USL League One match prediction: Little separates Northern Colorado and Union Omaha in quality

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Competition: USA USL League One
Competition: Thu 22.September
Match begins: 02:00 (UTC)

Northern Colorado will aim to employ their home advantage to get one over today’s opponents. The hosts are currently 9 points behind Union Omaha.

Insights:
  • Northern Colorado have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Union Omaha have the fewest conceded goals (27) in USL League One

It’s a hectic schedule for the away team, as they were in action only four days ago in the USL League One.

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Northern Colorado form and stats

Northern Colorado have collected 17 points from their USL League One home games so far after 5-2-5.

In their previous game, the manager Zayed led his Northern Colorado to a defeat away at Tormenta. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting North Carolina in a game that was won 4-1.

This is expected to be a close game, with Northern Colorado perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Northern as a small favourite), we find 4 games. Northern Colorado has won 1 of these, drawn 2 and lost 1.

Sports bettors, take note: A review of the 26 most recent league games shows that 20 of them had at least one goal scored by each team.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Northern Colorado, as the USL League One home game vs Greenville Triumph is only three days away.

Northern Colorado have proved capable of finding the net in their games here with 20 goals in 12 league matches. Northern Colorado have conceded 15 in these home matches.

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Union Omaha form and stats

Playing away, Union Omaha, who have the fewest conceded goals (27) in USL League One, have won 4 games, drawn 6 and suffered 3 defeats in the USL League One this season. With two straight losses from their last two away games, Omaha are hoping that it's time for some travel points again.

Union Omaha's last game was the home draw against Greenville Triumph (1-1).

The game before that, was lost at home, a 2-3 defeat against Richmond Kickers.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Union Omaha playing away and similar expectations, we found 11 relevant matches. Results were 3 Union Omaha wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats.

The visitors have scored 12 goals from 13 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Omaha have conceded 15 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Union Omaha - Northern Colorado 1-1 was the outcome when these two sides formerly played each other, earlier this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last three matches): Northern Colorado zero wins, two draws and Union Omaha one victory. As for goals, zero matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Northern ColoradoI. Parra
I. Parra
11 goals
Union OmahaN. Meza
N. Meza
8 goals
Union OmahaJ. Scearce
J. Scearce
7 goals

Northern Colorado missing players

Union Omaha missing players

Northern Colorado Union Omaha
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
26 12 1 Played P 4 13 26
8 5 0 Won W 2 4 10
8 2 0 Drew D 1 6 11
10 5 1 Lost L 1 3 5
36 20 0 Scored S 5 12 31
35 15 1 Conceded C 4 15 27
92% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 77% 81%
85% 83% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 62% 69%
54% 58% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 46% 46%
27% 33% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 15% 15%
15% 17% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 8% 12%
77% 75% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 46% 54%
15% 8% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 38% 35%
15% 17% 100% Failed to Score F T 25% 38% 31%
 
5 5.8 6 Corners for (avg) C F 2.5 3.7 4.4
3.9 3 3 Corners against (avg) C A 4.8 4.1 4
3.1 3.2 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2.5 2.2
3 2 0 Red cards R C 0 1 4
 
9.2 10.8 14 Shots (avg) S ( 7.5 7.6 9
4.1 4.7 6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.2 2.8 3.1
32% 32% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 38% 32% 39%
 
8.5 6.6 5 Shots against (avg) S A 5.8 7.6 7.4
3.7 2.6 2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.5 3 2.9
Key stats in USL League One this season:
  • Northern Colorado have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Northern Colorado haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Union Omaha have the fewest conceded goals (27) in USL League One
  • Union Omaha have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (9) in USL League One
  • Union Omaha have the fewest scored goals (12) away in USL League One
  • Union Omaha have the most matches under the total-line (12) in USL League One

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Richmond Kickers 26 13 6 7 50 32 13 8 3 2 32 13 13 5 3 5 18 19 18 45
2 Union Omaha 26 10 11 5 31 27 13 6 5 2 19 12 13 4 6 3 12 15 4 41
3 Greenville Triumph 26 11 7 8 35 34 13 7 2 4 15 13 13 4 5 4 20 21 1 40
4 Chattanooga Red Wolves 26 10 7 9 47 34 14 6 4 4 29 17 12 4 3 5 18 17 13 37
5 Tormenta 26 10 7 9 37 38 13 3 5 5 17 23 13 7 2 4 20 15 -1 37
6 Charlotte Independence 26 10 6 10 40 42 13 6 4 3 26 18 13 4 2 7 14 24 -2 36
7 Northern Colorado 26 8 8 10 36 35 12 5 2 5 20 15 14 3 6 5 16 20 1 32
8 Forward Madison 26 7 11 8 33 38 13 4 5 4 17 18 13 3 6 4 16 20 -5 32
9 Central Valley Fuego 24 8 6 10 28 36 13 3 4 6 13 19 11 5 2 4 15 17 -8 30
10 Tucson 25 7 6 12 28 36 12 3 3 6 12 14 13 4 3 6 16 22 -8 27
11 North Carolina 25 7 5 13 30 43 12 4 3 5 16 17 13 3 2 8 14 26 -13 26

Read more about USL League One

USL League One is the third level of football in the United States and Canada. It is brand new; launched in 2019. The league currently holds ten teams but this is likely to expand. Regular season has 28 games played from March to October, followed by a playoff.