Home advantage could prove decisive in Hearts - Livingston battle

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Competition: Scotland Premiership
Competition: Sat 12.November
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Tynecastle Park (20099 seats)

There's been three days since Hearts played against Rangers and the result was 0-1. Can they win hosting Livingston?

Insights:
  • Hearts have the fewest clean sheets (1) in Premiership
  • Livingston have the fewest scored goals in the second half (5) in Premiership

It's no vacation for neither Hearts nor Livingston as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

L W L W W

Hearts form and stats

Hearts are steadily winning Premiership games and points here at Tynecastle Park. 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats is the summary from 6 games.

In their previous game, the manager Neilson led his Hearts to a defeat away at Rangers. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Tynecastle Park. Rowles was "man of the match" with a rating of 7.73 out of 10. The defender Rowles won 5 of 6 duels.

Before that, Hearts had a home game versus Motherwell which ended with a victory 3-2.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Hearts have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 9 games) they have won 6 times, drawn 3 and lost 0.

The Hearts manager Neilson has got the team scoring with 15 from 6 home games in the league. Hearts are struggling defensively, conceding on average more than two goals per home game (14 from 6 played).

W W L D W

Livingston form and stats

2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses. That’s the product of Livingston playing as the away team in the Premiership this season.

Impressive finishing from Fitzwater and Kelly secured the home win 2-1 against Aberdeen in their previous game. Livingston goalie George was high and low in the Aberdeen game, contributing eight saves towards the victory. George was the team player of the game with the player rating of 9.02. The agile goalkeeper George saved a penalty.

Before that one, a nice away victory 3-2 at Kilmarnock.

We have checked recent matches where Livingston have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 7 games were 2 victories, 3 draws and 2 defeats.

As for defending, Livingston rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 11 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

These teams encountered each other previously this campaign: Livingston - Hearts 1-0. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Hearts four wins, four draws and Livingston two victories. As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), eight games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

HeartsL. Shankland
L. Shankland
9 goals
HeartsA. Halliday
A. Halliday
3 goals
HeartsA. Forrest
A. Forrest
3 goals

Hearts missing players

Livingston missing players

Hearts Livingston
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
14 6 2 Played P 1 6 14
6 4 0 Won W 0 2 7
2 0 0 Drew D 0 1 1
6 2 2 Lost L 1 3 6
23 15 3 Scored S 1 6 14
24 14 8 Conceded C 2 11 19
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
86% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 67% 57%
64% 100% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 50% 50%
43% 83% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 33% 14%
29% 67% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 33% 14%
57% 83% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 50% 43%
7% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 17% 29%
36% 17% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 33% 29%
 
3.9 4 4 Corners for (avg) C F 7 3.3 3.9
5.4 5.3 6.5 Corners against (avg) C A 6 7.3 6.4
1.8 1 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 2.5 2.4
4 2 1 Red cards R C 0 3 3
 
11.9 15.5 12 Shots (avg) S ( 10 7.8 9.7
3.9 6 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 2 2.5
42% 42% 30% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 50% 40%
 
14.9 13.7 16.5 Shots against (avg) S A 6 14.3 14.1
5.2 5.8 8.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3 3.5 3.9
Key stats in Premiership this season:
  • All of Hearts's home-matches have had more than 2,5 goals.
  • Hearts have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their home matches.
  • Hearts have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Hearts have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Livingston have scored away.
  • Hearts have the fewest clean sheets (0) at home in Premiership
  • Hearts have the fewest clean sheets (1) in Premiership
  • Hearts have the most conceded goals in the second half (17) in Premiership
  • Hearts haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Livingston have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Livingston have the fewest scored goals in the second half (5) in Premiership
  • Livingston haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Celtic 14 13 0 1 48 12 6 6 0 0 20 4 8 7 0 1 28 8 36 39
2 Rangers 14 10 2 2 33 13 8 7 1 0 22 3 6 3 1 2 11 10 20 32
3 Aberdeen 14 7 1 6 28 23 6 5 0 1 21 6 8 2 1 5 7 17 5 22
4 Livingston 14 7 1 6 14 19 8 5 0 3 8 8 6 2 1 3 6 11 -5 22
5 Hearts 14 6 2 6 23 24 6 4 0 2 15 14 8 2 2 4 8 10 -1 20
6 St. Johnstone 15 6 2 7 18 20 7 3 1 3 7 5 8 3 1 4 11 15 -2 20
7 Hibernian 15 6 2 7 18 22 8 4 2 2 12 8 7 2 0 5 6 14 -4 20
8 St. Mirren 14 6 2 6 16 22 8 5 2 1 10 5 6 1 0 5 6 17 -6 20
9 Motherwell 15 5 1 9 19 21 7 1 1 5 5 11 8 4 0 4 14 10 -2 16
10 Ross County 15 4 3 8 12 24 8 2 2 4 8 16 7 2 1 4 4 8 -12 15
11 Dundee United 15 3 3 9 17 30 8 3 0 5 10 16 7 0 3 4 7 14 -13 12
12 Kilmarnock 15 3 3 9 11 27 7 3 2 2 10 13 8 0 1 7 1 14 -16 12

Read more about Premiership

The Scottish Premiership is the top division of football in Scotland, the Scottish Professional Football League. Twelve teams play 38 fixtures to top the league table in a season running from August to May. The teams first meet each other three times. Then the league splits in two for five more games.