Major League Soccer prediction and preview: SJ Earthquakes modest favorites to beat Houston Dynamo

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Competition: USA Major League Soccer
Date: Thu 27.June
Match begins: 02:30 (UTC)
Venue: Avaya Stadium (18000 seats)

Getting closer to the top teams is at stake when these two mid-table clubs battle it out. Both will be aiming to improve their league table standing, SJ Earthquakes in 6th and Houston Dynamo in 5th place.

It's no vacation for neither SJ Earthquakes nor Houston Dynamo as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

Houston Dynamo have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 3000 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

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SJ Earthquakes form and stats

The story so far for SJ Earthquakes at their home stadium (Avaya Stadium) is 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Two home wins in a row for SJ Earthquakes bring valid hopes of a third.

The SJ Earthquakes supporters enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host Houston Dynamo in Major League Soccer and win 2-0. Heartbreak before that as SJ Earthquakes lost 1-3 at Los Angeles FC's place.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from SJ Earthquakes's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played one game, won 0 matches, drawn 1 and lost 0.

The SJ Earthquakes fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 17 goals in 9 matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the SJ Earthquakes defense is not exactly impregnable. 14 goals conceded from 9 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Houston Dynamo form and stats

There's been little loot from Houston Dynamo's travels as they have only collected 3 points from 6 away games. Houston Dynamo, who have the fewest points (3) away in Major League Soccer, only have 1 win to counter their 5 defeats and 0 draws. five defeats in a row for Houston Dynamo in their away games. Unhappy days, as the last time they avoided a loss on the road was versus Colorado Rapids. Recent form does not give Houston Dynamo much hope, as the visitors have lost three games in a row. SJ Earthquakes will be a tough nut to crack.

Houston Dynamo play their second straight away game, having lost the previous one 0-2 to SJ Earthquakes. Preceding that game, the 0-4 loss visiting Portland Timbers's place.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Houston Dynamo when being an outsider away as they are today, we find five matches with the visitors losing 3 times, drawing 1 and winning 1 game.

The attacking power of Houston Dynamo when travelling is not overwhelming with 5 goals scored in 6 matches. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Houston Dynamo have conceded 11 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: SJ Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo 2-0. Last ten meetings between the teams: SJ Earthquakes won 3, Houston Dynamo won 5 and 2 draws. 6 games with over 2,5 goals, 4 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

V. Qazaishvili
3 goals
T. Martínez
2 goals / 1 assists

SJ Earthquakes missing players

Houston Dynamo missing players

SJ Earthquakes Houston Dynamo
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
16 9 1 Played 1 6 15
6 5 0 Won 0 1 7
4 1 0 Drew 0 0 3
6 3 1 Lost 1 5 5
25 17 0 Scored 0 5 21
27 14 3 Conceded 1 11 20
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 100%
88% 89% 100% Over 1.5 0% 67% 87%
75% 78% 100% Over 2.5 0% 50% 53%
44% 44% 0% Over 3.5 0% 33% 20%
25% 33% 0% Over 4.5 0% 17% 13%
62% 44% 0% BTTS 0% 33% 67%
25% 33% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 0% 7%
19% 22% 100% Failed To Score 100% 67% 27%
 
6 6.4 5 Corners For (avg) 5 4.2 5.5
5.4 4.9 3 Corners Against (avg) 3 5.8 5.5
2.4 2.3 2 Yellow Cards (avg) 2 2.7 2.2
2 1 0 Red Cards 0 0 1
Key stats this season:
  • Houston Dynamo have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Houston Dynamo have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Houston Dynamo have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Houston Dynamo haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • SJ Earthquakes have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • SJ Earthquakes have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Houston Dynamo have scored away.
  • SJ Earthquakes haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

SJ Earthquakes
02-06-19 MLS DC United 1 - 1 SJ Earthquakes
08-06-19 MLS SJ Earthquakes 2 - 2 Dallas
12-06-19 UOC SJ Earthquakes 4 - 3 Sacramento Republic
21-06-19 UOC Los Angeles FC 3 - 1 SJ Earthquakes
27-06-19 MLS SJ Earthquakes 2 - 0 Houston Dynamo
30-06-19 MLS SJ Earthquakes 02:00 LA Galaxy
04-07-19 MLS Minnesota United 00:00 SJ Earthquakes
07-07-19 MLS SJ Earthquakes 02:30 Real Salt Lake
13-07-19 MLS LA Galaxy 03:00 SJ Earthquakes
17-07-19 CF SJ Earthquakes 02:15 Real Valladolid
Houston Dynamo
02-06-19 MLS Houston Dynamo 1 - 1 Sporting KC
12-06-19 UOC Houston Dynamo 3 - 2 Austin Bold
18-06-19 UOC Houston Dynamo 2 - 3 Minnesota United
23-06-19 MLS Portland Timbers 4 - 0 Houston Dynamo
27-06-19 MLS SJ Earthquakes 2 - 0 Houston Dynamo
29-06-19 MLS New England 23:30 Houston Dynamo
04-07-19 MLS Houston Dynamo 01:00 New York RB
06-07-19 MLS Cincinnati 23:30 Houston Dynamo
13-07-19 MLS Houston Dynamo 01:00 Los Angeles FC
17-07-19 MLS Atlanta United 23:00 Houston Dynamo

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Los Angeles FC 16 11 4 1 39 13 8 7 1 0 20 6 8 4 3 1 19 7 26 37
2 LA Galaxy 17 10 1 6 24 19 9 6 0 3 14 11 8 4 1 3 10 8 5 31
3 Seattle Sounders 16 7 5 4 26 21 8 6 2 0 16 7 8 1 3 4 10 14 5 26
4 Dallas 18 7 5 6 27 24 10 5 4 1 16 10 8 2 1 5 11 14 3 26
5 Houston Dynamo 15 7 3 5 21 20 9 6 3 0 16 9 6 1 0 5 5 11 1 24
6 SJ Earthquakes 16 6 4 6 25 27 9 5 1 3 17 14 7 1 3 3 8 13 -2 22
7 Minnesota United 16 6 3 7 23 25 7 3 3 1 9 7 9 3 0 6 14 18 -2 21
8 Vancouver Whitecaps 18 4 8 6 21 24 10 3 4 3 10 11 8 1 4 3 11 13 -3 20
9 Real Salt Lake 16 6 2 8 22 28 6 4 0 2 11 8 10 2 2 6 11 20 -6 20
10 Sporting KC 16 4 7 5 27 27 8 3 3 2 19 15 8 1 4 3 8 12 0 19
11 Portland Timbers 15 5 2 8 24 28 2 1 0 1 6 3 13 4 2 7 18 25 -4 17
12 Colorado Rapids 17 4 4 9 27 36 9 3 2 4 18 20 8 1 2 5 9 16 -9 16