Primera Division preview: Can UTC Cajamarca edge out victory against Alianza Atlético?

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Competition: Peru Primera Division
Competition: Mon 23.August
Match begins: 18:15 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao (11600 seats)

seven rounds of fixtures have been played and UTC Cajamarca are 4 points ahead of Alianza Atlético. What happens today?

Insights:
  • UTC Cajamarca have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Alianza Atlético have the most conceded goals (15) in Primera Division

Alianza Atlético could be less fresh than the hosts in this fixture, as they played a Primera Division game only four sleeps ago.

This field has artifical turf, which is not Alianza Atlético's usual surface at their own ground. When playing on artifical turf Alianza Atlético have performed like this: Played eight matches resulting in 2 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats with the goal difference 6-11 (scored/conceded).

W W L D D

UTC Cajamarca form and stats

When playing at home in the Primera Division, UTC Cajamarca have managed 1 win, 1 draw and suffered 1 defeat from 3 games.

UTC Cajamarca enjoyed a nice away win last time out, playing at Melgar's place. The match ended 1-0 with Alexis Blanco scoring. Adrian Gutierrez was "man of the match" with a rating of 7.75 out of 10. The defender Gutierrez hit one key pass and won 11 of 14 duels.

Ahead of that match, UTC Cajamarca won a home game hosting Real Garcilaso (2-1).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how UTC Cajamarca have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won five times, drawn one and lost two.

Cajamarca aren't scoring a lot here at Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao in the league, with only 2 goals from 3 games. Cajamarca are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 2 from 3 matches.

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Alianza Atlético form and stats

The Primera Division season is young and Alianza Atlético have only just started going through their travel schedule, with 3 away games done and still no victory. 1 draw and 2 defeats so far. The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as Alianza Atlético have lost on their last two travels.

Alianza Atlético's previous game was their home loss versus Alianza Universidad (1-2). Late heartbreak for Alianza Atlético in the Alianza Universidad match, as the deciding 1-2 goal came deep into overtime.

Preceding that match was the 3-3 draw at home vs Melgar.

We have checked recent matches where Atlético have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those twelve games were two victories, four draws and six defeats.

The attacking power of Atlético when travelling is not overwhelming with 2 goals scored from 3 league matches away. Alianza Atlético have conceded 7 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético 0-2 was the end result in these contenders' last H2H game, played this season. Statistics for the previous nine meetings between these two contenders are: three wins for UTC Cajamarca, one draw and five wins for Alianza Atlético. Over 2,5 goals: three times; under 2,5 goals: six games.

Top Goalscorers

UTC CajamarcaA. Blanco
A. Blanco
5 goals
Alianza AtléticoV. Perlaza Caicedo
V. Perlaza Caicedo
5 goals
Alianza AtléticoD. Saffadi Carrillo
D. Saffadi Carrillo
4 goals

UTC Cajamarca missing players

Alianza Atlético missing players

UTC Cajamarca Alianza Atlético
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
15 8 2 Played P 2 8 15
4 2 1 Won W 0 3 4
4 2 0 Drew D 1 1 2
7 4 1 Lost L 1 4 9
11 8 2 Scored S 2 11 17
15 11 2 Conceded C 3 12 24
87% 88% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
40% 62% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 88% 73%
27% 50% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 62% 60%
20% 38% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 38% 27%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 7%
33% 50% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 47%
27% 12% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 12% 13%
53% 50% 50% Failed to Score F T 50% 38% 40%
 
5.2 4.9 3.5 Corners for (avg) C F 1.5 4.1 4.9
5.3 5 2.5 Corners against (avg) C A 11 6.1 5.3
3.3 3.4 3.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 5 3.1 2.9
4 3 0 Red cards R C 1 1 1
 
10.8 12 15 Shots (avg) S ( 9 10.4 9.6
3.1 3.4 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 4 3.9
24% 30% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 34% 29%
Key stats in Primera Division this season:
  • Alianza Atlético have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Alianza Atlético have the fewest scored goals in the first half (3) in Primera Division
  • Alianza Atlético have the most conceded goals (15) in Primera Division
  • Alianza Atlético have the the worst goal difference (-5) away in Primera Division
  • Alianza Atlético haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • UTC Cajamarca have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Alianza Lima 7 5 2 0 11 3 3 3 0 0 7 2 4 2 2 0 4 1 8 17
2 Carlos Manucci 7 5 1 1 14 7 3 1 1 1 5 4 4 4 0 0 9 3 7 16
3 Melgar 7 3 3 1 17 8 4 1 2 1 6 4 3 2 1 0 11 4 9 12
4 César Vallejo 7 3 2 2 5 3 4 2 0 2 3 2 3 1 2 0 2 1 2 11
5 Alianza Universidad 7 3 2 2 8 10 3 1 1 1 2 3 4 2 1 1 6 7 -2 11
6 Sport Boys 6 3 1 2 7 7 3 1 1 1 3 4 3 2 0 1 4 3 0 10
7 Cienciano 7 2 3 2 9 8 3 0 2 1 2 3 4 2 1 1 7 5 1 9
8 Universitario 7 2 3 2 11 11 4 1 1 2 7 8 3 1 2 0 4 3 0 9
9 UTC Cajamarca 7 2 3 2 4 4 3 1 1 1 2 2 4 1 2 1 2 2 0 9
10 Ayacucho 7 2 3 2 8 10 3 1 1 1 3 3 4 1 2 1 5 7 -2 9
11 Sporting Cristal 5 2 2 1 9 7 2 0 1 1 2 3 3 2 1 0 7 4 2 8
12 Academia Cantolao 7 2 2 3 10 10 3 0 1 2 4 8 4 2 1 1 6 2 0 8
13 Deportivo Municipal 6 2 2 2 7 7 3 0 2 1 2 3 3 2 0 1 5 4 0 8
14 Deportivo Binacional 6 2 2 2 9 11 3 1 1 1 3 6 3 1 1 1 6 5 -2 8
15 Real Garcilaso 7 1 2 4 12 13 4 1 1 2 9 8 3 0 1 2 3 5 -1 5
16 Alianza Atlético 7 1 2 4 7 15 4 1 1 2 5 8 3 0 1 2 2 7 -8 5
17 Sport Huancayo 7 0 4 3 3 8 4 0 2 2 2 6 3 0 2 1 1 2 -5 4
18 Universidad San Martín 6 0 1 5 1 10 4 0 1 3 1 7 2 0 0 2 0 3 -9 1

Read more about Primera Division

The Peruvian First Division, also known as the Primera Division or the Copa Movistar, is the top level of football in Peru. Seasons run from February to December with 18 teams playing 44 fixtures each to create a final league table. Universitario, Alianza Lima and Sporting Cristal are by far the dominant winner of this league since it was founded in 1912.