Primeira Liga prediction: Porto should edge out Tondela on their own turf

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Competition: Portugal Primeira Liga
Competition: Sat 05.December
Match begins: 20:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Do Dragão (50033 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The Porto fans are optimistic that the difference between 4th and Tondela's 14th place in the table will show on the pitch.

Insights:
  • Porto has the most matches over the total-line (6) in Primeira Liga
  • Tondela has the the worst goal difference (-8) in Primeira Liga

The hosts Porto saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the Champions League. This match was also played here at Estádio Do Dragão. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Tondela have had more rest.

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Porto form and stats

3 victories, 0 draws and 1 defeat. That’s what Porto have to build on here at Estádio Do Dragão in the Primeira Liga. Two home wins in a row for Porto bring valid hopes of a third.

The home supporters saw a 0-0 draw versus Manchester City in the Champions League last time out and are looking for a win here. In the game before, an away victory in the Primeira Liga match versus Santa Clara with a 1-0 scoreline.

There will be little rest for Porto after this match as they are travelling to Olympiakos Piraeus for a Champions League game in only four days.

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (9 in 4 games), Porto's attacking play is working. Porto have conceded 5 in these home matches.

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Tondela form and stats

The Primeira Liga season is young and Tondela, who have the the worst goal difference (-8) in Primeira Liga, have only just started going through their travel schedule, with 3 away games done and still no victory. 1 draw and 2 defeats so far.

The manager F. Ayestarán Barandiarán was unhappy after their last game, a Primeira Liga match played at their home ground Estádio João Cardoso. Tondela suffered a 0-2 loss to Vitoria Guimaraes (placed 6th). Before that one, a nice away victory 1-0 at Felgueiras 1932.

With the home team given a winning probability of about 80% by the bookmakers, any positive result for the visitors would be a surprise. Checking earlier matches with similar odds with Tondela as the away team, we found three results. Statistics from these were zero away wins, one draw and two defeats. The outsiders lost two of these games by at least two goals.

The attacking power of Tondela when travelling is not overwhelming with 2 goals scored from 3 league matches away. For Tondela, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

Last ten meetings between the teams: Porto won eight, Tondela won one and one draw. four games with over 2,5 goals, six matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

PortoS. Relvas de Oliveira
S. Relvas de Oliveira
4 goals
PortoO. da Silva Monteiro
O. da Silva Monteiro
2 goals
PortoL. Díaz Marulanda
L. Díaz Marulanda
2 goals

Porto missing players

Tondela missing players

Porto Tondela
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
8 4 2 Played P 1 3 8
5 3 1 Won W 0 0 2
1 0 0 Drew D 0 1 2
2 1 1 Lost L 1 2 4
19 9 5 Scored S 0 2 6
10 5 4 Conceded C 4 7 14
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
75% 75% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 88%
75% 75% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 67% 38%
75% 75% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 33% 25%
38% 25% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
62% 75% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 67% 38%
38% 25% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 25%
0% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 33% 38%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.1 2.8 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.3 1.8
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
14.8 19.8 25 Shots (avg) S ( 3 8.7 9.6
5.5 7 8.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 2.3 3.1
43% 32% 29% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 29% 24%
Key stats in Primeira Liga this season:
  • All of Tondela's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Porto has the fewest matches under the total-line (2) in Primeira Liga
  • Porto has the most matches over the total-line (6) in Primeira Liga
  • Porto have scored in all their matches so far.
  • Porto have scored more than double the goals of Tondela.
  • Porto haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Tondela has the the worst goal difference (-8) in Primeira Liga
  • Tondela have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Tondela have yet to win a game away.
  • Tondela haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sporting CP 8 7 1 0 21 5 4 3 1 0 11 4 4 4 0 0 10 1 16 22
2 Benfica 8 6 0 2 19 10 4 3 0 1 9 5 4 3 0 1 10 5 9 18
3 Sporting Braga 8 6 0 2 13 7 4 3 0 1 4 2 4 3 0 1 9 5 6 18
4 Porto 8 5 1 2 19 10 4 3 0 1 9 5 4 2 1 1 10 5 9 16
5 Pacos de Ferreira 8 4 2 2 10 8 4 3 0 1 7 5 4 1 2 1 3 3 2 14
6 Vitoria Guimaraes 8 4 1 3 6 7 4 1 0 3 1 6 4 3 1 0 5 1 -1 13
7 Nacional 8 2 4 2 8 8 4 1 3 0 6 5 4 1 1 2 2 3 0 10
8 Santa Clara 8 3 1 4 7 8 4 1 1 2 3 3 4 2 0 2 4 5 -1 10
9 Rio Ave 8 2 4 2 5 7 3 1 1 1 2 3 5 1 3 1 3 4 -2 10
10 Famalicao 8 2 3 3 11 16 4 1 2 1 6 9 4 1 1 2 5 7 -5 9
11 Gil Vicente 8 2 2 4 7 9 4 2 1 1 5 3 4 0 1 3 2 6 -2 8
12 Belenenses 8 1 5 2 3 5 4 0 3 1 2 3 4 1 2 1 1 2 -2 8
13 Moreirense 8 2 2 4 6 9 4 2 1 1 5 3 4 0 1 3 1 6 -3 8
14 Tondela 8 2 2 4 6 14 5 2 1 2 4 7 3 0 1 2 2 7 -8 8
15 Maritimo 8 2 1 5 9 13 4 1 1 2 4 5 4 1 0 3 5 8 -4 7
16 Boavista 8 1 4 3 10 15 4 1 1 2 3 6 4 0 3 1 7 9 -5 7
17 Portimonense 8 2 1 5 6 11 4 1 1 2 3 5 4 1 0 3 3 6 -5 7
18 Farense 8 1 2 5 9 13 4 1 1 2 6 6 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 5

Read more about Primeira Liga

The Primeira Liga, also known as Liga NOS, is the top level of football in Portugal. It has 18 teams each playing 34 fixtures to decide the final league table. Portuguese football is dominated by “The Big Three”: Benfica, Porto and Sporting CP (Lisbon). These three clubs generally end up in the top three positions.