Major League Soccer preview: Can Inter Miami edge out victory against Toronto?

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Competition: USA Major League Soccer
Competition: Wed 20.October
Match begins: 23:30 (UTC)

Inter Miami are receiving Toronto for another very important fixture following their 0-4 result vs 10th-placed Columbus Crew.

Insights:
  • Inter Miami have the fewest scored goals (25) in Major League Soccer
  • Toronto have the most conceded goals (56) in Major League Soccer

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Inter Miami form and stats

The story so far in the Major League Soccer for Inter Miami, who have the fewest scored goals (25) in Major League Soccer, at their home stadium is 5 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats. It's trouble wherever Inter are playing these days as they have suffered six straight defeats now, regardless of arena. They really need to get back to winning ways.

Inter are anxiously hoping for a goal as it's been 386 minutes since the last one in league fixtures. (Scored by G. Higuain).

In their previous game, the manager P. Neville led his Inter to a defeat in the Major League Soccer match away at Columbus Crew. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here. Inter were outplayed and humiliated in their previous game, as mentioned in the paragraph above. They will need to reinstall their confidence before this one. Midfield player Blaise Matuidi got a match rating of 7.03 in that game, the max score being 10. Matuidi had 39 successful passes (of 45 total).

Prior to that, an away loss at New York RB.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Inter handle that role? We have found nine games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are five wins, two draws and two defeats.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Major League Soccer game versus Cincinnati in only three days. This game is also played here.

Inter are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 17 goals in 14 games. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Goals are flowing in at the wrong end for Inter with 31 goals conceded in these matches.

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Toronto form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Toronto so far with only 8 points returning home. The records show 2-2-11 (win-draw-lose).

The manager C. Armas was unhappy after their last game, a Major League Soccer match played at their home ground BMO Field. Toronto suffered a 0-2 loss to Atlanta United (placed 5th). Toronto keeper Alex Bono could enjoy a magnificent day at work vs Atlanta United, but in spite of registering six saves the beating could not be stopped. Goalkeeper Alex Bono got the top player rating of the team with 7.42/10. Bono stopped the opponent with six saves.

Prior to that match, a home win 3-1 against Chicago Fire.

Toronto are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, five draws and eleven defeats. From a total of 18 matches.

A quick return to home after this game, as Toronto are hosting Montreal Impact in the Major League Soccer only three days away.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Toronto as they have only managed to score 14 times from 15 away games in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. For Toronto, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

Toronto - Inter Miami 0-1 was the outcome when this pair of teams formerly met, also in this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last three matches): Inter two wins, zero draws and Toronto one victory. As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), one game had two or less.

Inter Miami missing players

Toronto missing players

Inter Miami Toronto
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
29 14 2 Played P 3 15 29
9 5 2 Won W 1 2 6
5 2 0 Drew D 0 2 7
15 7 0 Lost L 2 11 16
25 17 4 Scored S 3 14 34
47 31 2 Conceded C 5 35 56
93% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 93% 97%
62% 93% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 80% 86%
45% 71% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 60% 55%
28% 43% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 40% 38%
17% 29% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 27% 21%
41% 64% 50% BTTS BTTS 67% 60% 66%
17% 7% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 7% 7%
48% 29% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 40% 31%
 
4.5 5.1 5.5 Corners for (avg) C F 2.3 3.7 4.4
4.9 3 4.5 Corners against (avg) C A 6.7 4.6 4.4
2.5 2.1 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.7 1.5 1.7
4 2 0 Red cards R C 0 2 4
 
9.4 11.5 8 Shots (avg) S ( 10.7 9.3 10.1
3.1 4 2.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3.2 3.6
28% 30% 80% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 29% 33%
Key stats in Major League Soccer this season:
  • Inter Miami have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Inter Miami have the fewest scored goals (25) in Major League Soccer
  • Inter Miami have the fewest scored goals in the first half (7) in Major League Soccer
  • Inter Miami have the most conceded goals (31) at home in Major League Soccer
  • Inter Miami have the the worst goal difference (-14) at home in Major League Soccer
  • Inter Miami haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Toronto have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Toronto have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Toronto have the fewest clean sheets (2) in Major League Soccer
  • Toronto have the most conceded goals (56) in Major League Soccer
  • Toronto have the most conceded goals in the first half (27) in Major League Soccer
  • Toronto have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 New England 30 20 6 4 59 36 15 11 3 1 30 17 15 9 3 3 29 19 23 66
2 Nashville SC 29 11 15 3 46 26 15 8 7 0 33 16 14 3 8 3 13 10 20 48
3 Philadelphia Union 29 12 10 7 40 29 15 9 3 3 22 10 14 3 7 4 18 19 11 46
4 Orlando City 29 12 9 8 42 41 14 8 4 2 25 14 15 4 5 6 17 27 1 45
5 Atlanta United 29 11 9 9 39 33 14 8 3 3 21 11 15 3 6 6 18 22 6 42
6 DC United 29 12 5 12 49 41 14 10 1 3 28 11 15 2 4 9 21 30 8 41
7 Montreal Impact 29 11 8 10 42 39 15 8 4 3 27 21 14 3 4 7 15 18 3 41
8 New York City 28 11 7 10 44 32 14 8 3 3 29 12 14 3 4 7 15 20 12 40
9 New York RB 28 10 7 11 34 30 14 6 5 3 17 11 14 4 2 8 17 19 4 37
10 Columbus Crew 29 10 7 12 36 39 14 8 3 3 27 18 15 2 4 9 9 21 -3 37
11 Inter Miami 29 9 5 15 25 47 14 5 2 7 17 31 15 4 3 8 8 16 -22 32
12 Chicago Fire 30 7 7 16 31 48 16 6 5 5 22 18 14 1 2 11 9 30 -17 28
13 Toronto 29 6 7 16 34 56 14 4 5 5 20 21 15 2 2 11 14 35 -22 25
14 Cincinnati 29 4 8 17 29 55 14 1 5 8 10 17 15 3 3 9 19 38 -26 20

Read more about Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer (often known simply as MLS) is the top level of football (soccer) in the United States and Canada. MLS has 24 teams divided into two conferences, Eastern and Western. Each team play 34 fixtures to decide a league table champion. The top fourteen teams then compete in playoff to crown a MLS Cup champion.