Can Livingston beat Kilmarnock in Tony Macaroni Arena clash?

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Competition: Scotland Premiership
Competition: Wed 27.January
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Tony Macaroni Arena (8716 seats)

Livingston and Kilmarnock have both delivered a "par" performance so far, to use a golfing expression. Both hold mid-table positions in the Premiership.

Insights:
  • Livingston has the most matches over the total-line (13) in Premiership
  • Kilmarnock has the fewest clean sheets (4) in Premiership

The hosts Livingston saw competitive action as recent as three days ago, playing in the League Cup. Thankfully the previous game, versus St. Mirren, was also a home game here at Tony Macaroni Arena. The away team is better rested.

It should be mentioned that Kilmarnock play their home matches on artifical turf, so they have to adjust for this one as it's played on grass. Does it matter? Recent statistics for Kilmarnock on grass are 13 victories, 9 draws and 20 defeats from 42 games. In these matches they have a goal statistics scored/conceded: 37-55. You can compare this with overall results below.

W D D W W

Livingston form and stats

Overall Premiership stats at home this season for Livingston are 4-2-5 (wins-draw-losses).

The Livingston supporters enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host St. Mirren in League Cup and win 1-0. In the match before that, Livingston hosted Celtic and drew the Premiership game 2-2.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Livingston have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won three times, drawn zero and lost five.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Premiership game versus Aberdeen in only three days. This game is also played here at Tony Macaroni Arena.

The Livingston fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 13 in 11 matches. It's worth mentioning that 7 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. On the other hand, Livingston have conceded 15 goals.

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Kilmarnock form and stats

Kilmarnock, who have the fewest clean sheets (4) in Premiership, have only collected 10 points from their away games in the Premiership, after 3-1-8 (12 played).

Kilmarnock are travelling again after losing away to Hibernian in their previous match (0-2). That result followed a home victory 2-0 versus Hamilton Academical.

Kilmarnock are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is four wins, two draws and five defeats. From a total of eleven matches.

After this away game Kilmarnock return home for a Premiership game against St. Johnstone. That game is only three sleeps after this.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Kilmarnock as they have only managed to score 9 times from 12 away games in the league. 16 goals have been conceded by Kilmarnock in these games.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Kilmarnock - Livingston 1-2. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: three - one - six (Livingston wins - draws - Kilmarnock wins). As for goals, six matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

KilmarnockC. Burke
C. Burke
6 goals
LivingstonJ. Guthrie
J. Guthrie
5 goals
KilmarnockN. Kabamba
N. Kabamba
5 goals

Livingston missing players

Kilmarnock missing players

Livingston Kilmarnock
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
23 11 2 Played P 2 12 23
9 4 1 Won W 1 3 7
5 2 0 Drew D 0 1 3
9 5 1 Lost L 1 8 13
30 13 2 Scored S 1 9 24
29 15 1 Conceded C 2 16 28
91% 91% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
78% 73% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 67% 74%
52% 45% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 25% 35%
26% 36% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 17% 17%
9% 9% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
52% 45% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 25% 39%
30% 36% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 17% 17%
26% 27% 50% Failed to Score F T 50% 58% 43%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.5 1.7 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.5 1.1 1.4
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 5
 
9.8 9.7 9 Shots (avg) S ( 8 8 9
3.1 2.8 3.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 2 2.7
42% 42% 29% Goal Efficiency G E 20% 38% 39%
Key stats in Premiership this season:
  • Kilmarnock has the fewest clean sheets (4) in Premiership
  • Kilmarnock haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Livingston has the fewest matches under the total-line (10) in Premiership
  • Livingston has the most matches over the total-line (13) in Premiership

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rangers 25 22 3 0 65 7 12 12 0 0 38 1 13 10 3 0 27 6 58 69
2 Celtic 22 13 7 2 48 18 11 7 3 1 23 7 11 6 4 1 25 11 30 46
3 Aberdeen 23 12 6 5 31 24 13 8 2 3 21 14 10 4 4 2 10 10 7 42
4 Hibernian 24 11 7 6 33 24 12 4 5 3 15 16 12 7 2 3 18 8 9 40
5 Livingston 23 9 5 9 30 29 11 4 2 5 13 15 12 5 3 4 17 14 1 32
6 Dundee United 24 6 10 8 19 29 12 4 4 4 14 13 12 2 6 4 5 16 -10 28
7 Kilmarnock 23 7 3 13 24 28 11 4 2 5 15 12 12 3 1 8 9 16 -4 24
8 St. Mirren 21 6 5 10 16 24 10 2 4 4 8 13 11 4 1 6 8 11 -8 23
9 St. Johnstone 24 5 8 11 22 33 12 3 3 6 5 11 12 2 5 5 17 22 -11 23
10 Ross County 25 5 5 15 18 48 12 2 4 6 10 23 13 3 1 9 8 25 -30 20
11 Motherwell 23 4 7 12 19 35 12 2 3 7 10 20 11 2 4 5 9 15 -16 19
12 Hamilton Academical 23 5 4 14 21 47 12 2 3 7 9 20 11 3 1 7 12 27 -26 19

Read more about Premiership

The Scottish Premiership is the top division of football in Scotland, the Scottish Professional Football League. Twelve teams play 38 fixtures to top the league table in a season running from August to May. The teams first meet each other three times. Then the league splits in two for five more games.