Major League Soccer match prediction: Little separates Inter Miami and Atlanta United in quality

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: USA Major League Soccer
Competition: Sat 06.May
Match begins: 23:30 (UTC)
Venue: Inter Miami CF Stadium (18000 seats)

Preview: 9 points stand between the participants so far, Atlanta United the sharpest side. Will Inter Miami shorten the gap?

Insights:
  • Inter Miami is in the worst form (1-0-5)
  • Atlanta United have the most scored goals in the second half (11) in Major League Soccer

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

W D L L L

Inter Miami form and stats

The story so far in the Major League Soccer for Inter Miami at their home stadium (Inter Miami CF Stadium) is 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Inter Miami are very eager to stop a potential losing streak at Inter Miami CF Stadium, having lost their two previous games here.

Inter enjoyed a nice away win last time out, playing at Columbus Crew's place. The match ended 2-1 with Campana (2) scoring. A huge relief, as that was the first three points in the league after playing, but not winning, six games in a row. Callender loved the game against Columbus Crew. With a stunning seven saves the goalkeeper played a huge part in the 2-1 victory. Attacking player Campana outshone all others in that match and was awarded a match rating of 8.14 out of 10. Campana scored two goals.

In the match before, 2-2 away to Miami FC II (after extra-time, 3-5 on penalties) (US Open Cup). This is expected to be a close game, with Inter Miami perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Inter Miami as a small favourite), we find 16 games. Inter Miami has won 10 of these, drawn 1 and lost 5.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Inter as they have a new game in only three days, a US Open Cup match thankfully also at home. Charleston Battery are visiting.

The Inter Miami fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 6 goals in 4 league matches.

L L W D D

Atlanta United form and stats

As the visiting team in Major League Soccer matches, Atlanta United have produced an overall stat of 1-2-2 so far.

Atlanta United lost away at Nashville SC (1-3) in their previous game and are perhaps starting to feel homesick. That defeat was their first after four consecutive league games winning points. Midfield player Almada was the top player of the team with a match rating of 7.35/10. Almada scored one goal, hit four key passes, dribled past the opponent 5 of 7 times and had 55 successful passes (of 63 total).

A tough loss as solid favourites in the match before that, the US Open Cup fixture home vs Memphis 901 (after extra-time). So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Atlanta United playing away and similar expectations, we found 10 relevant matches. Results were 5 Atlanta wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats.

Sports betting fact: Both sides have scored in 8 of this club's latest 10 league matches.

The travelling fans enjoy Atlanta United's attacking play in away games, having scored 8 goals in 5 league matches away. For Atlanta United, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

Statistics for the prior nine meetings involving these two teams are: three wins for Inter, three draws and three wins for Atlanta United. Over 2,5 goals: four times; under 2,5 goals: five games.

Top Goalscorers

Atlanta UnitedT. Almada
T. Almada
5 goals
Atlanta UnitedG. Giakoumakis
G. Giakoumakis
5 goals
Atlanta UnitedC. Wiley
C. Wiley
3 goals

Inter Miami missing players

Atlanta United missing players

Inter Miami Atlanta United
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
9 4 0 Played P 2 5 10
3 2 0 Won W 1 1 5
0 0 0 Drew D 1 2 3
6 2 0 Lost L 0 2 2
8 6 0 Scored S 5 8 19
10 4 0 Conceded C 2 12 16
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
56% 75% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 90%
22% 25% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 80% 70%
11% 25% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 60% 40%
11% 25% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 20% 20%
22% 25% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 80% 80%
22% 50% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 20% 20%
56% 25% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 0%
 
4.7 4.8 0 Corners for (avg) C F 3.5 4.2 4.8
4.4 3.8 0 Corners against (avg) C A 6 5.4 4.3
1.7 1 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.2 2.1
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
11.7 12.8 0 Shots (avg) S ( 11.5 10.2 12.2
4.2 4.8 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5 3.2 4.3
21% 32% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 50% 44%
 
14.1 14.5 0 Shots against (avg) S A 11.5 12.6 11.3
5.7 5.8 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.5 4.2 3.8
Key stats in Major League Soccer this season:
  • All of Atlanta United's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Atlanta United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Atlanta United have scored in all their matches so far.
  • Atlanta United have scored more than double the goals of Inter Miami.
  • Atlanta United have the most conceded goals in the second half (12) in Major League Soccer
  • Atlanta United have the most scored goals (8) away in Major League Soccer
  • Atlanta United have the most scored goals in the second half (11) in Major League Soccer
  • Atlanta United haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Inter Miami have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Inter Miami haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Inter Miami is in the worst form (1-0-5)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 New England 10 6 3 1 16 9 6 4 2 0 12 3 4 2 1 1 4 6 7 21
2 Cincinnati 10 6 3 1 13 11 5 5 0 0 7 2 5 1 3 1 6 9 2 21
3 Atlanta United 10 5 3 2 19 16 5 4 1 0 11 4 5 1 2 2 8 12 3 18
4 New York City 10 4 4 2 12 10 5 4 1 0 10 5 5 0 3 2 2 5 2 16
5 Nashville SC 10 4 3 3 11 6 6 3 2 1 8 3 4 1 1 2 3 3 5 15
6 Columbus Crew 10 4 2 4 19 12 5 3 1 1 14 4 5 1 1 3 5 8 7 14
7 DC United 10 4 2 4 14 13 5 2 1 2 8 7 5 2 1 2 6 6 1 14
8 Orlando City 9 4 2 3 10 10 6 2 1 3 5 7 3 2 1 0 5 3 0 14
9 Philadelphia Union 9 3 2 4 14 13 5 3 1 1 10 5 4 0 1 3 4 8 1 11
10 Chicago Fire 9 2 5 2 13 13 6 1 5 0 9 8 3 1 0 2 4 5 0 11
11 Toronto 10 1 7 2 12 13 5 1 4 0 7 5 5 0 3 2 5 8 -1 10
12 Inter Miami 9 3 0 6 8 10 4 2 0 2 6 4 5 1 0 4 2 6 -2 9
13 New York RB 10 1 6 3 7 10 4 1 3 0 4 3 6 0 3 3 3 7 -3 9
14 Charlotte 10 2 3 5 10 19 5 1 2 2 4 7 5 1 1 3 6 12 -9 9
15 Montreal Impact 9 3 0 6 7 17 3 2 0 1 5 3 6 1 0 5 2 14 -10 9

Read more about Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer (often known simply as MLS) is the top level of football (soccer) in the United States and Canada. MLS has 24 teams divided into two conferences, Eastern and Western. Each team play 34 fixtures to decide a league table champion. The top fourteen teams then compete in playoff to crown a MLS Cup champion.