Segunda Liga prediction and preview: Porto II modest favorites to beat Sporting Covilhã

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Competition: Portugal Segunda Liga
Competition: Sun 21.March
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Dr. Jorge Sampaio (8272 seats)

Porto II hope to sell some tickets for this game even though the season has been rough so far with 18 points and a 17th position in the Segunda Liga table. Visiting Sporting Covilhã holds 12th place with 29 pts.

Insights:
  • Porto II have the most conceded goals (37) in Segunda Liga

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Porto II form and stats

With 2 Segunda Liga wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats from their home games, Porto II, who have the most conceded goals (37) in Segunda Liga, are certainly not brimming with confidence. The home team are struggling everywhere these days as they haven't won a league-game, regardless of being the home or the away team, in 14 attempts. Porto II are slowly digging their own grave here at Estádio Dr. Jorge Sampaio with the depressing streak of not having won a home league game in nine attempts. The last victory here came in the Vilafranquense match.

Porto II drew their last game, 1-1 away at Chaves (placed 5th). The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 1-1 versus Casa Pia.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Porto II's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played one game, won zero matches, drawn one and lost zero.

The Porto II fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 16 in 12 matches. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 20 goals have been conceded.

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Sporting Covilhã form and stats

As the visiting team in Segunda Liga matches, Sporting Covilhã have produced an overall stat of 3-4-5 so far.

Preceding that, the 0-2 home loss versus Penafiel.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Sporting Covilhã playing away, we found five games. Results were two away wins, zero draws and three home wins.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Covilhã as they have only managed to score 9 times from 12 away games in the league. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (11 so far).

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Sporting Covilhã - Porto II 4-0 entered in the official records. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: four - two - four (Porto wins - draws - Sporting Covilhã wins). As for goals, six matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Sporting CovilhãG. Pereira da Silva
G. Pereira da Silva
7 goals
PortoD. Loader
D. Loader
6 goals
Porto IIK. Boateng
K. Boateng
3 goals

Porto II missing players

Sporting Covilhã missing players

Porto II Sporting Covilhã
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
24 12 5 Played P 4 12 24
3 2 0 Won W 2 3 7
9 2 2 Drew D 1 4 8
12 8 3 Lost L 1 5 9
26 16 5 Scored S 6 9 25
37 20 8 Conceded C 5 11 27
92% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 75% 83%
83% 92% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 42% 62%
54% 75% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 42% 50%
21% 17% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 8% 21%
12% 17% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
75% 92% 100% BTTS BTTS 75% 42% 50%
8% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 33% 29%
25% 8% 0% Failed to Score F T 25% 50% 38%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.3 2.5 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 2.2 2.5
5 3 1 Red cards R C 2 2 4
 
11.3 12.4 13.8 Shots (avg) S ( 7 6.2 8.5
4.5 5.5 5.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.8 2.2 3
24% 24% 19% Goal Efficiency G E 55% 35% 35%
Key stats in Segunda Liga this season:
  • Porto II have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their home matches.
  • Porto II have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Porto II have the fewest clean sheets (0) at home in Segunda Liga
  • Porto II have the fewest clean sheets (2) in Segunda Liga
  • Porto II have the most conceded goals (20) at home in Segunda Liga
  • Porto II have the most conceded goals (37) in Segunda Liga
  • Porto II haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Estoril 24 16 5 3 38 15 12 7 4 1 24 12 12 9 1 2 14 3 23 53
2 Feirense 24 14 4 6 34 20 12 7 1 4 16 12 12 7 3 2 18 8 14 46
3 Académica 24 13 6 5 32 21 12 7 2 3 17 12 12 6 4 2 15 9 11 45
4 Vizela 24 12 8 4 37 27 12 9 2 1 20 10 12 3 6 3 17 17 10 44
5 Chaves 24 10 7 7 30 25 12 3 5 4 9 12 12 7 2 3 21 13 5 37
6 Arouca 24 10 7 7 25 21 12 5 4 3 10 9 12 5 3 4 15 12 4 37
7 Penafiel 23 10 5 8 31 28 12 6 3 3 16 11 11 4 2 5 15 17 3 35
8 Mafra 24 9 6 9 29 29 12 6 4 2 17 11 12 3 2 7 12 18 0 33
9 Casa Pia 24 8 9 7 30 33 13 5 4 4 17 18 11 3 5 3 13 15 -3 33
10 Benfica II 24 8 6 10 40 33 11 6 2 3 21 12 13 2 4 7 19 21 7 30
11 Leixoes 24 7 9 8 24 26 12 5 4 3 15 12 12 2 5 5 9 14 -2 30
12 Sporting Covilhã 24 7 8 9 25 27 12 4 4 4 16 16 12 3 4 5 9 11 -2 29
13 Academico Viseu 24 6 7 11 21 31 12 3 4 5 9 15 12 3 3 6 12 16 -10 25
14 Cova Piedade 24 5 8 11 25 35 12 2 5 5 10 17 12 3 3 6 15 18 -10 23
15 Vilafranquense 23 3 13 7 24 33 11 1 8 2 11 14 12 2 5 5 13 19 -9 22
16 UD Oliveirense 24 5 7 12 20 34 12 2 4 6 10 16 12 3 3 6 10 18 -14 22
17 Porto II 24 3 9 12 26 37 12 2 2 8 16 20 12 1 7 4 10 17 -11 18
18 Varzim 24 4 6 14 15 31 12 1 3 8 6 17 12 3 3 6 9 14 -16 18

Read more about Segunda Liga

The Segunda Liga, or LigaPro, is the second level of Portuguese football. It has 18 teams each playing 34 fixtures to decide the final league table. The top two teams are promoted to the top level in Portugal (Primeira Liga) while the bottom two are relegated.