Primera Division prediction and preview: Universitario modest favorites to beat Universidad San Martín

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Competition: Peru Primera Division
Competition: Sat 14.November
Match begins: 18:15 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Alberto Gallardo (11600 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The Universitario fans are optimistic that the difference between 1st and Universidad San Martín's 16th place in the table will show on the pitch.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Universitario and Universidad San Martín.

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Universitario form and stats

22 points is a decent return from 9 Primera Division games here at Estadio Alberto Gallardo for Universitario. The data says 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. The Universitario manager Á. Comizzo might feel some added pressure to get something from this game after two straight home defeats.

Universitario's previous game was also a home match, the defeat 1-6 versus UTC Cajamarca. Preceding that game was the away draw at Academia Cantolao that finished 2-2.

As you see from the result above, Universitario suffered greatly in their last game. Thankfully the team has a new chance to prove themselves in this one.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Universitario's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played nine games, won five matches, drawn two and lost two.

The Universitario fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 16 goals in 9 league matches. Universitario are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estadio Alberto Gallardo in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 8 from 9 matches. It's worth mentioning that 8 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Universidad San Martín form and stats

As the visiting team in Primera Division matches, Universidad San Martín have produced an overall stat of 3-2-4 so far. Universidad has been amazing away for a time now, winning five in a row on their travels. The last time they went home with a point loss was against Sport Huancayo.

Universidad play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 2-0 victory visiting Atlético Grau. A loss against Sporting Cristal was the result prior to that, in a home game.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Universidad when being an outsider away as they are today, we find four matches with the visitors losing one time, drawing three and winning zero games.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Universidad San Martín have scored 9 goals in 9 league games away. It's worth mentioning that 5 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Universidad San Martín struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 15 goals conceded from these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Universitario - Universidad San Martín 2-0 played earlier this season. Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Universitario won four games, five matches ended with a draw and Universidad San Martín has one win. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: six / four

Top Goalscorers

UniversitarioA. Hohberg González
A. Hohberg González
11 goals
UniversitarioJ. Dos Santos Duré
J. Dos Santos Duré
11 goals
UniversitarioL. Urruti Giménez
L. Urruti Giménez
6 goals

Universitario missing players

Universidad San Martín missing players

Universitario Universidad San Martín
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
24 12 3 Played P 2 12 24
15 8 3 Won W 0 6 8
5 1 0 Drew D 0 2 6
4 3 0 Lost L 2 4 10
44 19 7 Scored S 3 14 25
28 16 3 Conceded C 6 15 31
96% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 92%
75% 83% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 75% 75%
54% 42% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 33% 38%
42% 25% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 17% 17%
21% 25% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 8% 4%
54% 50% 67% BTTS BTTS 50% 33% 46%
33% 33% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 42% 25%
17% 17% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 33% 38%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.7 3 4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.5 2.2 2.5
2 1 1 Red cards R C 1 1 4
 
269 137 46 Total Shots T S 31 156 279
104 46 18 Shots on Target S O 12 60 115
42% 41% 39% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 23% 22%
Key stats in Primera Division this season:
  • Universitario has the most points (22) at home in Primera Division
  • Universitario has the the best goal difference (+20) in Primera Division
  • Universitario has the the best goal difference (+8) at home in Primera Division
  • Universitario haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Universitario 19 13 4 2 38 18 9 7 1 1 16 8 10 6 3 1 22 10 20 42
2 Sport Huancayo 19 10 5 4 23 15 9 6 2 1 14 8 10 4 3 3 9 7 8 35
3 Sporting Cristal 19 9 6 4 38 23 9 5 2 2 12 8 10 4 4 2 26 15 15 33
4 Cesar Vallejo 19 8 9 2 25 16 9 4 4 1 10 6 10 4 5 1 15 10 9 33
5 Carlos Manucci 19 7 8 4 28 22 10 1 5 4 9 14 9 6 3 0 19 8 6 29
6 UTC Cajamarca 19 7 8 4 24 20 9 5 2 2 17 13 10 2 6 2 7 7 4 29
7 Alianza Universidad 19 8 5 6 21 17 10 4 3 3 8 5 9 4 2 3 13 12 4 29
8 Melgar 19 7 7 5 23 20 9 4 3 2 10 7 10 3 4 3 13 13 3 28
9 Ayacucho 19 7 6 6 28 21 10 4 4 2 14 9 9 3 2 4 14 12 7 27
10 Cienciano 19 8 3 8 27 23 10 5 2 3 19 12 9 3 1 5 8 11 4 27
11 Deportivo Binacional 19 6 5 8 24 29 9 3 1 5 14 19 10 3 4 3 10 10 -5 23
12 Alianza Lima 19 5 7 7 19 20 10 4 3 3 11 8 9 1 4 4 8 12 -1 22
13 Academia Cantolao 19 6 4 9 21 33 10 3 2 5 10 18 9 3 2 4 11 15 -12 22
14 Deportivo Municipal 19 4 9 6 20 24 9 1 4 4 7 13 10 3 5 2 13 11 -4 21
15 Real Garcilaso 19 5 6 8 26 31 9 3 3 3 13 15 10 2 3 5 13 16 -5 21
16 Universidad San Martín 19 5 6 8 20 27 10 2 4 4 11 12 9 3 2 4 9 15 -7 21
17 Sport Boys 19 5 5 9 24 33 10 3 3 4 15 18 9 2 2 5 9 15 -9 19
18 Carlos Stein 19 4 6 9 18 28 10 0 4 6 10 20 9 4 2 3 8 8 -10 17
19 Atlético Grau 19 3 8 8 17 27 9 1 7 1 12 12 10 2 1 7 5 15 -10 17
20 Deportivo Llacuabamba 19 2 5 12 25 42 10 2 2 6 13 19 9 0 3 6 12 23 -17 11

Read more about Primera Division

The Peruvian First Division, also known as the Primera Division or the Copa Movistar, is the top level of football in Peru. Seasons run from February to December with 18 teams playing 44 fixtures each to create a final league table. Universitario, Alianza Lima and Sporting Cristal are by far the dominant winner of this league since it was founded in 1912.