Premiership match prediction: Little separates Kilmarnock and Livingston in quality

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Competition: Scotland Premiership
Competition: Sat 26.December
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Rugby Park (17889 seats)

Season ticket holders at Rugby Park haven’t seen too many victories this season, with Kilmarnock languishing in the 9th position so far. The guesting Livingston will be hopeful to defend their higher league position in this one.

Insights:
  • Kilmarnock has the fewest clean sheets (2) in Premiership
  • Livingston has the most dropped points from leading position (9) in Premiership

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Kilmarnock and Livingston.

This pitch has artifical turf, which is not Livingston's usual surface at their own ground. When playing on artifical turf Livingston have performed like this: Played nine matches resulting in 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats with the goal stats 16-14 (scored/conceded).

L L L L W

Kilmarnock form and stats

Overall Premiership stats at home this season for Kilmarnock, who have the fewest clean sheets (2) in Premiership, are 3-1-5 (wins-draw-losses). It's trouble wherever Kilmarnock are playing these days as they have suffered four straight defeats now, regardless of arena. They really need to get back to winning ways.

C. Burke was the last player to score a league goal for Kilmarnock and it's becoming a more and more distant memory as Kilmarnock haven't scored in 360 minutes.

Kilmarnock faced defeat in their previous match, away at Dundee United (0-2). Before that game, the home loss against Aberdeen with the scoreline 0-2.

This is expected to be a close game, with Kilmarnock perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Kilmarnock as a small favourite), we find eight games. Kilmarnock has won two of these, drawn one and lost five.

The manager A. Dyer will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Motherwell in only four days.

Kilmarnock are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 11 goals in 9 games. On the other hand, Kilmarnock have conceded 12 goals.

W W W W W

Livingston form and stats

Playing away, Livingston have won 3 games, drawn 2 and suffered 4 defeats in the Premiership this season. Livingston has recorded two wins in a row in their away matches and hold legitimate hopes of a third one.

Two travels in a row for Livingston, whose manager D. Martindale could celebrate last time after the Premiership win against Hamilton Academical. A home win before that, celebrating 2-0 vs Ross County.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found eight similar matches played by Livingston in our archives, and the results are: one win for Livingston, five draws and two defeats.

A new game in only four days for Livingston, the Premiership home match versus Aberdeen. Busy days.

Livingston have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 9 league away games 12 goals have been scored. 13 goals have been conceded by Livingston in these games.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Livingston - Kilmarnock 1-3 played earlier this season. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: seven wins for Kilmarnock, one draw and two wins for Livingston. Over 2,5 goals: six times; under 2,5 goals: four games.

Top Goalscorers

KilmarnockC. Burke
C. Burke
5 goals
KilmarnockN. Kabamba
N. Kabamba
5 goals
LivingstonJ. Guthrie
J. Guthrie
4 goals

Kilmarnock missing players

Livingston missing players

Kilmarnock Livingston
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
19 9 2 Played P 3 9 18
5 3 1 Won W 2 3 6
2 1 0 Drew D 1 2 3
12 5 1 Lost L 0 4 9
18 11 4 Scored S 5 12 20
26 12 3 Conceded C 2 13 25
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 94%
68% 78% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 89% 78%
42% 56% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 56% 44%
21% 22% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 22% 22%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 11% 11%
37% 44% 0% BTTS BTTS 67% 67% 50%
11% 11% 50% Clean Sheets C S 33% 11% 28%
53% 44% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 22% 28%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.4 1.8 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1.1 1.6
5 4 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
8.6 9.5 15 Shots (avg) S ( 9.7 9.4 9.7
2.7 3.9 9 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3.4 3.1
37% 35% 44% Goal Efficiency G E 56% 39% 36%
Key stats in Premiership this season:
  • Kilmarnock has the fewest clean sheets (2) in Premiership
  • Kilmarnock have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Kilmarnock haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Livingston has the most dropped points from leading position (9) in Premiership
  • Livingston have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Livingston haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rangers 19 17 2 0 53 5 9 9 0 0 31 1 10 8 2 0 22 4 48 53
2 Celtic 16 11 4 1 39 14 8 6 1 1 19 6 8 5 3 0 20 8 25 37
3 Hibernian 19 10 6 3 30 17 9 3 5 1 13 11 10 7 1 2 17 6 13 36
4 Aberdeen 18 10 5 3 25 17 9 6 1 2 16 11 9 4 4 1 9 6 8 35
5 Dundee United 19 6 6 7 16 23 10 4 2 4 11 10 9 2 4 3 5 13 -7 24
6 Motherwell 19 6 4 9 22 25 10 2 2 6 9 17 9 4 2 3 13 8 -3 22
7 Livingston 18 6 3 9 20 25 9 3 1 5 8 12 9 3 2 4 12 13 -5 21
8 St. Mirren 18 5 3 10 12 25 10 2 3 5 7 16 8 3 0 5 5 9 -13 18
9 Kilmarnock 19 5 2 12 18 26 9 3 1 5 11 12 10 2 1 7 7 14 -8 17
10 St. Johnstone 19 4 5 10 17 28 10 2 2 6 4 11 9 2 3 4 13 17 -11 17
11 Hamilton Academical 19 5 2 12 21 42 9 1 2 6 6 17 10 4 0 6 15 25 -21 17
12 Ross County 19 3 4 12 10 36 9 1 3 5 5 19 10 2 1 7 5 17 -26 13

Read more about Premiership

The Scottish Premiership is the top division of football in Scotland, the Scottish Professional Football League. Twelve teams play 38 fixtures to top the league table in a season running from August to May. The teams first meet each other three times. Then the league splits in two for five more games.