Can Nacional beat Danubio in Estadio Gran Parque Central clash?

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Competition: Uruguay Primera Division
Competition: Sun 13.September
Match begins: 23:15 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Gran Parque Central (34000 seats)

Only a win will satisfy the Nacional supporters in this Estadio Gran Parque Central clash with Danubio, having a healthy lead on the opposition in the Primera Division table.

It's no vacation for neither Nacional nor Danubio as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

These teams are located so close to each other that their supporters eat in the same restaurants, hang out at the same night clubs and give birth at the same hospitals. This means added importance to the game and a vibrant atmosphere.

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Nacional form and stats

Nacional, who have the the best goal difference (+7) at home in Primera Division, have played 5 Primera Division games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 3-2-0 (wins-draws-losses). Nacional haven’t lost a league-game in eleven attempts regardless of arena, a great achievement. Their last loss was the fixture versus Rentistas, 210 days ago. It’s been three wins in a row for Nacional here at Estadio Gran Parque Central, hoping to make this one the fourth consecutive victory.

The home team returns to Estadio Gran Parque Central after being equal after 90 minutes with Defensor Sporting (placed 9th) on their last time out; the Primera Division game ended 1-1. Ahead of that match, Nacional won a home game hosting Cerro (5-1).

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Nacional's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played one game, won zero matches, drawn one and lost zero.

Nacional can score goals in their home matches. After 5 league matches they have found the net 12 times. On the other hand, Nacional have conceded 5 goals.

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Danubio form and stats

2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses. That’s the product of Danubio playing as the away team in the Primera Division this season.

Two away games in a row for Danubio, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 1-2 versus Liverpool in the Primera Division. A 0-0 draw was the result before that, hosting Defensor Sporting.

Danubio have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 6 league away games 6 goals have been scored. 7 goals have been conceded by Danubio in these games.

Head 2 Head

Last ten meetings between the teams: Nacional won seven, Danubio won two and one draw. five games with over 2,5 goals, five matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

NacionalG. Bergessio
G. Bergessio
20 goals
DanubioS. Paiva Mattos
S. Paiva Mattos
9 goals
DanubioC. Grossmüller
C. Grossmüller
8 goals

Nacional missing players

Danubio missing players

Nacional Danubio
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
12 5 2 Played P 2 6 11
6 3 2 Won W 1 2 3
5 2 0 Drew D 0 1 2
1 0 0 Lost L 1 3 6
25 12 7 Scored S 2 6 9
14 5 2 Conceded C 2 7 12
92% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 91%
92% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 67% 55%
58% 60% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 50% 36%
42% 40% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 9%
25% 20% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
75% 80% 100% BTTS BTTS 50% 67% 45%
17% 20% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 18%
17% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 33% 45%
 
5.7 4.5 4 Corners for (avg) C F 7 4.7 4.4
5 7 10 Corners against (avg) C A 2 2.7 2.5
2.7 3.5 4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 2.2 2.4
4 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
108 30 10 Total Shots T S 24 47 84
48 16 5 Shots on Target S O 7 19 36
42% 44% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 29% 32% 25%
Key stats in Primera Division this season:
  • All of Nacional's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Danubio have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Danubio have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Danubio haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Nacional has the the best goal difference (+7) at home in Primera Division
  • Nacional have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Nacional have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Nacional have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Nacional have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Nacional have scored more than double the goals of Danubio.
  • Nacional have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Nacional haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Nacional is in the best form (4-2-0)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rentistas 11 5 6 0 21 12 6 3 3 0 10 4 5 2 3 0 11 8 9 21
2 Nacional 11 5 5 1 20 13 5 3 2 0 12 5 6 2 3 1 8 8 7 20
3 Cerro Largo 12 5 5 2 17 14 6 3 3 0 9 6 6 2 2 2 8 8 3 20
4 Wanderers 12 5 4 3 14 10 7 2 3 2 8 8 5 3 1 1 6 2 4 19
5 Torque 12 5 3 4 17 14 6 2 1 3 8 10 6 3 2 1 9 4 3 18
6 Penarol 12 4 5 3 14 13 8 4 3 1 12 8 4 0 2 2 2 5 1 17
7 Liverpool 12 4 4 4 17 18 7 3 3 1 9 7 5 1 1 3 8 11 -1 16
8 Deportivo Maldonado 11 4 3 4 12 15 5 2 1 2 5 6 6 2 2 2 7 9 -3 15
9 Defensor Sporting 12 3 6 3 10 16 5 2 2 1 6 6 7 1 4 2 4 10 -6 15
10 Fénix 12 2 7 3 17 16 5 2 1 2 9 6 7 0 6 1 8 10 1 13
11 Progreso 12 3 4 5 16 16 6 2 2 2 9 8 6 1 2 3 7 8 0 13
12 Plaza Colonia 12 3 4 5 11 13 5 1 2 2 5 6 7 2 2 3 6 7 -2 13
13 River Plate 11 2 5 4 13 13 6 0 3 3 6 9 5 2 2 1 7 4 0 11
14 Danubio 11 3 2 6 9 12 5 1 1 3 3 5 6 2 1 3 6 7 -3 11
15 Boston River 12 2 5 5 9 15 6 0 4 2 4 7 6 2 1 3 5 8 -6 11
16 Cerro 11 2 4 5 10 17 5 2 2 1 6 5 6 0 2 4 4 12 -7 10

Read more about Primera Division

The Liga Profesional de Primera División is the highest football league in Uruguay. It was founded in 1900 and turned professional in 1932. The league has 16 teams and play a season from February to November, divided into three parts: Torneo Apertura, Torneo Intermedio and Torneo Clausura.