Premier League match prediction: Little separates Khimki and Ufa in quality

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Competition: Russia Premier League
Competition: Sun 01.May
Match begins: 13:30 (UTC)
Venue: Arena Khimki (30457 seats)

These two teams have had their share of problems so far, but three lovely points in this crucial match would definitely provide a boost. Prepare for Khimki - Ufa!

Insights:
  • Khimki have the most dropped points from leading position (16) in Premier League
  • Ufa have the fewest scored goals in the first half (6) in Premier League

These teams have little in common geographically as Ufa have to travel 1300 kilometers to reach their opponents. The trip home will be especially long if the match ends in defeat.

Khimki and Ufa should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

W D W W W

Khimki form and stats

Khimki have played 13 Premier League games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 3-7-3 (wins-draws-losses). Two home wins in a row for Khimki bring valid hopes of a third.

Khimki's previous game was also played at home, ending 4-1 versus Krylya Sovetov (placed 7th). The home side are looking to build on that result. Glushakov (midfield was the top team player in that game with a rating of 8.84/10. Glushakov scored one goal, served one assist, hit one key pass, dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times and had 33 successful passes (of 39 total).

0-0 away at Olimpiyets before that.

This is expected to be a close game, with Khimki perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Khimki as a small favourite), we find seven games. Khimki has won three of these, drawn one and lost three.

The Khimki fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 18 in 13 matches. Khimki's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 17 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. Khimki has at home met teams with this table position (low), four times. It has ended with less than 2.5 goals 3 of 4 times.

L D L W D

Ufa form and stats

There's been little loot from Ufa's travels as they have only collected 9 points from 13 away games in the Premier League. Ufa only have 2 wins to counter their 8 defeats and 3 draws.

Ufa lost away at Ural (1-2) in their previous game and are perhaps starting to feel homesick. It is a bit troubling for Ufa that their keeper Belenov made six saves in the Ural fixture, but still couldn't save them from a loss. Attacker Agalarov got a player rating of 7.73 in the game. "Man of the match" Agalarov scored one goal, hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 2 of 3 times.

Ahead of that game was the 1-1 draw at home against CSKA Moskva.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Ufa playing away and similar expectations, we found nine relevant matches. Results were three Ufa wins, three draws and three defeats.

The attacking power of Ufa when travelling is not overwhelming with 10 goals scored from 13 league matches away. Ufa have conceded 21 goals in these games. When Ufa is visiting a side on the bottom half, 2 of 3 matches have ended with three or more goals. These are matches against Rubin Kazan', Olimpiyets, Ufa, Arsenal Tula and Ural.

Head 2 Head

This duo faced each other before this match year: Ufa - Khimki 3-2. Head to head numbers (for the prior three meetings): Khimki won two games, zero matches ended with a tie and Ufa managed one win. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: three / zero Glushakov likes to meet Ufa and have scored 3 goals in these games.

Top Goalscorers

UfaG. Agalarov
G. Agalarov
17 goals
KhimkiD. Glushakov
D. Glushakov
9 goals
KhimkiI. Kukharchuk
I. Kukharchuk
4 goals

Khimki missing players

Ufa missing players

Khimki Ufa
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
26 13 4 Played P 3 13 26
6 3 0 Won W 1 2 4
10 7 3 Drew D 1 3 10
10 3 1 Lost L 1 8 12
30 18 3 Scored S 3 10 24
42 17 4 Conceded C 3 21 37
77% 77% 75% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 92% 92%
69% 77% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 85% 81%
54% 46% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 46% 38%
38% 31% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 15% 15%
31% 23% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 8%
54% 62% 75% BTTS BTTS 67% 54% 65%
35% 31% 25% Clean Sheets C S 33% 8% 12%
35% 31% 25% Failed to Score F T 33% 46% 31%
 
4.6 5 4.8 Corners for (avg) C F 3 3.4 4.2
5.3 5.8 6 Corners against (avg) C A 6 6.2 5.2
2.5 2.3 2.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.3 2.3 2.8
5 4 2 Red cards R C 1 4 6
 
11.3 11.8 12.5 Shots (avg) S ( 9.7 9.4 11.1
4.1 4.2 3.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.7 2.7 3.3
28% 33% 21% Goal Efficiency G E 38% 29% 28%
 
14.6 13.9 15.8 Shots against (avg) S A 11.7 17.2 14.2
6.2 6.5 7.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.7 6 5
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Khimki have the most dropped points from leading position (16) in Premier League
  • Ufa have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Ufa have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Ufa have the fewest scored goals (10) away in Premier League
  • Ufa have the fewest scored goals in the first half (6) in Premier League
  • Ufa have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Zenit 25 16 7 2 58 24 13 11 1 1 39 14 12 5 6 1 19 10 34 55
2 Dinamo Moskva 26 16 4 6 45 25 13 7 3 3 22 11 13 9 1 3 23 14 20 52
3 CSKA Moskva 26 14 5 7 38 25 13 8 3 2 20 8 13 6 2 5 18 17 13 47
4 Sochi 26 14 4 8 42 29 14 8 2 4 29 16 12 6 2 4 13 13 13 46
5 Lokomotiv Moskva 25 11 8 6 37 32 13 8 1 4 21 14 12 3 7 2 16 18 5 41
6 Krasnodar 24 11 6 7 35 24 10 5 2 3 13 8 14 6 4 4 22 16 11 39
7 Krylya Sovetov 26 11 5 10 33 30 13 6 3 4 20 12 13 5 2 6 13 18 3 38
8 Rostov 26 9 7 10 44 44 14 5 2 7 26 25 12 4 5 3 18 19 0 34
9 Akhmat Grozny 26 10 2 14 31 37 13 7 0 6 20 17 13 3 2 8 11 20 -6 32
10 Spartak Moskva 26 8 7 11 30 36 13 5 4 4 19 15 13 3 3 7 11 21 -6 31
11 Rubin Kazan' 26 8 5 13 33 44 13 5 2 6 18 17 13 3 3 7 15 27 -11 29
12 Khimki 26 6 10 10 30 42 13 3 7 3 18 17 13 3 3 7 12 25 -12 28
13 Olimpiyets 26 7 7 12 23 36 13 3 3 7 11 18 13 4 4 5 12 18 -13 28
14 Ural 26 5 9 12 18 29 13 2 6 5 7 11 13 3 3 7 11 18 -11 24
15 Ufa 26 4 10 12 24 37 13 2 7 4 14 16 13 2 3 8 10 21 -13 22
16 Arsenal Tula 26 5 6 15 25 52 12 3 5 4 13 17 14 2 1 11 12 35 -27 21

Read more about Premier League

The Premier League, or the Russian Football Championship, is the top level football league in Russia. It has 16 teams who play each other home and away for a total of 30 matches each. After this the top team in the league table is the champion, the bottom two relegated directly while two teams play a relegation playoff.