Premiership prediction and data: Hearts modest favourite to subdue Kilmarnock

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Competition: Scotland Premiership
Competition: Sat 17.December
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Tynecastle Park (20099 seats)

Get set for Hearts - Kilmarnock! Even considering the recent results, this game should be immense!

Insights:
  • Hearts have the fewest clean sheets (1) in Premiership
  • Kilmarnock have the fewest scored goals (12) in Premiership

It should be mentioned that Kilmarnock play their home matches on artifical turf, so they have to adjust for this one as it's played on grass. Does it matter? Recent statistics for Kilmarnock on grass are 8 victories, 4 draws and 21 defeats from 33 games. In these matches they have a goal statistics scored/conceded: 23-44. You can compare this with overall results below.

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Hearts form and stats

The overall Premiership statistics at home this season for Hearts are 4-1-2 (wins-draws-losses).

Hearts drew their last game, also a home match. Livingston (placed 4th) was the opponent, 1-1 the score. Goalkeeper Gordon got the top rating on the team in that game; 7.8 out of ten. Gordon saved a penalty.

Heartbreak before that as Hearts lost 0-1 at Rangers's place.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Hearts matches with similar probabilities have ended with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats (from 6 games).

Goals decide football matches and Hearts are scoring many of them at home; 16 on target from 7 league matches. Hearts are struggling defensively, conceding on average more than two goals per home game (15 from 7 played).

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Kilmarnock form and stats

Kilmarnock have only collected 1 point from their away games in the Premiership, after 0-1-7 (8 played). With two straight losses from their last two away games, Kilmarnock are hoping that it's time for some travel points again.

Armstrong scored in Kilmarnock's previous match, the home game against Hibernian that ended 1-0. That victory felt good as this club had gone three league matches without victory. Wright, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 7.42. Wright won 8 of 14 duels.

A 0-4 defeat away at Dundee United before that.

There's been a serious shortage of goals from Kilmarnock's away games in the league this season with only {1 goals} from 8 matches. As for defending, Kilmarnock rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 14 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Kilmarnock have managed a sequence of 6 consecutive games without losing (5-1-0) when facing Hearts.

Hearts and Kilmarnock have met already this season: Kilmarnock - Hearts 2-2.

Top Goalscorers

HeartsL. Shankland
L. Shankland
9 goals
KilmarnockD. Armstrong
D. Armstrong
5 goals
HeartsA. Halliday
A. Halliday
3 goals

Hearts missing players

Kilmarnock missing players

Hearts Kilmarnock
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
15 7 3 Played P 3 8 16
6 4 3 Won W 0 0 4
3 1 0 Drew D 1 1 3
6 2 0 Lost L 2 7 9
24 16 9 Scored S 0 1 12
25 15 4 Conceded C 2 14 27
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 88% 94%
87% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 38% 56%
60% 86% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 25% 44%
40% 71% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 25% 31%
27% 57% 67% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 19%
60% 86% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 12% 38%
7% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 33% 12% 19%
33% 14% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 88% 50%
 
4.3 5 4.3 Corners for (avg) C F 5.7 5 4.7
5.4 5.4 5 Corners against (avg) C A 5.3 4.8 4.9
1.7 1 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.6 2.4
5 3 1 Red cards R C 1 1 1
 
12.3 15.9 14 Shots (avg) S ( 10 9.6 11.2
4.1 6 6.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.7 1.2 1.7
39% 38% 45% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 10% 44%
 
15.3 14.6 13.7 Shots against (avg) S A 16 13.5 12.7
5.4 6.1 4.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.3 5 4.9
Key stats in Premiership this season:
  • All of Hearts's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Hearts have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their home matches.
  • Hearts have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Hearts have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Kilmarnock have scored away.
  • Hearts have the fewest clean sheets (0) at home in Premiership
  • Hearts have the fewest clean sheets (1) in Premiership
  • Hearts haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Kilmarnock have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Kilmarnock have the fewest points (1) away in Premiership
  • Kilmarnock have the fewest scored goals (1) away in Premiership
  • Kilmarnock have the fewest scored goals (12) in Premiership
  • Kilmarnock have the the worst goal difference (-13) away in Premiership
  • Kilmarnock have the the worst goal difference (-15) in Premiership
  • Kilmarnock have yet to win a game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Celtic 15 14 0 1 50 13 7 7 0 0 22 5 8 7 0 1 28 8 37 42
2 Rangers 15 10 3 2 34 14 8 7 1 0 22 3 7 3 2 2 12 11 20 33
3 Aberdeen 15 8 1 6 29 23 7 6 0 1 22 6 8 2 1 5 7 17 6 25
4 Livingston 15 7 2 6 15 20 8 5 0 3 8 8 7 2 2 3 7 12 -5 23
5 Hearts 15 6 3 6 24 25 7 4 1 2 16 15 8 2 2 4 8 10 -1 21
6 St. Johnstone 16 6 3 7 19 21 8 3 2 3 8 6 8 3 1 4 11 15 -2 21
7 St. Mirren 15 6 3 6 17 23 9 5 3 1 11 6 6 1 0 5 6 17 -6 21
8 Hibernian 16 6 2 8 18 23 8 4 2 2 12 8 8 2 0 6 6 15 -5 20
9 Motherwell 16 5 2 9 20 22 7 1 1 5 5 11 9 4 1 4 15 11 -2 17
10 Ross County 16 4 3 9 13 26 8 2 2 4 8 16 8 2 1 5 5 10 -13 15
11 Kilmarnock 16 4 3 9 12 27 8 4 2 2 11 13 8 0 1 7 1 14 -15 15
12 Dundee United 16 3 3 10 17 31 8 3 0 5 10 16 8 0 3 5 7 15 -14 12

Read more about Premiership

The Scottish Premiership is the top division of football in Scotland, the Scottish Professional Football League. Twelve teams play 38 fixtures to top the league table in a season running from August to May. The teams first meet each other three times. Then the league splits in two for five more games.