterborough United 34 17 3 14 55 42 17 11 2 4 33 18 17 6 1 10 22 24 13 54
9 Shrewsbury Town 35 15 7 13 44 38 17 9 2 6 25 21 18 6 5 7 19 17 6 52
10 Portsmouth 34 13 12 9 46 40 17 7 8 2 28 17 17 6 4 7 18 23 6 51
11 Lincoln City 34 9 18 7 32 33 17 4 13 0 16 11 17 5 5 7 16 22 -1 45
12 Exeter City 34 11 10 13 45 44 16 6 5 5 22 19 18 5 5 8 23 25 1 43
13 Port Vale 35 12 7 16 35 49 18 7 4 7 18 22 17 5 3 9 17 27 -14 43
14 Fleetwood Town 35 10 12 13 36 37 17 5 5 7 16 17 18 5 7 6 20 20 -1 42
15 Bristol Rovers 34 11 9 14 47 55 17 5 6 6 22 26 17 6 3 8 25 29 -8 42
16 Charlton Athletic 34 10 11 13 45 46 17 6 5 6 28 22 17 4 6 7 17 24 -1 41
17 Cheltenham Town 35 10 7 18 26 46 17 6 4 7 14 20 18 4 3 11 12 26 -20 37
18 Oxford United 35 9 9 17 36 45 17 5 3 9 20 23 18 4 6 8 16 22 -9 36
19 Burton Albion 33 9 8 16 40 62 16 5 5 6 17 23 17 4 3 10 23 39 -22 35
20 Accrington Stanley 33 8 10 15 28 51 16 5 5 6 19 24 17 3 5 9 9 27 -23 34
21 Morecambe 35 7 12 16 34 54 18 6 7 5 23 21 17 1 5 11 11 33 -20 33
22 Milton Keynes Dons 35 8 6 21 31 54 17 2 4 11 11 25 18 6 2 10 20 29 -23 30
23 Cambridge United 35 8 6 21 27 56 18 6 4 8 16 21 17 2 2 13 11 35 -29 30
24 Forest Green Rovers 35 5 8 22 27 66 17 4 1 12 12 29 18 1 7 10 15 37 -39 23

Milton Keynes Dons:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sheffield Wednesday 33 22 8 3 60 22 18 13 4 1 41 13 15 9 4 2 19 9 38 74
2 Plymouth Argyle 35 22 8 5 63 38 18 16 1 1 36 13 17 6 7 4 27 25 25 74
3 Ipswich Town 35 19 12 4 68 31 18 11 6 1 40 12 17 8 6 3 28 19 37 69
4 Barnsley 33 19 6 8 52 29 16 11 1 4 29 16 17 8 5 4 23 13 23 63
5 Bolton Wanderers 36 18 9 9 51 28 18 12 4 2 28 9 18 6 5 7 23 19 23 63
6 Derby County 35 17 10 8 56 33 18 12 4 2 37 14 17 5 6 6 19 19 23 61
7 Wycombe Wanderers 34 17 6 11 47 32 18 10 4 4 28 16 16 7 2 7 19 16 15 57
8 Peterborough United 34 17 3 14 55 42 17 11 2 4 33 18 17 6 1 10 22 24 13 54
9 Shrewsbury Town 35 15 7 13 44 38 17 9 2 6 25 21 18 6 5 7 19 17 6 52
10 Portsmouth 34 13 12 9 46 40 17 7 8 2 28 17 17 6 4 7 18 23 6 51
11 Lincoln City 34 9 18 7 32 33 17 4 13 0 16 11 17 5 5 7 16 22 -1 45
12 Exeter City 34 11 10 13 45 44 16 6 5 5 22 19 18 5 5 8 23 25 1 43
13 Port Vale 35 12 7 16 35 49 18 7 4 7 18 22 17 5 3 9 17 27 -14 43
14 Fleetwood Town 35 10 12 13 36 37 17 5 5 7 16 17 18 5 7 6 20 20 -1 42
15 Bristol Rovers 34 11 9 14 47 55 17 5 6 6 22 26 17 6 3 8 25 29 -8 42
16 Charlton Athletic 34 10 11 13 45 46 17 6 5 6 28 22 17 4 6 7 17 24 -1 41
17 Cheltenham Town 35 10 7 18 26 46 17 6 4 7 14 20 18 4 3 11 12 26 -20 37
18 Oxford United 35 9 9 17 36 45 17 5 3 9 20 23 18 4 6 8 16 22 -9 36
19 Burton Albion 33 9 8 16 40 62 16 5 5 6 17 23 17 4 3 10 23 39 -22 35
20 Accrington Stanley 33 8 10 15 28 51 16 5 5 6 19 24 17 3 5 9 9 27 -23 34
21 Morecambe 35 7 12 16 34 54 18 6 7 5 23 21 17 1 5 11 11 33 -20 33
22 Milton Keynes Dons 35 8 6 21 31 54 17 2 4 11 11 25 18 6 2 10 20 29 -23 30
23 Cambridge United 35 8 6 21 27 56 18 6 4 8 16 21 17 2 2 13 11 35 -29 30
24 Forest Green Rovers 35 5 8 22 27 66 17 4 1 12 12 29 18 1 7 10 15 37 -39 23

More from England - League One

Read more about League One

The English Football League One (usually referred to as League One) is the third highest division in English football. The League One league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Three teams are promoted and four relegated.