Major League Soccer prediction and preview: Minnesota United modest favorites to beat Real Salt Lake

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Competition: USA Major League Soccer
Competition: Mon 28.September
Match begins: 00:00 (UTC)
Venue: Allianz Field (19400 seats)

The league table in Major League Soccer tells a story about these teams so far, with Minnesota United leading Real Salt Lake by 4 points. Match preview to follow:

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

It's quite the trip for Real Salt Lake when visiting Minnesota as the cities are 2000 kilometers apart.

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Minnesota United form and stats

Minnesota United have secured 6 points from their first three home games in the Major League Soccer. A decent catch, still with room for improvement. Two home wins in a row for Minnesota bring valid hopes of a third.

Minnesota drew their last game, 2-2 away at Houston Dynamo (placed 10th). Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Sporting KC (0-1).

Opportunity lost for Minnesota in the Houston Dynamo match as a lead 2-0 was lost and what looked like a victory ended in a draw. Minnesota United's goalie Dayne St Clair played a big part in securing a draw after 90 minutes against Houston Dynamo with a stunning eight saves.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Minnesota have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found ten games) they have won six times, drawn two and lost two.

Minnesota United are showing their attacking force in their league home games this season, scoring more than 2,5 goals per game on average (8 goals in 3 games). Minnesota's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 4 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Real Salt Lake form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Major League Soccer travels is 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat.

Home advantage was not enough for Salt in their previous game, as they lost their Major League Soccer-match, hosting Vancouver Whitecaps, 1-2. Preceding that, the 0-5 home loss versus Colorado Rapids.

We have checked recent matches where Real Salt Lake have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those eight games were one victory, two draws and five defeats.

With an average of more than two away goals per league game away, Salt are regular goalscorers on their travels. For Salt, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Minnesota - Real Salt Lake 4-0, played this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last nine matches): Minnesota United five wins, three draws and Real Salt Lake one victory. As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Minnesota UnitedR. Lod
R. Lod
6 goals
Minnesota UnitedK. Molino
K. Molino
6 goals
Real Salt LakeD. Kreilach
D. Kreilach
6 goals

Minnesota United missing players

Real Salt Lake missing players

Minnesota United Real Salt Lake
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
15 3 0 Played P 0 5 13
6 2 0 Won W 0 1 3
4 0 0 Drew D 0 2 5
5 1 0 Lost L 0 2 5
29 8 0 Scored S 0 10 19
24 4 0 Conceded C 0 14 26
93% 100% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 80% 85%
87% 100% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 80% 85%
80% 100% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 80% 62%
60% 67% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 80% 46%
20% 33% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 60% 31%
73% 67% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 60% 46%
13% 33% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 31%
20% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 40% 38%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.9 2 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 1.6 2.5
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 2 4
 
205 43 0 Total Shots T S 0 64 170
71 14 0 Shots on Target S O 0 28 58
41% 57% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 36% 33%
Key stats in Major League Soccer this season:
  • All of Minnesota United's home-matches have had more than 2,5 goals.
  • Minnesota United has the most matches over the total-line (10) in Major League Soccer
  • Real Salt Lake has the fewest dropped points from leading position (0) in Major League Soccer
  • Real Salt Lake has the fewest scored goals in the first half (4) in Major League Soccer
  • Real Salt Lake have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Seattle Sounders 11 6 3 2 26 10 8 5 2 1 20 6 3 1 1 1 6 4 16 21
2 Sporting KC 12 6 2 4 23 18 7 3 1 3 14 13 5 3 1 1 9 5 5 20
3 Dallas 11 5 4 2 19 12 7 4 2 1 13 6 4 1 2 1 6 6 7 19
4 Minnesota United 12 5 3 4 23 19 3 2 0 1 8 4 9 3 3 3 15 15 4 18
5 Portland Timbers 12 5 3 4 25 24 6 2 1 3 10 14 6 3 2 1 15 10 1 18
6 Colorado Rapids 12 4 4 4 20 20 5 1 3 1 7 9 7 3 1 3 13 11 0 16
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 12 5 0 7 17 24 5 2 0 3 12 14 7 3 0 4 5 10 -7 15
8 LA Galaxy 11 4 3 4 16 17 6 2 1 3 8 8 5 2 2 1 8 9 -1 15
9 Los Angeles FC 12 4 3 5 25 27 8 4 3 1 24 15 4 0 0 4 1 12 -2 15
10 Houston Dynamo 12 3 6 3 20 19 5 2 3 0 8 4 7 1 3 3 12 15 1 15
11 Real Salt Lake 12 3 5 4 17 21 8 2 3 3 9 12 4 1 2 1 8 9 -4 14
12 SJ Earthquakes 12 2 5 5 17 33 6 0 4 2 7 15 6 2 1 3 10 18 -16 11

Read more about Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer (often known simply as MLS) is the top level of football (soccer) in the United States and Canada. MLS has 24 teams divided into two conferences, Eastern and Western. Each team play 34 fixtures to decide a league table champion. The top fourteen teams then compete in playoff to crown a MLS Cup champion.