Premier League match prediction: Little separates Arsenal Tula and FK Nizjni Novgorod in quality

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Competition: Russia Premier League
Competition: Mon 02.May
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion Arsenal (20074 seats)

This match involves two sides residing in the basement of the Premier League, Arsenal Tula at 16th position and FK Nizjni Novgorod lying 13th. A decent opportunity for one of the teams to improve their position.

Insights:
  • Arsenal Tula have the most conceded goals (52) in Premier League
  • FK Nizjni Novgorod have won significantly less corners away then at home.

This looks to be an interesting fixture with lots of fun and bustle as both sides are well revitalized since they last ran out on the pitch. Game on!

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Arsenal Tula form and stats

The story so far in the Premier League for Arsenal Tula, who have the most conceded goals (52) in Premier League, at their home stadium (Stadion Arsenal) is 3 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats. With three straight defeats the pressure is piling up on Arsenal Tula to get some points in this home game.

Arsenal are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 0-1 away versus Rubin Kazan. Defender Smolnikov got the top score of the team in the match with a rating of 7.2/10. Smolnikov hit two key passes and won 5 of 8 duels.

Ahead of that match, Arsenal Tula lost 1-2 at home to Rostov.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Arsenal Tula have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found four matches with the results: Won one, drawn one and lost two.

Arsenal are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 13 goals in 12 games. Arsenal Tula's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 17 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. Arsenal Tula has at home met teams with this table position (low), three times. It has ended with less than 2.5 goals 2 of 3 times.

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FK Nizjni Novgorod form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Premier League travels is 4 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats.

FK Nizjni Novgorod play their second straight away game, having lost the previous one 1-2 to Lokomotiv Moskva (placed 5th). Novgorod keeper Nigmatullin was glad for a terrific day at work against Lokomotiv Moskva, but in spite of making six saves the defeat could not be stopped. Kalinskiy, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 7.51. Kalinskiy served one assist and hit one key pass.

Ahead of that game was the 0-0 draw at home against Khimki.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with FK Nizjni Novgorod playing away and similar expectations, we found six relevant matches. Results were four FK Nizjni Novgorod wins, zero draws and two defeats.

The visitors have scored 12 goals from 13 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. 18 goals have been conceded by FK Nizjni Novgorod in these games.

Head 2 Head

The teams have met each other already this season, with the match result FK Nizjni Novgorod - Arsenal Tula 2-3 registered in the official records. One of the stars has been Causic with 2 goals scored against FK Nizjni Novgorod in these 1 encounters.

Top Goalscorers

FK Nizjni NovgorodN. Kalinsky
N. Kalinsky
6 goals
FK Nizjni NovgorodA. Kozlov
A. Kozlov
4 goals
ArsenalE. Kangwa
E. Kangwa
3 goals

Arsenal Tula missing players

FK Nizjni Novgorod missing players

Arsenal Tula FK Nizjni Novgorod
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
26 12 3 Played P 4 13 26
5 3 0 Won W 1 4 7
6 5 2 Drew D 3 4 7
15 4 1 Lost L 0 5 12
25 13 0 Scored S 3 12 23
52 17 3 Conceded C 2 18 36
88% 75% 33% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 85% 85%
85% 75% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 69% 65%
69% 67% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 46% 46%
35% 25% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 15% 15%
15% 8% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 12%
58% 67% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 62% 58%
12% 25% 67% Clean Sheets C S 50% 23% 27%
42% 33% 100% Failed to Score F T 25% 31% 31%
 
4 3.8 6.3 Corners for (avg) C F 4.2 2.7 3.5
5.8 5.2 3 Corners against (avg) C A 5 4.3 4.5
2.8 3 2.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.2 1.8 2.3
4 1 0 Red cards R C 0 4 4
 
9.9 10.8 13.3 Shots (avg) S ( 12 7.5 8.5
3.4 4 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.8 2.2 2.8
28% 27% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 27% 43% 32%
 
15.9 14.5 13 Shots against (avg) S A 12 15.2 14.1
5.9 4.7 3.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4 5.3 4.7
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Arsenal Tula have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Arsenal Tula have the most conceded goals (52) in Premier League
  • Arsenal Tula have the most conceded goals in the second half (28) in Premier League
  • Arsenal Tula have the most matches over the total-line (13) in Premier League
  • Arsenal Tula have the the worst goal difference (-27) in Premier League
  • Arsenal Tula is in the worst form (0-1-5)
  • FK Nizjni Novgorod have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Zenit 26 17 7 2 61 25 13 11 1 1 39 14 13 6 6 1 22 11 36 58
2 Dinamo Moskva 26 16 4 6 45 25 13 7 3 3 22 11 13 9 1 3 23 14 20 52
3 CSKA Moskva 26 14 5 7 38 25 13 8 3 2 20 8 13 6 2 5 18 17 13 47
4 Sochi 26 14 4 8 42 29 14 8 2 4 29 16 12 6 2 4 13 13 13 46
5 Lokomotiv Moskva 25 11 8 6 37 32 13 8 1 4 21 14 12 3 7 2 16 18 5 41
6 Krasnodar 25 11 6 8 36 27 11 5 2 4 14 11 14 6 4 4 22 16 9 39
7 Krylya Sovetov 26 11 5 10 33 30 13 6 3 4 20 12 13 5 2 6 13 18 3 38
8 Rostov 26 9 7 10 44 44 14 5 2 7 26 25 12 4 5 3 18 19 0 34
9 Akhmat Grozny 26 10 2 14 31 37 13 7 0 6 20 17 13 3 2 8 11 20 -6 32
10 Spartak Moskva 26 8 7 11 30 36 13 5 4 4 19 15 13 3 3 7 11 21 -6 31
11 Rubin Kazan 26 8 5 13 33 44 13 5 2 6 18 17 13 3 3 7 15 27 -11 29
12 Khimki 26 6 10 10 30 42 13 3 7 3 18 17 13 3 3 7 12 25 -12 28
13 FK Nizjni Novgorod 26 7 7 12 23 36 13 3 3 7 11 18 13 4 4 5 12 18 -13 28
14 Ural 26 5 9 12 18 29 13 2 6 5 7 11 13 3 3 7 11 18 -11 24
15 Ufa 26 4 10 12 24 37 13 2 7 4 14 16 13 2 3 8 10 21 -13 22
16 Arsenal Tula 26 5 6 15 25 52 12 3 5 4 13 17 14 2 1 11 12 35 -27 21

Read more about Premier League

The Premier League, or the Russian Football Championship, is the top level football league in Russia. It has 16 teams who play each other home and away for a total of 30 matches each. After this the top team in the league table is the champion, the bottom two relegated directly while two teams play a relegation playoff.