Sports betting insights: Warta Poznań vs Stal Mielec - predictions and stats

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Competition: Poland Ekstraklasa
Competition: Sun 24.October
Match begins: 15:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion przy Drodze Dębińskiej (4694 seats)

Warta Poznań are believing in their home fans to assist them to win this match against Stal Mielec. Who will win at Stadion przy Drodze Dębińskiej?

Insights:
  • Warta Poznań have the fewest scored goals (8) in Ekstraklasa
  • Stal Mielec have the most scored goals in the first half (10) in Ekstraklasa

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Warta Poznań form and stats

The story so far in the Ekstraklasa for Warta Poznań at their home stadium (Stadion przy Drodze Dębińskiej) is 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Regardless of arena the trend is looking very unhealthy for Warta Poznań with their four defeats in a row. Not since the Nieciecza game, 43 days ago, have they avoided a loss.

Poznań are anxiously hoping for a goal as it's been 492 minutes since the last one in league fixtures. (Scored by M. Kuzimski).

No payout for Poznań in their previous match, an away game at Cracovia Kraków that ended in defeat 0-2. Poznań's goalkeeper Adrian Lis was extremely busy against Cracovia Kraków, saving the team from a uglier defeat with a stunning six saves. Goalkeeper Adrian Lis got the top rating on the team in that game; 7.12 out of ten. Lis stopped the opponent with six saves.

Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Rakow Czestochowa (0-3).

This is expected to be a close game, with Warta Poznań perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Warta Poznań as a small favourite), we find 16 games. Warta Poznań has won six of these, drawn five and lost five.

The lack of attacking qualities in Poznań means that they have only scored 2 goals in 5 league home games, less than half a goal per match. On the other hand, Poznań have conceded 6 goals.

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Stal Mielec form and stats

Playing away, Stal Mielec have won 0 games, drawn 3 and suffered 2 defeats in the Ekstraklasa this season. Visiting Mielec has seen their last two away games both end with a tied score and one point each.

Impressive finishing from Marcin Flis, Grzegorz Tomasiewicz and Mateusz Mak (2) secured the home win 4-2 against Zagłębie Lubin in their previous game. A loony match with an abundance of goals last time out for Mielec, as mentioned above. 6 goals in that fun game, will this fixture be as much fun? Grzegorz Tomasiewicz got a match rating of 8.41 in that game, top player of the team. Tomasiewicz scored one goal, served one assist, hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times and had 29 successful passes (of 33 total).

Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Cracovia Kraków that ended 3-3.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Stal Mielec playing away and similar expectations, we found seven relevant matches. Results were three Stal Mielec wins, three draws and one defeat.

Mielec find the net regularly in their away games. 6 goals from 5 away fixtures in the league. The Mielec manager A. Majewski has some worries about the defense as 10 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

Head-to-head numbers (for the former six meetings): Poznań won two games, one match ended with a tie and Stal Mielec got three wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: one / five

Top Goalscorers

Stal MielecM. Mak
M. Mak
5 goals
Stal MielecG. Tomasiewicz
G. Tomasiewicz
4 goals
PoznańJ. Grzesik
J. Grzesik
2 goals

Warta Poznań missing players

Stal Mielec missing players

Warta Poznań Stal Mielec
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
11 5 2 Played P 2 5 11
1 0 0 Won W 0 0 4
4 3 1 Drew D 1 3 3
6 2 1 Lost L 1 2 4
8 2 1 Scored S 1 6 15
15 6 3 Conceded C 2 10 18
91% 80% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
73% 80% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 80% 82%
27% 0% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 40% 45%
18% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 40% 27%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 40% 27%
27% 40% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 80% 55%
18% 20% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 18%
64% 60% 50% Failed to Score F T 50% 20% 27%
 
4.9 5.8 7.5 Corners for (avg) C F 2.5 2.6 4.8
4.9 5.6 4 Corners against (avg) C A 2 4.6 5.5
1.6 1.6 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.8 2.1
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
9.5 11.4 14.5 Shots (avg) S ( 5 6.2 8.6
3.5 3.8 4.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1 2 3.3
21% 11% 11% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 60% 42%
Key stats in Ekstraklasa this season:
  • Stal Mielec have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Stal Mielec have scored at least twice as many goals away as Warta Poznań have scored home.
  • Stal Mielec have the most scored goals in the first half (10) in Ekstraklasa
  • Stal Mielec have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Stal Mielec have yet to win a game away.
  • Stal Mielec haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Warta Poznań have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored at home.
  • Warta Poznań have the fewest points (3) at home in Ekstraklasa
  • Warta Poznań have the fewest scored goals (2) at home in Ekstraklasa
  • Warta Poznań have the fewest scored goals (8) in Ekstraklasa
  • Warta Poznań have the fewest scored goals in the first half (2) in Ekstraklasa
  • Warta Poznań have yet to win a game at home.
  • Warta Poznań is in the worst form (0-2-4)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Lech Poznan 11 7 3 1 23 6 6 4 2 0 14 1 5 3 1 1 9 5 17 24
2 Lechia Gdansk 11 6 4 1 20 9 5 4 1 0 10 3 6 2 3 1 10 6 11 22
3 Rakow Czestochowa 10 6 3 1 21 14 3 1 2 0 7 4 7 5 1 1 14 10 7 21
4 Pogoń Szczecin 11 5 4 2 16 9 5 4 1 0 12 3 6 1 3 2 4 6 7 19
5 Slask Wrocaw 11 4 5 2 15 14 6 2 3 1 8 6 5 2 2 1 7 8 1 17
6 Cracovia Kraków 11 4 4 3 18 18 5 2 2 1 10 8 6 2 2 2 8 10 0 16
7 Jagiellonia Białystok 11 4 4 3 12 12 7 3 3 1 9 6 4 1 1 2 3 6 0 16
8 Stal Mielec 11 4 3 4 15 18 6 4 0 2 9 8 5 0 3 2 6 10 -3 15
9 Zagłębie Lubin 10 5 0 5 13 17 5 3 0 2 8 6 5 2 0 3 5 11 -4 15
10 Piast Gliwice 11 4 2 5 14 15 6 2 1 3 10 12 5 2 1 2 4 3 -1 14
11 Wisa Krakow 11 4 2 5 14 16 5 2 1 2 7 5 6 2 1 3 7 11 -2 14
12 Wisla Plock 11 4 1 6 18 17 5 4 1 0 10 1 6 0 0 6 8 16 1 13
13 Radomiak Radom 11 2 7 2 12 11 5 2 3 0 7 4 6 0 4 2 5 7 1 13
14 Gornik Zabrze 10 4 1 5 13 15 6 3 0 3 7 7 4 1 1 2 6 8 -2 13
15 Legia Warszawa 9 3 0 6 10 13 4 2 0 2 6 5 5 1 0 4 4 8 -3 9
16 Nieciecza 10 1 4 5 10 15 6 1 2 3 8 11 4 0 2 2 2 4 -5 7
17 Warta Poznań 11 1 4 6 8 15 5 0 3 2 2 6 6 1 1 4 6 9 -7 7
18 Górnik Łęczna 11 1 3 7 9 27 6 1 2 3 6 15 5 0 1 4 3 12 -18 6

Read more about Ekstraklasa

The Ekstraklasa, which carries the sponsorship name Lotto Ekstraklasa, is the top football league in Poland. It has 16 teams playing each other home and away to decide a regular season league table. The top eight teams then play a championship round while the bottom eight play a relegation round.