Major League Soccer match prediction: Little separates Atlanta United and New York RB in quality

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Competition: USA Major League Soccer
Competition: Wed 17.August
Match begins: 23:30 (UTC)
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (71000 seats)

Home advantage feels secure and good for Atlanta United, but New York RB are fully set and capable to win this one. Who wins?

Insights:
  • Atlanta United have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • New York RB have the most matches under the total-line (13) in Major League Soccer

One slightly interesting match fact is that this game is played on artifical turf and that the visiting New York RB have a different surface at their stadium (grass). The impact of this is hard to measure exactly, but the visitors stats on artifical turf is 3-3-2 (win-draw-loss) from eight matches.

It's time to recharge all electronic entertainment devices for New York RB, who are travelling more than 1000 kilometers to play this game.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Atlanta United and New York RB.

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Atlanta United form and stats

The overall Major League Soccer statistics playing at home this season for Atlanta United are 6-4-2 (wins-draws-losses).

Atlanta drew their last game, 2-2 away at Cincinnati (placed 7th). Atlanta United's goalie Novo played a big part in securing a draw after 90 minutes against Cincinnati with a stunning six saves. Araújo, who plays in attack, was the highest rated player for the team in that fixture, earning a rating of 7.82 (out of 10). Araújo served one assist, hit three key passes, dribled past the opponent 4 of 5 times and had 40 successful passes (of 47 total).

Before that game, the 2-1 home victory against Seattle Sounders.

This is expected to be a close game, with Atlanta United perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Atlanta United as a small favourite), we find 10 games. Atlanta United has won 2 of these, drawn 5 and lost 3.

An interesting fact: 13 of the most recent 17 league matches from this club have had goals from both sides.

The manager Reyes will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Columbus Crew in only four days.

Atlanta have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Mercedes-Benz Stadium with 22 goals in 12 league matches. On the other hand, Atlanta United have conceded 16 goals.

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New York RB form and stats

7 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. That’s the product of New York RB, who have the most points (24) away in Major League Soccer, playing as the away team in the Major League Soccer this season.

York have been frustrated by their lack of goals lately, as they haven't scored in the league since they found the net 180 minutes ago. Barlow was the goal scorer.

Home advantage was not enough for New York RB in their previous game as they lost hosting Orlando City, 0-1. Tolkin, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 7.83. Tolkin hit three key passes and won 11 of 15 duels.

Preceding that game, the 0-0 draw paying a visit to DC United.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with York playing away and similar expectations, we found 15 relevant matches. Results were 6 New York RB wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats.

A new game in only three days for New York RB, the Major League Soccer home match versus Cincinnati. Busy days.

The travelling fans enjoy New York RB's attacking play in away games, having scored 20 goals in 13 league matches away. 14 goals have been conceded by York in these games.

Head 2 Head

New York RB have put together a streak of 8 consecutive games without defeat (5-3-0) when facing Atlanta United.

This isn't the first time these sides meet on the pitch this campaign, as the statistics show this recent fixture: New York RB - Atlanta 2-1.

Top Goalscorers

New York RBL. Morgan
L. Morgan
10 goals
Atlanta UnitedR. Cisneros Morell
R. Cisneros Morell
7 goals
Atlanta UnitedJ. Martínez
J. Martínez
5 goals

Atlanta United missing players

New York RB missing players

Atlanta United New York RB
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
24 12 1 Played P 4 13 25
7 6 0 Won W 2 7 10
8 4 1 Drew D 1 3 7
9 2 0 Lost L 1 3 8
33 22 3 Scored S 6 20 38
36 16 3 Conceded C 4 14 31
92% 92% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 92% 92%
83% 92% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 77% 72%
71% 75% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 38% 40%
29% 33% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 23% 24%
8% 17% 100% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 15% 20%
67% 75% 100% BTTS BTTS 50% 46% 52%
17% 17% 0% Clean Sheets C S 25% 31% 24%
25% 17% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 31% 32%
 
6.3 6.9 5 Corners for (avg) C F 4.8 4.9 5.4
5.1 4.3 6 Corners against (avg) C A 5 5.2 3.8
2 1.8 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.9 2.6
3 2 1 Red cards R C 0 3 3
 
15.4 16.6 9 Shots (avg) S ( 12.8 13 14
5.1 6.1 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.2 5.1 4.8
27% 30% 75% Goal Efficiency G E 35% 30% 32%
 
12.2 11.4 16 Shots against (avg) S A 7.2 10.5 9.4
3.7 3.3 6 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.2 3.6 3.4
Key stats in Major League Soccer this season:
  • Atlanta United have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • New York RB have the most matches under the total-line (13) in Major League Soccer
  • New York RB have the most points (24) away in Major League Soccer
  • New York RB have the the best goal difference (+6) away in Major League Soccer

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Philadelphia Union 25 13 9 3 45 19 13 8 5 0 30 7 12 5 4 3 15 12 26 48
2 Montreal Impact 25 13 4 8 43 41 12 6 2 4 20 16 13 7 2 4 23 25 2 43
3 New York City 24 12 6 6 45 27 12 8 3 1 30 12 12 4 3 5 15 15 18 42
4 New York RB 25 10 7 8 38 31 12 3 4 5 18 17 13 7 3 3 20 14 7 37
5 Columbus Crew 24 8 10 6 32 27 12 5 3 4 16 11 12 3 7 2 16 16 5 34
6 New England 24 8 9 7 36 34 12 5 5 2 16 12 12 3 4 5 20 22 2 33
7 Cincinnati 25 8 9 8 42 45 13 4 5 4 25 22 12 4 4 4 17 23 -3 33
8 Orlando City 25 9 6 10 28 36 12 5 0 7 15 23 13 4 6 3 13 13 -8 33
9 Inter Miami 25 9 6 10 32 41 13 7 3 3 25 22 12 2 3 7 7 19 -9 33
10 Chicago Fire 25 8 6 11 28 34 12 5 4 3 12 8 13 3 2 8 16 26 -6 30
11 Atlanta United 24 7 8 9 33 36 12 6 4 2 22 16 12 1 4 7 11 20 -3 29
12 Toronto 25 8 5 12 37 43 13 7 1 5 23 20 12 1 4 7 14 23 -6 29
13 Charlotte 25 9 2 14 30 39 12 8 0 4 20 10 13 1 2 10 10 29 -9 29
14 DC United 24 6 4 14 28 48 13 4 3 6 18 20 11 2 1 8 10 28 -20 22

Read more about Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer (often known simply as MLS) is the top level of football (soccer) in the United States and Canada. MLS has 24 teams divided into two conferences, Eastern and Western. Each team play 34 fixtures to decide a league table champion. The top fourteen teams then compete in playoff to crown a MLS Cup champion.