Ekstraklasa forecast and preview: Pogoń Szczecin modest favoured to beat Górnik Zabrze

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Competition: Poland Ekstraklasa
Competition: Sat 05.November
Match begins: 16:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera (18027 seats)

Ekstraklasa: Top-drawer versus subpar, at least that's what the standings say. Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze. Home victory or a surprise?

Insights:
  • Pogoń Szczecin have the most scored goals in the first half (15) in Ekstraklasa
  • Górnik Zabrze have the most conceded goals in the first half (14) in Ekstraklasa

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Pogoń Szczecin form and stats

Pogoń Szczecin have performed here at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera this season with 4 wins from 7 Ekstraklasa matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 3 games and lost 0.

Happy days for Pogoń Szczecin in their previous game, a fixture away at Miedz Legnica (placed 18th) that ended with a 4-2 victory. Sweet to taste a league victory after three matches without one. As you can tell by the result above, the goals flowed freely in the previous game and the stadium rocked. Could there be another goal fest today? What a game it was for Kowalczyk when beating Miedz Legnica, applying the finishing touch to three goals! Midfield player Kowalczyk got a match rating of 9.14 in that game, the max score being 10. Kowalczyk scored three goals, served one assist, hit one key pass, dribled past the opponent 1 of 2 times and had 25 successful passes (of 29 total).

Preceding that game was the away draw at Legia Warszawa that finished 1-1.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Szczecin handle that role? We have found 18 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are 10 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeat.

Sports gamblers, take note: A review of the 12 most recent league games shows that 10 of them had at least one goal scored by each team.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Pogoń Szczecin as they have a new game in only four days, a Polish Cup match thankfully also at home. Rakow Czestochowa are visiting.

A decent goal production from Szczecin in their home games so far, with 13 goals from 7 league matches.

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Górnik Zabrze form and stats

Playing away, Górnik Zabrze have won 2 games, drawn 3 and suffered 1 defeat in the Ekstraklasa this season.

Górnik Zabrze have succeeded in guarding their own goal lately, led by their goalkeeper Daniel Bielica. It's been 203 minutes since they last conceded in Ekstraklasa.

Górnik won their last game, 3-0 versus Widzew Lodz played at home. That win felt good as this side had gone four league fixtures without winning. Górnik Zabrze delivered their win in the match against Widzew Lodz already in the first half, and could slow the play down in the final 45 minutes to ensure the glorious victory. A solid performance! Attacker Włodarczyk got a player rating of 8.61 in the game. "Man of the match" Włodarczyk scored two goals.

Preceding that game, the 0-0 draw paying a visit to Warta Poznan.

Górnik Zabrze are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 2 draws and 7 defeats. From a total of 10 matches.

Betting related statistic: Both sides have scored goal(s) in 9 of this club's latest 11 league fixtures.

The visitors will be packing their bags again in only three days as another away game awaits: The Polish Cup trip to Kalisz.

The travelling fans enjoy Górnik's attacking play in away games, having scored 9 goals in 6 league matches away. As opposed to that, Górnik Zabrze have seen the ball go into their own net 8 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Szczecin three wins, four draws and Górnik Zabrze three victories. As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Pogoń SzczecinK. Grosicki
K. Grosicki
6 goals
Górnik ZabrzeS. Włodarczyk
S. Włodarczyk
6 goals
Pogoń SzczecinS. Kowalczyk
S. Kowalczyk
4 goals

Pogoń Szczecin missing players

Górnik Zabrze missing players

Pogoń Szczecin Górnik Zabrze
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
15 7 3 Played P 2 6 14
7 4 2 Won W 0 2 4
5 3 1 Drew D 2 3 5
3 0 0 Lost L 0 1 5
26 13 6 Scored S 3 9 21
20 7 2 Conceded C 3 8 22
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 83% 93%
87% 86% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 83% 86%
67% 71% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 67% 64%
27% 29% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 33% 36%
13% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 17% 21%
80% 71% 67% BTTS BTTS 100% 67% 64%
13% 29% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 33% 29%
7% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 17% 14%
 
5.9 6.7 7.3 Corners for (avg) C F 7.5 5.2 5.6
5.3 5.1 2.7 Corners against (avg) C A 3 4.3 3.9
2.5 2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2.7 2.9
0 0 0 Red cards R C 1 1 2
 
13.5 15.6 16.3 Shots (avg) S ( 14 10.3 11.4
5.9 8.1 9 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.5 4.3 4.6
29% 23% 22% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 35% 33%
 
12.3 11.4 8.7 Shots against (avg) S A 11.5 11.8 11.3
4.5 4.6 3.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.5 4.7 4.7
Key stats in Ekstraklasa this season:
  • Górnik Zabrze have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Górnik Zabrze have the most conceded goals in the first half (14) in Ekstraklasa
  • Pogoń Szczecin have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Pogoń Szczecin have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Pogoń Szczecin have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Pogoń Szczecin have the most points from losing position (12) in Ekstraklasa
  • Pogoń Szczecin have the most scored goals in the first half (15) in Ekstraklasa
  • Pogoń Szczecin haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rakow Czestochowa 14 10 2 2 24 9 8 7 1 0 16 4 6 3 1 2 8 5 15 32
2 Legia Warszawa 15 8 4 3 22 18 7 5 2 0 12 5 8 3 2 3 10 13 4 28
3 Pogoń Szczecin 15 7 5 3 26 20 7 4 3 0 13 7 8 3 2 3 13 13 6 26
4 Widzew Lodz 15 8 2 5 20 14 7 4 1 2 11 6 8 4 1 3 9 8 6 26
5 Wisla Plock 15 7 4 4 27 17 7 5 1 1 14 6 8 2 3 3 13 11 10 25
6 Stal Mielec 14 7 2 5 21 20 7 3 2 2 10 8 7 4 0 3 11 12 1 23
7 Lech Poznan 13 6 4 3 14 10 7 3 1 3 5 6 6 3 3 0 9 4 4 22
8 Radomiak Radom 14 6 2 6 15 17 7 3 1 3 9 9 7 3 1 3 6 8 -2 20
9 Slask Wrocaw 15 5 5 5 17 21 8 3 3 2 12 12 7 2 2 3 5 9 -4 20
10 Cracovia Krakow 14 5 4 5 15 11 8 3 2 3 9 5 6 2 2 2 6 6 4 19
11 Jagiellonia Biaystok 15 4 6 5 24 23 8 4 1 3 16 12 7 0 5 2 8 11 1 18
12 Warta Poznan 14 5 3 6 12 13 7 1 2 4 5 10 7 4 1 2 7 3 -1 18
13 Górnik Zabrze 14 4 5 5 21 22 8 2 2 4 12 14 6 2 3 1 9 8 -1 17
14 Zagebie Lubin 14 4 5 5 12 20 7 1 4 2 5 8 7 3 1 3 7 12 -8 17
15 Piast Gliwice 15 3 4 8 15 19 7 2 1 4 9 8 8 1 3 4 6 11 -4 13
16 Korona Kielce 15 3 4 8 15 22 7 1 2 4 7 10 8 2 2 4 8 12 -7 13
17 Lechia Gdansk 13 3 2 8 13 24 5 0 2 3 2 9 8 3 0 5 11 15 -11 11
18 Miedz Legnica 14 1 3 10 14 27 7 1 2 4 8 13 7 0 1 6 6 14 -13 6

Read more about Ekstraklasa

The Ekstraklasa, which carries the sponsorship name Lotto Ekstraklasa, is the top football league in Poland. It has 16 teams playing each other home and away to decide a regular season league table. The top eight teams then play a championship round while the bottom eight play a relegation round.