Major League Soccer prediction: Home win expected when Los Angeles FC takes on Houston Dynamo

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Competition: USA Major League Soccer
Date: Thu 26.September
Match begins: 02:30 (UTC)
Venue: Banc of California Stadium (22716 seats)

Only a win will satisfy the home supporters in this Banc of California Stadium clash with Houston Dynamo, having a healthy lead on the opposition in the Major League Soccer table.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

Houston Dynamo have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 2400 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

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Los Angeles FC form and stats

36 points is a decent return from 15 Major League Soccer games here at Banc of California Stadium for Los Angeles FC, who have the most scored goals (78) in Major League Soccer,. The data says 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss.

Los Angeles FC's previous game was a Major League Soccer match also played at home, ending 3-1 versus Houston Dynamo (placed 10th). The home side are looking to build on that result. Before that, Los Angeles FC drew at home versus Toronto.

Los Angeles FC are an "over 2,5 goals" team alone here at Banc of California Stadium in their league games, having scored an impressive 42 goals in 15 attempts. Los Angeles FC have conceded 18 in these home matches.

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Houston Dynamo form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Houston Dynamo, who have the fewest clean sheets (3) in Major League Soccer, so far with only 6 Major League Soccer points returning home. The records show 2-0-13 (win-draw-lose). Bitter travels for Houston Dynamo as they have lost six games in a row away from home. The last time they avoided an away-from-home loss was the Toronto.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Houston Dynamo, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 1-3 versus Los Angeles FC (placed 1st). Before that, Houston Dynamo secured a home win against Orlando City with the score 2-1.

As mentioned above, the bookmakers do not believe the away team will get anything from this match. Checking Houston Dynamo's match history for similar games we find two matches. The home team won 1 of these as expected, 1 of them by at least two goals. Houston Dynamo managed 0 draws and 1 surprise win.

Houston Dynamo have scored 16 goals on their travels this season, from 15 away games in the league. For Houston Dynamo, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Los Angeles FC - Houston Dynamo 3-1. Numbers for the last five meetings between these two teams are: 3 wins for Los Angeles FC, 2 draws and 0 wins for Houston Dynamo. Over 2,5 goals: 5 times; under 2,5 goals: 0 games.

Top Goalscorers

C. Vela
30 goals / 10 assists
D. Rossi
16 goals / 5 assists
M. Manotas
13 goals / 7 assists

Los Angeles FC missing players

Houston Dynamo missing players

Los Angeles FC Houston Dynamo
Total Home Home vs low Statistics Stat Away vs top Away Total
32 16 2 Played P 3 16 32
20 12 2 Won W 0 2 11
8 3 0 Drew D 0 0 4
4 1 0 Lost L 3 14 17
81 45 8 Scored S 1 17 44
35 19 2 Conceded C 4 38 55
97% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
91% 94% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 81% 84%
62% 69% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 75% 66%
53% 56% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 50% 38%
34% 44% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 31% 19%
62% 69% 100% BTTS BTTS 33% 62% 66%
28% 25% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 9%
12% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 38% 25%
 
6.2 7.9 8.5 Corners For (avg) C F 4.7 4.6 5.5
3.9 3.2 1.5 Corners Against (avg) C A 5 5.5 5
1.6 1.2 2 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2.7 2.6 2.1
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 2 4
Key stats This season:
  • Houston Dynamo have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Houston Dynamo have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Houston Dynamo have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Houston Dynamo haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Los Angeles FC have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Los Angeles FC have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Los Angeles FC have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Houston Dynamo have scored away.
  • Los Angeles FC have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Los Angeles FC have won significantly more corners at home than away.

Los Angeles FC
18-08-19 MLS Real Salt Lake 0 - 2 Los Angeles FC
22-08-19 MLS Los Angeles FC 4 - 0 SJ Earthquakes
26-08-19 MLS Los Angeles FC 3 - 3 LA Galaxy
02-09-19 MLS Los Angeles FC 0 - 2 Minnesota United
07-09-19 MLS Orlando City 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC
14-09-19 MLS Philadelphia Union 1 - 1 Los Angeles FC
22-09-19 MLS Los Angeles FC 1 - 1 Toronto
26-09-19 MLS Los Angeles FC 3 - 1 Houston Dynamo
29-09-19 MLS Minnesota United 23:30 Los Angeles FC
06-10-19 MLS Los Angeles FC 20:00 Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo
11-08-19 MLS Philadelphia Union 2 - 1 Houston Dynamo
18-08-19 MLS Houston Dynamo 2 - 2 Colorado Rapids
26-08-19 MLS Dallas 5 - 1 Houston Dynamo
01-09-19 MLS Sporting KC 1 - 0 Houston Dynamo
12-09-19 MLS Houston Dynamo 2 - 0 Minnesota United
15-09-19 MLS Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - 1 Houston Dynamo
22-09-19 MLS Houston Dynamo 2 - 1 Orlando City
26-09-19 MLS Los Angeles FC 3 - 1 Houston Dynamo
29-09-19 MLS Real Salt Lake 23:30 Houston Dynamo
06-10-19 MLS Houston Dynamo 20:00 LA Galaxy

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Los Angeles FC 31 19 8 4 78 34 15 11 3 1 42 18 16 8 5 3 36 16 44 65
2 Minnesota United 32 15 7 10 51 41 16 10 5 1 28 12 16 5 2 9 23 29 10 52
3 Seattle Sounders 32 14 8 10 50 49 16 10 4 2 33 21 16 4 4 8 17 28 1 50
4 LA Galaxy 31 15 3 13 51 50 16 11 1 4 33 21 15 4 2 9 18 29 1 48
5 Real Salt Lake 31 14 5 12 42 38 15 11 1 3 28 12 16 3 4 9 14 26 4 47
6 Dallas 32 12 9 11 48 43 16 9 6 1 32 16 16 3 3 10 16 27 5 45
7 SJ Earthquakes 31 13 5 13 50 49 15 10 2 3 31 17 16 3 3 10 19 32 1 44
8 Portland Timbers 31 13 5 13 45 44 15 7 3 5 24 17 16 6 2 8 21 27 1 44
9 Colorado Rapids 32 11 6 15 54 60 16 8 2 6 33 29 16 3 4 9 21 31 -6 39
10 Houston Dynamo 31 11 4 16 43 52 16 9 4 3 27 17 15 2 0 13 16 35 -9 37
11 Sporting KC 32 10 7 15 47 59 16 7 3 6 28 28 16 3 4 9 19 31 -12 37
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 32 7 10 15 33 55 16 5 5 6 16 22 16 2 5 9 17 33 -22 31

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