Major League Soccer prediction and preview: Atlanta United modest favorites to beat Cincinnati

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Competition: USA Major League Soccer
Competition: Mon 02.November
Match begins: 00:00 (UTC)
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (71000 seats)

Atlanta United are welcoming Cincinnati for another important game after their 1-4 result against 4th-placed Orlando City.

It's no vacation for neither Atlanta nor Cincinnati as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Atlanta United form and stats

Atlanta United's struggle is real here at Mercedes-Benz Stadium with only 11 points collected from 12 Major League Soccer games. The win-draw-lost numbers are ugly: 3-2-7. With three straight defeats the pressure is piling up on Atlanta to get some points in this home game. Two defeats in a row at home hurts for Atlanta, their manager S. Glass and the supporters. There are certain expectations for improvement.

Atlanta are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 1-4 away versus Orlando City. Before that game, the home loss against DC United with the scoreline 1-2.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Atlanta handle that role? We have found three games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are one win, one draw and one defeat.

Atlanta have scored 8 league goals here from 12 matches, not a lot. 12 goals have been conceded.

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Cincinnati form and stats

There's been little loot from Cincinnati's travels as they have only collected 6 points from 10 away games in the Major League Soccer. Cincinnati, who have the fewest scored goals (11) in Major League Soccer, only have 2 wins to counter their 8 defeats and 0 draws. Three has not been a lucky number for Cincinnati as they have been defeated three times in a row since the Columbus Crew match. Three might be a magic number, but there's been little wizardry in Cincinnati's last three away games as they have all been lost.

B. Vazquez was the last player to score for the away team. Cincinnati haven't scored a league goal in the last 204 minutes.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a Major League Soccer home defeat versus Sporting KC with 0-1 on the scoreboard. Preceding that, the 0-1 home loss versus Minnesota United.

Cincinnati are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is zero wins, one draw and one defeat. From a total of two matches.

The visitors have scored 6 goals from 10 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 0 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. For Cincinnati, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Atlanta - Cincinnati 0-1. As for the last four games between these two teams, there's two Atlanta victories, one draw and one Cincinnati win. Over/under statistics; one of these games ended with three goals or more, three matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Atlanta UnitedJ. Gallagher
J. Gallagher
4 goals
CincinnatiY. Kubo
Y. Kubo
3 goals
AtlantaB. Lennon
B. Lennon
2 goals

Atlanta United missing players

Cincinnati missing players

Atlanta United Cincinnati
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
21 12 3 Played P 1 11 22
5 3 0 Won W 0 2 4
4 2 1 Drew D 0 1 5
12 7 2 Lost L 1 8 13
20 8 2 Scored S 0 7 12
28 12 4 Conceded C 3 23 33
90% 83% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 82%
62% 42% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 82% 59%
43% 33% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 64% 45%
19% 8% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 18% 14%
10% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 9% 5%
48% 33% 67% BTTS BTTS 0% 36% 27%
24% 33% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 18% 32%
38% 50% 33% Failed to Score F T 100% 45% 59%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.1 2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2 1.8
2 2 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
195 116 27 Total Shots T S 8 122 214
70 40 12 Shots on Target S O 1 33 59
29% 20% 17% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 21% 20%
Key stats in Major League Soccer this season:
  • Atlanta United is in the worst form (0-2-4)
  • Cincinnati has the fewest scored goals (11) in Major League Soccer
  • Cincinnati has the fewest scored goals (6) away in Major League Soccer
  • Cincinnati has the fewest scored goals in the first half (2) in Major League Soccer
  • Cincinnati has the most conceded goals (22) away in Major League Soccer
  • Cincinnati has the the worst goal difference (-16) away in Major League Soccer
  • Cincinnati has the the worst goal difference (-21) in Major League Soccer
  • Cincinnati have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Cincinnati have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Cincinnati haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Philadelphia Union 21 13 5 3 41 18 10 9 1 0 25 6 11 4 4 3 16 12 23 44
2 Toronto 21 12 5 4 30 23 11 6 3 2 14 7 10 6 2 2 16 16 7 41
3 Columbus Crew 20 10 5 5 31 17 9 8 0 1 18 4 11 2 5 4 13 13 14 35
4 Orlando City 20 9 8 3 35 21 9 6 3 0 20 8 11 3 5 3 15 13 14 35
5 New York City 21 10 3 8 28 20 10 6 0 4 19 11 11 4 3 4 9 9 8 33
6 New York RB 21 8 5 8 25 25 9 4 1 4 11 11 12 4 4 4 14 14 0 29
7 New England 21 7 8 6 22 20 9 1 5 3 6 8 12 6 3 3 16 12 2 29
8 Nashville SC 20 7 7 6 20 18 9 4 4 1 13 7 11 3 3 5 7 11 2 28
9 Montreal Impact 21 7 2 12 30 40 12 4 1 7 16 20 9 3 1 5 14 20 -10 23
10 Inter Miami 21 6 3 12 22 32 9 4 2 3 12 13 12 2 1 9 10 19 -10 21
11 Chicago Fire 20 5 6 9 27 32 11 5 3 3 20 14 9 0 3 6 7 18 -5 21
12 DC United 21 5 6 10 20 34 11 2 4 5 10 18 10 3 2 5 10 16 -14 21
13 Atlanta United 21 5 4 12 20 28 12 3 2 7 8 12 9 2 2 5 12 16 -8 19
14 Cincinnati 21 4 4 13 11 32 11 2 4 5 5 10 10 2 0 8 6 22 -21 16

Read more about Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer (often known simply as MLS) is the top level of football (soccer) in the United States and Canada. MLS has 24 teams divided into two conferences, Eastern and Western. Each team play 34 fixtures to decide a league table champion. The top fourteen teams then compete in playoff to crown a MLS Cup champion.