Home advantage could prove decisive in Hearts - Livingston battle

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Competition: Scotland Premiership
Competition: Sat 19.March
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Tynecastle Park (20099 seats)

Hearts are positioned 3rd, while Livingston are bringing up the rear 13 points behind in the table. Will they reduce the gap?

Insights:
  • Hearts have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Livingston have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

W D W W L

Hearts form and stats

Hearts have performed here at Tynecastle Park this season with 9 wins from 15 Premiership matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 3 games and lost 3.

Before that, Hearts played out a Premiership draw 2-2 when visiting Dundee United.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Hearts matches with similar probabilities have ended with four wins, zero draws and zero defeats (from four games).

Hearts have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Tynecastle Park with 26 goals in 15 league matches. Hearts are not conceding a lot of goals here at Tynecastle Park in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 12 from 15 matches.

L W W D D

Livingston form and stats

Playing away, Livingston have won 5 games, drawn 4 and suffered 6 defeats in the Premiership this season.

The manager Martindale was unhappy after their last game, played at their home venue Tony Macaroni Arena. Livingston suffered a 1-3 loss to Celtic (placed 1st). Forrest, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 7.65. Forrest hit three key passes and dribled past the opponent 2 of 4 times.

Before that, Livingston secured a home win against Dundee United with the score 2-1.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Livingston when being an outsider away as they are today, we find four matches with the visitors losing two times, drawing one and winning one game.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Livingston have scored 17 goals in 15 league games away. As opposed to that, Livingston have seen the ball go into their own net 19 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have played earlier this season: Livingston - Hearts 0-1. Hearts-Livingston H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Hearts four wins, Livingston one win, five draws. two of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

LivingstonB. Anderson
B. Anderson
11 goals
HeartsL. Boyce
L. Boyce
9 goals
HeartsS. Kingsley
S. Kingsley
5 goals

Hearts missing players

Livingston missing players

Hearts Livingston
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
30 15 4 Played P 5 15 30
14 9 4 Won W 1 5 10
8 3 0 Drew D 1 4 7
8 3 0 Lost L 3 6 13
42 26 11 Scored S 3 17 33
31 12 3 Conceded C 8 19 38
93% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 87% 93%
83% 93% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 73% 73%
40% 40% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 47% 47%
13% 7% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 20% 17%
7% 7% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 13% 7%
47% 47% 50% BTTS BTTS 20% 33% 50%
40% 47% 50% Clean Sheets C S 20% 33% 27%
20% 13% 0% Failed to Score F T 80% 47% 30%
 
5.7 6.1 6 Corners for (avg) C F 3.4 2.9 3.8
4.8 4.3 5.2 Corners against (avg) C A 6 6.3 5.6
1.9 1.7 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.8 2.2 2.6
3 1 0 Red cards R C 1 2 5
 
12.8 13.9 14.8 Shots (avg) S ( 7 8.5 10
4.3 5 4.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.4 2.9 3.1
33% 35% 58% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 40% 35%
 
12.8 11.9 12 Shots against (avg) S A 15.6 14.4 13.4
4.6 4.7 4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.6 4.5 4.2
Key stats in Premiership this season:
  • Hearts have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Livingston have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Livingston have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Celtic 30 23 4 3 65 18 14 12 2 0 33 4 16 11 2 3 32 14 47 73
2 Rangers 30 21 7 2 60 24 16 12 4 0 33 9 14 9 3 2 27 15 36 70
3 Hearts 30 14 8 8 42 31 15 9 3 3 26 12 15 5 5 5 16 19 11 50
4 Hibernian 30 9 10 11 28 30 16 6 5 5 16 14 14 3 5 6 12 16 -2 37
5 Livingston 30 10 7 13 33 38 15 5 3 7 16 19 15 5 4 6 17 19 -5 37
6 Ross County 30 9 9 12 43 47 15 5 6 4 26 24 15 4 3 8 17 23 -4 36
7 Dundee United 30 9 9 12 26 33 15 7 2 6 15 17 15 2 7 6 11 16 -7 36
8 Motherwell 30 9 9 12 31 44 16 7 4 5 19 22 14 2 5 7 12 22 -13 36
9 St. Mirren 30 8 12 10 27 40 14 3 7 4 11 13 16 5 5 6 16 27 -13 36
10 Aberdeen 30 8 8 14 33 38 14 6 4 4 20 15 16 2 4 10 13 23 -5 32
11 St. Johnstone 30 5 9 16 18 36 15 2 5 8 11 19 15 3 4 8 7 17 -18 24
12 Dundee 30 5 8 17 24 51 15 3 5 7 13 23 15 2 3 10 11 28 -27 23

Read more about Premiership

The Scottish Premiership is the top division of football in Scotland, the Scottish Professional Football League. Twelve teams play 38 fixtures to top the league table in a season running from August to May. The teams first meet each other three times. Then the league splits in two for five more games.