Segunda Liga match prediction: Little separates Mafra and Porto II in quality

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Competition: Portugal Segunda Liga
Competition: Mon 29.March
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Municipal de Mafra (1200 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Mafra are in the 10th position while the guesting Porto II worry at 17th.

Insights:
  • Mafra have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in Segunda Liga
  • Porto II have the fewest clean sheets (2) in Segunda Liga

Mafra and Porto II should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

L W L W L

Mafra form and stats

Overall Segunda Liga stats at home this season for Mafra are 6-4-2 (wins-draw-losses). Two home wins in a row for Mafra bring valid hopes of a third.

No payout for Mafra in their previous match, an away game at Varzim that ended in defeat 0-2. Ahead of that match, Mafra won a home game hosting Feirense (2-1).

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Mafra have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found eleven matches with the results: Won seven, drawn three and lost one.

Mafra are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 17 goals in 12 games. From these home matches, Mafra have conceded only 11 goals.

W D D D D

Porto II form and stats

There's been little loot from Porto II's travels as they have only collected 10 points from 12 away games in the Segunda Liga. Porto II, who have the fewest clean sheets (2) in Segunda Liga, only have 1 win to counter their 4 defeats and 7 draws. Porto has built quite a streak of draws from their away games now, as four in a row has ended all square. Will this streak be broken in today's game?

Porto had fun at their own home (Estádio Municipal de Mafra) last time out, beating Sporting Covilhã 2-1. Fábio Vieira and Evanilson scored. Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Chaves that ended 1-1.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found nine similar matches played by Porto II in our archives, and the results are: one win for Porto II, five draws and three defeats.

The attacking power of Porto II when travelling is not overwhelming with 10 goals scored from 12 league matches away. As opposed to that, Porto II have seen the ball go into their own net 17 times on the road. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

Mafra and Porto II have met before this season: Porto II - Mafra 1-2. Last five meetings between the teams: Mafra won three, Porto II won two and zero draws. four games with over 2,5 goals, one match with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Porto IID. Loader
D. Loader
6 goals
Porto IIK. Boateng
K. Boateng
3 goals

Mafra missing players

Porto II missing players

Mafra Porto II
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
25 12 5 Played P 3 12 25
9 6 2 Won W 0 1 4
6 4 2 Drew D 1 7 9
10 2 1 Lost L 2 4 12
29 17 7 Scored S 1 10 28
31 11 5 Conceded C 6 17 38
96% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 83% 92%
80% 75% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 75% 84%
40% 42% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 33% 56%
24% 17% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 25% 20%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 12%
48% 67% 60% BTTS BTTS 33% 58% 76%
24% 25% 20% Clean Sheets C S 33% 17% 8%
32% 8% 20% Failed to Score F T 67% 42% 24%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.3 2.5 2.6 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.7 2.1 2.3
2 1 0 Red cards R C 2 2 5
 
10.5 10.7 10 Shots (avg) S ( 10.3 10.2 11.2
3.6 3.2 3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.3 3.5 4.6
33% 44% 47% Goal Efficiency G E 14% 24% 25%
Key stats in Segunda Liga this season:
  • Mafra have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Mafra have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in Segunda Liga
  • Mafra haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Porto II have the fewest clean sheets (2) in Segunda Liga

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Estoril 25 17 5 3 41 17 12 7 4 1 24 12 13 10 1 2 17 5 24 56
2 Feirense 25 14 5 6 35 21 13 7 2 4 17 13 12 7 3 2 18 8 14 47
3 Academica 25 13 7 5 32 21 12 7 2 3 17 12 13 6 5 2 15 9 11 46
4 Vizela 25 12 9 4 38 28 13 9 3 1 21 11 12 3 6 3 17 17 10 45
5 Arouca 25 10 8 7 26 22 12 5 4 3 10 9 13 5 4 4 16 13 4 38
6 Chaves 24 10 7 7 30 25 12 3 5 4 9 12 12 7 2 3 21 13 5 37
7 Penafiel 25 10 7 8 32 29 13 6 4 3 17 12 12 4 3 5 15 17 3 37
8 Casa Pia 25 8 10 7 31 34 13 5 4 4 17 18 12 3 6 3 14 16 -3 34
9 Benfica II 25 9 6 10 42 34 12 7 2 3 23 13 13 2 4 7 19 21 8 33
10 Mafra 25 9 6 10 29 31 12 6 4 2 17 11 13 3 2 8 12 20 -2 33
11 Leixões 25 7 9 9 25 28 12 5 4 3 15 12 13 2 5 6 10 16 -3 30
12 Sporting Covilhã 25 7 8 10 26 29 12 4 4 4 16 16 13 3 4 6 10 13 -3 29
13 Academico Viseu 25 6 8 11 22 32 12 3 4 5 9 15 13 3 4 6 13 17 -10 26
14 Vilafranquense 24 3 14 7 24 33 12 1 9 2 11 14 12 2 5 5 13 19 -9 23
15 Cova Piedade 25 5 8 12 27 38 13 2 5 6 12 20 12 3 3 6 15 18 -11 23
16 UD Oliveirense 25 5 8 12 20 34 13 2 5 6 10 16 12 3 3 6 10 18 -14 23
17 Porto II 25 4 9 12 28 38 13 3 2 8 18 21 12 1 7 4 10 17 -10 21
18 Varzim 25 5 6 14 17 31 13 2 3 8 8 17 12 3 3 6 9 14 -14 21

Read more about Segunda Liga

The Segunda Liga, or LigaPro, is the second level of Portuguese football. It has 18 teams each playing 34 fixtures to decide the final league table. The top two teams are promoted to the top level in Portugal (Primeira Liga) while the bottom two are relegated.