League One forecast and pre-match guide: Burton Albion small front runner to subdue Accrington Stanley

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Competition: England League One
Competition: Sat 25.February
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Pirelli Stadium (6912 seats)

Burton Albion are opening their away dressing room to Accrington Stanley for yet another crucial match after their 2-1 result against 16th-placed Bristol Rovers.

Insights:
  • Burton Albion have the most conceded goals in the second half (37) in League One
  • Accrington Stanley have the fewest scored goals in the first half (5) in League One

There has not been much time to rest for the guests, as they played a EFL Trophy game only three days ago.

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Burton Albion form and stats

5 victories, 4 draws and 6 defeats. That’s what Burton Albion have to build on here at Pirelli Stadium in the League One. When Burton Albion hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like Morecambe, Cambridge United, Oxford United, Forest Green Rovers, Milton Keynes Dons, Burton Albion and Cheltenham Town), they have won 3 of 4 matches! Two home wins in a row for Burton bring valid hopes of a third.

Burton Albion are returning here after visiting Bristol Rovers and winning with a 2-1 scoreline. Kirk and Winnall scored the goal(s). The striker Taylor won the honour of being "man of the match" for Burton Albion with a rating of 8.04/10. Taylor served one assist, hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times.

Heartbreak before that as Burton lost 0-1 at Portsmouth's place.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Burton Albion have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 8 games) they have won 4 times, drawn 4 and lost 0.

Burton Albion has scored 17 league goals at home this season, in 15 matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Burton defense is not exactly impregnable. 23 goals conceded from 15 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above. Burton Albion has at home met teams with this table position (low), four times. It has ended with less than 2.5 goals 3 of 4 times.

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Accrington Stanley form and stats

Accrington Stanley have only collected 13 points from their away games in the League One, after 3-4-8 (15 played). Two points from the last two away games for Accrington Stanley, which the math geniuses among you will translate to two draws.

This match can not go any worse than the last one, a EFL Trophy home loss versus Bolton Wanderers with 0-2 on the scoreboard.

A home win before that, celebrating 1-0 vs Shrewsbury Town.

Accrington are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 4 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats. From a total of 16 matches.

Low on goals? 11 of this side's last 14 league rounds have contained two or less goals.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Accrington Stanley as they have only managed to score 9 times from 15 away games in the league. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Accrington Stanley have conceded 24 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

Accrington Stanley - Burton 4-4 was the result in these sides' last head-to-head match, earlier this season. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's three Burton Albion victories, five draws and two Accrington Stanley wins. Over/under statistics; five of these games ended with three goals or more, five matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Accrington StanleyT. Leigh
T. Leigh
6 goals
Accrington StanleyS. McConville
S. McConville
4 goals
BurtonA. Oshilaja
A. Oshilaja
3 goals

Burton Albion missing players

Accrington Stanley missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Burton Albion Accrington Stanley
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
31 15 4 Played P 5 15 30
9 5 3 Won W 1 3 7
7 4 1 Drew D 2 4 9
15 6 0 Lost L 2 8 14
40 17 7 Scored S 3 9 26
58 23 3 Conceded C 5 24 47
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 93% 93%
84% 73% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 67% 70%
55% 40% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 40% 40%
32% 33% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 20% 23%
23% 13% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 7%
52% 33% 50% BTTS BTTS 40% 40% 40%
16% 27% 50% Clean Sheets C S 40% 27% 27%
32% 40% 0% Failed to Score F T 40% 40% 40%
 
5.8 6.9 6.5 Corners for (avg) C F 6 6 5.2
5.4 5.2 3.8 Corners against (avg) C A 2.4 4.8 5.6
1.4 0.9 0.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.4 2.5 2.4
3 2 1 Red cards R C 0 2 3
 
11.5 12.1 13.2 Shots (avg) S ( 13 11.3 11.9
3.6 3.7 4.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.6 2.9 3.3
36% 30% 37% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 20% 27%
 
13.4 11.7 7.5 Shots against (avg) S A 10.2 11.5 12.6
4 3.3 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.8 3.9 3.8
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Accrington Stanley have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Accrington Stanley have the fewest scored goals (9) away in League One
  • Accrington Stanley have the fewest scored goals in the first half (5) in League One
  • Burton Albion have the most conceded goals in the second half (37) in League One
  • Burton Albion have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Burton Albion haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sheffield Wednesday 31 20 8 3 58 22 17 12 4 1 40 13 14 8 4 2 18 9 36 68
2 Plymouth Argyle 32 20 8 4 57 32 16 14 1 1 32 12 16 6 7 3 25 20 25 68
3 Ipswich Town 32 16 12 4 60 31 16 9 6 1 33 12 16 7 6 3 27 19 29 60
4 Bolton Wanderers 33 17 8 8 48 24 17 11 4 2 26 8 16 6 4 6 22 16 24 59
5 Derby County 31 16 9 6 50 25 16 11 3 2 33 12 15 5 6 4 17 13 25 57
6 Barnsley 30 17 5 8 45 27 14 9 1 4 22 14 16 8 4 4 23 13 18 56
7 Wycombe Wanderers 31 16 5 10 44 29 16 9 3 4 25 15 15 7 2 6 19 14 15 53
8 Shrewsbury Town 32 14 6 12 39 34 16 8 2 6 23 21 16 6 4 6 16 13 5 48
9 Peterborough United 30 15 2 13 48 38 14 9 1 4 26 15 16 6 1 9 22 23 10 47
10 Portsmouth 30 10 12 8 37 36 15 5 8 2 21 16 15 5 4 6 16 20 1 42
11 Charlton Athletic 31 10 10 11 45 43 16 6 5 5 28 21 15 4 5 6 17 22 2 40
12 Port Vale 33 11 7 15 33 47 17 6 4 7 17 22 16 5 3 8 16 25 -14 40
13 Fleetwood Town 32 9 12 11 35 34 16 4 5 7 15 17 16 5 7 4 20 17 1 39
14 Exeter City 32 10 9 13 42 43 15 5 5 5 20 19 17 5 4 8 22 24 -1 39
15 Lincoln City 30 8 15 7 29 31 15 3 12 0 14 10 15 5 3 7 15 21 -2 39
16 Bristol Rovers 32 10 8 14 44 55 16 5 5 6 22 26 16 5 3 8 22 29 -11 38
17 Oxford United 33 9 9 15 36 41 16 5 3 8 20 20 17 4 6 7 16 21 -5 36
18 Burton Albion 31 9 7 15 40 58 15 5 4 6 17 23 16 4 3 9 23 35 -18 34
19 Cheltenham Town 31 9 6 16 25 40 15 5 3 7 13 20 16 4 3 9 12 20 -15 33
20 Morecambe 32 7 10 15 33 52 17 6 6 5 23 21 15 1 4 10 10 31 -19 31
21 Accrington Stanley 30 7 9 14 26 47 15 4 5 6 17 23 15 3 4 8 9 24 -21 30
22 Milton Keynes Dons 32 8 5 19 30 51 16 2 4 10 11 24 16 6 1 9 19 27 -21 29
23 Cambridge United 32 8 5 19 26 52 16 6 3 7 15 19 16 2 2 12 11 33 -26 29
24 Forest Green Rovers 33 5 7 21 25 63 16 4 0 12 11 28 17 1 7 9 14 35 -38 22

Burton Albion:
Accrington Stanley:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sheffield Wednesday 31 20 8 3 58 22 17 12 4 1 40 13 14 8 4 2 18 9 36 68
2 Plymouth Argyle 32 20 8 4 57 32 16 14 1 1 32 12 16 6 7 3 25 20 25 68
3 Ipswich Town 32 16 12 4 60 31 16 9 6 1 33 12 16 7 6 3 27 19 29 60
4 Bolton Wanderers 33 17 8 8 48 24 17 11 4 2 26 8 16 6 4 6 22 16 24 59
5 Derby County 31 16 9 6 50 25 16 11 3 2 33 12 15 5 6 4 17 13 25 57
6 Barnsley 30 17 5 8 45 27 14 9 1 4 22 14 16 8 4 4 23 13 18 56
7 Wycombe Wanderers 31 16 5 10 44 29 16 9 3 4 25 15 15 7 2 6 19 14 15 53
8 Shrewsbury Town 32 14 6 12 39 34 16 8 2 6 23 21 16 6 4 6 16 13 5 48
9 Peterborough United 30 15 2 13 48 38 14 9 1 4 26 15 16 6 1 9 22 23 10 47
10 Portsmouth 30 10 12 8 37 36 15 5 8 2 21 16 15 5 4 6 16 20 1 42
11 Charlton Athletic 31 10 10 11 45 43 16 6 5 5 28 21 15 4 5 6 17 22 2 40
12 Port Vale 33 11 7 15 33 47 17 6 4 7 17 22 16 5 3 8 16 25 -14 40
13 Fleetwood Town 32 9 12 11 35 34 16 4 5 7 15 17 16 5 7 4 20 17 1 39
14 Exeter City 32 10 9 13 42 43 15 5 5 5 20 19 17 5 4 8 22 24 -1 39
15 Lincoln City 30 8 15 7 29 31 15 3 12 0 14 10 15 5 3 7 15 21 -2 39
16 Bristol Rovers 32 10 8 14 44 55 16 5 5 6 22 26 16 5 3 8 22 29 -11 38
17 Oxford United 33 9 9 15 36 41 16 5 3 8 20 20 17 4 6 7 16 21 -5 36
18 Burton Albion 31 9 7 15 40 58 15 5 4 6 17 23 16 4 3 9 23 35 -18 34
19 Cheltenham Town 31 9 6 16 25 40 15 5 3 7 13 20 16 4 3 9 12 20 -15 33
20 Morecambe 32 7 10 15 33 52 17 6 6 5 23 21 15 1 4 10 10 31 -19 31
21 Accrington Stanley 30 7 9 14 26 47 15 4 5 6 17 23 15 3 4 8 9 24 -21 30
22 Milton Keynes Dons 32 8 5 19 30 51 16 2 4 10 11 24 16 6 1 9 19 27 -21 29
23 Cambridge United 32 8 5 19 26 52 16 6 3 7 15 19 16 2 2 12 11 33 -26 29
24 Forest Green Rovers 33 5 7 21 25 63 16 4 0 12 11 28 17 1 7 9 14 35 -38 22

More from England - League One

Read more about League One

The English Football League One (usually referred to as League One) is the third highest division in English football. The League One league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Three teams are promoted and four relegated.