Premiership match prediction: Little separates St. Johnstone and Livingston in quality

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Competition: Scotland Premiership
Competition: Sat 02.April
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: McDiarmid Park (10696 seats)

St. Johnstone are believing in their home crowd to assist them to win this game versus Livingston. Who triumphs at McDiarmid Park?

Insights:
  • St. Johnstone have the fewest scored goals (20) in Premiership
  • Livingston have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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St. Johnstone form and stats

With 3 Premiership wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats from their home games, St. Johnstone are certainly not brimming with confidence.

Johnstone's last game was hosting Motherwell (placed 8th) and winning 2-1. The versatile forward Hendry bested all the other footballers in that fixture and got a match rating of 8.11 out of 10. Hendry scored two goals.

Before that, St. Johnstone played out a draw 0-0 when visiting Hibernian.

This is expected to be a close game, with St. Johnstone perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with St. Johnstone as a small favourite), we find five games. St. Johnstone has won two of these, drawn one and lost two.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Johnstone here at McDiarmid Park in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (13 from 16 games). 20 goals have been conceded. 10 of these goals were let in after the match timer had passed one hour (more than 50 percent).

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Livingston form and stats

5 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. That’s the product of Livingston playing as the away team in the Premiership this season.

Livingston play their second straight away game, having lost the previous one 0-2 to Hearts (placed 3rd). Midfielder Holt was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 6.95. Holt had 37 successful passes (of 46 total).

A loss against Celtic was the result prior to that, in a home game.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Livingston playing away and similar expectations, we found seven relevant matches. Results were three Livingston wins, three draws and one defeat.

The visiting Livingston have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 17 goals from 16 games. 21 goals have been conceded by Livingston in these games.

Head 2 Head

The latest reported history between these squads is the Livingston - Johnstone 1-2 played previously this season. The ref had use for red card when these teams last played each other, and the sinner was Nouble (Livingston). Numbers for the preceeding ten meetings involving these two teams are: four wins for St. Johnstone, two draws and four wins for Livingston. Over 2,5 goals: five times; under 2,5 goals: five games.

Top Goalscorers

LivingstonB. Anderson
B. Anderson
11 goals
JohnstoneC. Hendry
C. Hendry
6 goals
LivingstonA. Forrest
A. Forrest
4 goals

St. Johnstone missing players

Livingston missing players

St. Johnstone Livingston
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
31 16 4 Played P 4 16 31
6 3 1 Won W 1 5 10
9 5 1 Drew D 2 4 7
16 8 2 Lost L 1 7 14
20 13 5 Scored S 5 17 33
37 20 6 Conceded C 3 21 40
81% 81% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 88% 94%
58% 62% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 75% 74%
35% 50% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 44% 45%
10% 12% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 19% 16%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 6%
42% 56% 100% BTTS BTTS 25% 31% 48%
26% 19% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 31% 26%
52% 44% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 50% 32%
 
4.6 5.1 4 Corners for (avg) C F 4 3.1 3.8
5.7 5.8 7.2 Corners against (avg) C A 6.2 6.2 5.6
2.5 2.6 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 2.3 2.6
4 3 1 Red cards R C 1 2 5
 
8.9 8.9 8.8 Shots (avg) S ( 10 8.3 9.8
2.5 2.6 3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 2.8 3.1
26% 32% 42% Goal Efficiency G E 36% 38% 35%
 
13.9 13.6 14.5 Shots against (avg) S A 14.2 14.3 13.4
4.3 4.2 5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.8 4.5 4.2
Key stats in Premiership this season:
  • Livingston have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Livingston have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • St. Johnstone have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • St. Johnstone have the fewest scored goals (20) in Premiership
  • St. Johnstone have the fewest scored goals in the second half (7) in Premiership

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Celtic 31 24 4 3 69 18 15 13 2 0 37 4 16 11 2 3 32 14 51 76
2 Rangers 31 22 7 2 62 25 16 12 4 0 33 9 15 10 3 2 29 16 37 73
3 Hearts 31 15 8 8 44 31 16 10 3 3 28 12 15 5 5 5 16 19 13 53
4 Dundee United 31 10 9 12 28 34 15 7 2 6 15 17 16 3 7 6 13 17 -6 39
5 Hibernian 31 9 10 12 29 33 16 6 5 5 16 14 15 3 5 7 13 19 -4 37
6 Livingston 31 10 7 14 33 40 15 5 3 7 16 19 16 5 4 7 17 21 -7 37
7 Ross County 31 9 9 13 43 51 15 5 6 4 26 24 16 4 3 9 17 27 -8 36
8 Motherwell 31 9 9 13 32 46 16 7 4 5 19 22 15 2 5 8 13 24 -14 36
9 St. Mirren 31 8 12 11 28 42 15 3 7 5 12 15 16 5 5 6 16 27 -14 36
10 Aberdeen 31 9 8 14 36 39 15 7 4 4 23 16 16 2 4 10 13 23 -3 35
11 St. Johnstone 31 6 9 16 20 37 16 3 5 8 13 20 15 3 4 8 7 17 -17 27
12 Dundee 31 5 8 18 25 53 16 3 5 8 14 25 15 2 3 10 11 28 -28 23

Read more about Premiership

The Scottish Premiership is the top division of football in Scotland, the Scottish Professional Football League. Twelve teams play 38 fixtures to top the league table in a season running from August to May. The teams first meet each other three times. Then the league splits in two for five more games.