Ekstraklasa match prediction: Little separates Legia Warszawa and Pogoń Szczecin in quality

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Competition: Poland Ekstraklasa
Competition: Sun 31.October
Match begins: 16:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego (15016 seats)

This season has been grim for Legia Warszawa up to now, while Pogoń Szczecin have taken lots of points. Will the visiting team claim three points at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego?

Insights:
  • Legia Warszawa have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Pogoń Szczecin haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Warszawa have less rest than Pogoń Szczecin in this fixture, as the hosts were involved in a Polish Cup game only three days ago. That game was an away game at Swit Skolwin, so at least Warszawa are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

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Legia Warszawa form and stats

When playing at home in the Ekstraklasa, Legia Warszawa have managed 2 wins, 0 draws and suffered 2 defeats from 4 games. It's trouble wherever Legia Warszawa are playing these days as they have suffered four straight defeats now, regardless of arena. They really need to get back to winning ways.

A good away victory last time out for Warszawa, who won 1-0 against Swit Skolwin.

Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Piast Gliwice (1-4).

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Warszawa have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found two matches with the results: Won two, drawn zero and lost zero.

Another home game is coming up fairly shortly for the hosts, as Napoli are coming to town in four days.

Legia Warszawa have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego with 6 goals in 4 league matches. 5 goals have been conceded.

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Pogoń Szczecin form and stats

Pogoń Szczecin have only collected 6 points from their away games in the Ekstraklasa, after 1-3-2 (6 played).

The supporters enjoyed Szczecin's previous game versus Jagiellonia Biaystok (placed 10th), a Ekstraklasa 4-1 win played at home. Attacker Luka Zahović got a player rating of 8.61 in the game. "Man of the match" Zahović scored one goal, signed up for two assists and hit three key passes.

A 0-1 defeat away at Wisla Plock before that.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Szczecin playing away and similar expectations, we found five relevant matches. Results were three Pogoń Szczecin wins, zero draws and two defeats.

The attacking power of Szczecin when travelling is not overwhelming with 4 goals scored from 6 league matches away. 6 goals have been conceded by Szczecin in these games.

Head 2 Head

H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Warszawa four wins, two draws and Pogoń Szczecin four victories. As for goals, eight matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), two games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

WarszawaE. Muçi
E. Muçi
3 goals
Pogoń SzczecinK. Drygas
K. Drygas
3 goals
Pogoń SzczecinK. Kozłowski
K. Kozłowski
3 goals

Legia Warszawa missing players

Pogoń Szczecin missing players

Legia Warszawa Pogoń Szczecin
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
10 4 2 Played P 3 6 12
3 2 0 Won W 1 1 6
0 0 0 Drew D 1 3 4
7 2 2 Lost L 1 2 2
11 6 2 Scored S 2 4 20
17 5 4 Conceded C 2 6 10
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
60% 50% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 67% 75%
50% 50% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 0% 25%
50% 50% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 25%
20% 25% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 25%
50% 50% 50% BTTS BTTS 33% 50% 58%
20% 25% 0% Clean Sheets C S 33% 17% 25%
30% 25% 50% Failed to Score F T 33% 33% 17%
 
7.4 5.2 5.5 Corners for (avg) C F 6 5.8 6.6
4.6 4.5 5.5 Corners against (avg) C A 3 4.5 4.3
2.8 2.8 4.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2 1.5
2 0 0 Red cards R C 1 1 1
 
12.3 14.2 13 Shots (avg) S ( 14 11.8 14
4.7 6.8 6.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 3.7 4.9
23% 22% 15% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 18% 34%
Key stats in Ekstraklasa this season:
  • Legia Warszawa have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Legia Warszawa haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Pogoń Szczecin haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Lech Poznan 12 8 3 1 27 7 7 5 2 0 18 2 5 3 1 1 9 5 20 27
2 Rakow Czestochowa 11 7 3 1 24 16 4 2 2 0 10 6 7 5 1 1 14 10 8 24
3 Lechia Gdansk 12 6 5 1 21 10 6 4 2 0 11 4 6 2 3 1 10 6 11 23
4 Pogoń Szczecin 12 6 4 2 20 10 6 5 1 0 16 4 6 1 3 2 4 6 10 22
5 Slask Wrocaw 12 5 5 2 20 14 6 2 3 1 8 6 6 3 2 1 12 8 6 20
6 Piast Gliwice 12 5 2 5 18 16 7 3 1 3 14 13 5 2 1 2 4 3 2 17
7 Cracovia Krakow 12 4 5 3 19 19 5 2 2 1 10 8 7 2 3 2 9 11 0 17
8 Radomiak Radom 12 3 7 2 15 12 6 3 3 0 10 5 6 0 4 2 5 7 3 16
9 Stal Mielec 12 4 4 4 15 18 6 4 0 2 9 8 6 0 4 2 6 10 -3 16
10 Jagiellonia Biaystok 12 4 4 4 13 16 7 3 3 1 9 6 5 1 1 3 4 10 -3 16
11 Zagebie Lubin 11 5 1 5 14 18 6 3 1 2 9 7 5 2 0 3 5 11 -4 16
12 Gornik Zabrze 11 4 2 5 14 16 6 3 0 3 7 7 5 1 2 2 7 9 -2 14
13 Wisa Krakow 12 4 2 6 14 21 6 2 1 3 7 10 6 2 1 3 7 11 -7 14
14 Wisla Plock 12 4 1 7 19 21 5 4 1 0 10 1 7 0 0 7 9 20 -2 13
15 Legia Warszawa 10 3 0 7 11 17 4 2 0 2 6 5 6 1 0 5 5 12 -6 9
16 Warta Poznan 12 1 5 6 8 15 6 0 4 2 2 6 6 1 1 4 6 9 -7 8
17 Nieciecza 11 1 4 6 12 18 6 1 2 3 8 11 5 0 2 3 4 7 -6 7
18 Gornik eczna 12 1 3 8 10 30 6 1 2 3 6 15 6 0 1 5 4 15 -20 6

Read more about Ekstraklasa

The Ekstraklasa, which carries the sponsorship name Lotto Ekstraklasa, is the top football league in Poland. It has 16 teams playing each other home and away to decide a regular season league table. The top eight teams then play a championship round while the bottom eight play a relegation round.