Major League Soccer preview: Can Portland Timbers edge out victory against SJ Earthquakes?

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Competition: USA Major League Soccer
Competition: Thu 28.October
Match begins: 02:00 (UTC)
Venue: Providence Park (21144 seats)

Having a 9 point edge in the league standings, Portland Timbers followers long to see their team collect full points from this fixture hosting SJ Earthquakes.

Insights:
  • Portland Timbers have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • SJ Earthquakes have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

It's no vacation for neither Portland nor SJ Earthquakes as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

SJ Earthquakes play their home matches on grass, while this game is played on artifical turf. Up to date results for SJ Earthquakes when featuring on artifical turf are 1 win, 1 draw and 8 defeats from ten matches. They have managed to score 10 goals and conceded 30 times on these occasions.

These teams have little in common geographically as SJ Earthquakes have to travel 1000 kilometers to reach their opponents. The trip home will be especially long if the match ends in defeat.

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Portland Timbers form and stats

When playing at home in the Major League Soccer, Portland Timbers have managed 9 wins, 2 draws and suffered 4 defeats from 15 games. With three straight defeats the pressure is piling up on Portland to get some points in this home game.

The fans are hoping that Portland will strike back in this match, putting things right after the 0-2 away loss in the Major League Soccer game against Colorado Rapids (placed 3rd). Midfielder Santiago Moreno was the best player on the team with a rating of 7.4 (out of ten) in that game. Moreno hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 3 of 4 times.

Ahead of that match, Portland lost 2-3 at home to Vancouver Whitecaps.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Portland have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 17 games) they have won seven times, drawn six and lost four.

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (30 in 15 games), Portland's attacking play is working. Portland have conceded 22 in these home matches.

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SJ Earthquakes form and stats

4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses. That’s the product of SJ Earthquakes playing as the away team in the Major League Soccer this season. The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as Earthquakes have lost on their last two travels.

There were no winners in SJ Earthquakes's previous match, a Major League Soccer home game that ended 1-1 vs Vancouver Whitecaps (placed 7th). Tommy Thompson, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 7.34. Thompson hit one key pass and won 7 of 12 duels.

Before that, SJ Earthquakes secured a home win against Austin with the score 4-0.

SJ Earthquakes are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, five draws and six defeats. From a total of 13 matches.

The schedule is very tough for Earthquakes now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Major League Soccer game at Real Salt Lake is waiting in only three days.

Earthquakes have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 15 league away games 17 goals have been scored. Earthquakes's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 25 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

The newest past history between these participants is the Portland - SJ Earthquakes 1-1 played earlier this season. Portland-SJ Earthquakes H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Portland Timbers seven wins, SJ Earthquakes one win, two draws. five of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

SJ EarthquakesJ. López Ramírez
J. López Ramírez
12 goals
Portland TimbersF. Mora Aliaga
F. Mora Aliaga
11 goals
Portland TimbersD. Asprilla Rivas
D. Asprilla Rivas
9 goals

Portland Timbers missing players

SJ Earthquakes missing players

Portland Timbers SJ Earthquakes
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
31 15 4 Played P 3 15 31
14 9 4 Won W 1 4 9
4 2 0 Drew D 1 6 10
13 4 0 Lost L 1 5 12
48 30 7 Scored S 4 17 41
51 22 3 Conceded C 6 25 48
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 93% 94%
84% 80% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 80% 81%
65% 73% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 53% 52%
32% 33% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 27% 35%
23% 27% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 13% 13%
65% 73% 75% BTTS BTTS 67% 67% 65%
23% 20% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 13% 16%
13% 7% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 27% 26%
 
3.8 4.9 4 Corners for (avg) C F 5 4.7 5.1
7.1 6.4 7.8 Corners against (avg) C A 5 5.9 4.6
2.1 2.1 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.3 2.6 2.4
2 2 0 Red cards R C 0 1 4
 
12.4 15.1 13.2 Shots (avg) S ( 12.3 12.6 13
4.2 4.9 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5 5 4.5
37% 41% 44% Goal Efficiency G E 27% 23% 30%
Key stats in Major League Soccer this season:
  • Portland Timbers have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Portland Timbers have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Portland Timbers haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • SJ Earthquakes have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Seattle Sounders 31 17 7 7 51 28 16 8 4 4 27 14 15 9 3 3 24 14 23 58
2 Sporting KC 30 16 7 7 54 34 15 8 5 2 30 16 15 8 2 5 24 18 20 55
3 Colorado Rapids 31 15 10 6 45 32 16 8 7 1 26 12 15 7 3 5 19 20 13 55
4 LA Galaxy 31 13 7 11 46 48 16 8 4 4 26 19 15 5 3 7 20 29 -2 46
5 Portland Timbers 31 14 4 13 48 51 15 9 2 4 30 22 16 5 2 9 18 29 -3 46
6 Minnesota United 31 12 9 10 36 38 16 9 3 4 22 13 15 3 6 6 14 25 -2 45
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 31 11 11 9 41 42 15 9 2 4 22 15 16 2 9 5 19 27 -1 44
8 Real Salt Lake 30 12 6 12 48 46 15 9 4 2 26 14 15 3 2 10 22 32 2 42
9 Los Angeles FC 31 11 8 12 47 45 15 7 5 3 30 22 16 4 3 9 17 23 2 41
10 SJ Earthquakes 31 9 10 12 41 48 16 5 4 7 24 23 15 4 6 5 17 25 -7 37
11 Houston Dynamo 32 6 12 14 36 51 16 6 6 4 21 21 16 0 6 10 15 30 -15 30
12 Dallas 31 6 11 14 43 52 15 4 7 4 22 18 16 2 4 10 21 34 -9 29
13 Austin 31 8 4 19 31 50 16 6 2 8 24 24 15 2 2 11 7 26 -19 28

Read more about Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer (often known simply as MLS) is the top level of football (soccer) in the United States and Canada. MLS has 24 teams divided into two conferences, Eastern and Western. Each team play 34 fixtures to decide a league table champion. The top fourteen teams then compete in playoff to crown a MLS Cup champion.