Football betting preview: Melgar favourites when Deportivo Municipal visits

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Competition: Peru Primera Division
Competition: Sat 28.November
Match begins: 20:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín (65000 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Melgar are in the 8th position while the guesting Deportivo Municipal worry at 14th.

Insights:
  • Melgar have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Deportivo Municipal has the most points from losing position (15) in Primera Division

There has not been much time to rest for the guests, as they played a Primera Division game only three days ago.

9-10-17 (wins/draws/losses). These are the numbers for Deportivo Municipal when playing away games on grass, which is not the surface they have on their own home stadium (which has artifical turf). Their goal statistics from those 36 matches are 37-55 (scored/conceded).

These teams have little in common geographically as Deportivo Municipal have to travel 1000 kilometers to reach their opponents. The trip home will be especially long if the match ends in defeat.

W W L D W

Melgar form and stats

Melgar have collected 15 points from their Primera Division home games so far after 4-3-2.

Nothing to worry about in defence for Melgar, as their goalkeeper Angelo Ademir Campos Turriarte has completely shut out the opponents for 184 minutes in the Primera Division.

A good away victory last time out for Melgar, who won 6-0 against Deportivo Llacuabamba. Ahead of that match, Melgar won a home game hosting Sport Huancayo (4-0).

As indicated by the result mentioned above, Melgar played a great game against Deportivo Llacuabamba and beat them comfortably. Expectations are high for this one.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Melgar's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played four games, won two matches, drawn two and lost zero.

The Melgar fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 10 in 9 matches. It's worth mentioning that 8 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. From these home matches, Melgar have conceded only 7 goals.

L W D D L

Deportivo Municipal form and stats

The visitors are W3-D5-L2 on the road this term. That's in the Primera Division.

Municipal's previous game was their home loss versus Deportivo Llacuabamba (2-5). Preceding that game was the away victory against César Vallejo with the score of 1-0.

As you can tell from the result, the match against Deportivo Llacuabamba was as crazy as a clown in a village circus. Great fun for the neutral supporter with 7 goals, will the fun continue today? It's a bit worrying for Municipal that their goalkeeper Diego Melián made seven saves in the Deportivo Llacuabamba game last time out, but still couldn''t prevent the loss.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Municipal when being an outsider away as they are today, we find four matches with the visitors losing two times, drawing one and winning one game.

The visiting Municipal have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 13 goals from 10 games. 11 goals have been conceded by Deportivo Municipal in these games.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Deportivo Municipal - Melgar 1-2 played earlier this season. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: four - three - three (Melgar wins - draws - Deportivo Municipal wins). As for goals, four matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), six had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

MelgarO. Arce Jaramillo
O. Arce Jaramillo
11 goals
Deportivo MunicipalJ. Succar Cañote
J. Succar Cañote
11 goals
MelgarJ. Sánchez Alegria
J. Sánchez Alegria
6 goals

Melgar missing players

Deportivo Municipal missing players

Melgar Deportivo Municipal
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
27 13 4 Played P 5 13 27
10 6 2 Won W 3 5 6
8 3 1 Drew D 1 5 12
9 4 1 Lost L 1 3 9
38 18 8 Scored S 8 16 27
32 14 4 Conceded C 5 13 35
89% 92% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 93%
74% 69% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 69% 70%
44% 46% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 31% 30%
33% 31% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 15% 19%
11% 8% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 11%
44% 31% 50% BTTS BTTS 80% 69% 59%
37% 46% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 15% 19%
30% 31% 25% Failed to Score F T 20% 15% 30%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.9 2.5 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.2 2.6 2.9
11 4 1 Red cards R C 1 4 8
 
11.9 12.5 11.5 Shots (avg) S ( 11.4 9.1 10.1
4.2 4.2 4.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5 3.9 4.2
34% 33% 47% Goal Efficiency G E 32% 31% 24%
Key stats in Primera Division this season:
  • Deportivo Municipal has the most points from losing position (15) in Primera Division
  • Deportivo Municipal have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Deportivo Municipal haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Melgar have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Universitario 19 13 4 2 38 18 9 7 1 1 16 8 10 6 3 1 22 10 20 42
2 Sport Huancayo 19 10 5 4 23 15 9 6 2 1 14 8 10 4 3 3 9 7 8 35
3 Sporting Cristal 19 9 6 4 38 23 9 5 2 2 12 8 10 4 4 2 26 15 15 33
4 César Vallejo 19 8 9 2 25 16 9 4 4 1 10 6 10 4 5 1 15 10 9 33
5 Carlos Manucci 19 7 8 4 28 22 10 1 5 4 9 14 9 6 3 0 19 8 6 29
6 UTC Cajamarca 19 7 8 4 24 20 9 5 2 2 17 13 10 2 6 2 7 7 4 29
7 Alianza Universidad 19 8 5 6 21 17 10 4 3 3 8 5 9 4 2 3 13 12 4 29
8 Melgar 19 7 7 5 23 20 9 4 3 2 10 7 10 3 4 3 13 13 3 28
9 Ayacucho 19 7 6 6 28 21 10 4 4 2 14 9 9 3 2 4 14 12 7 27
10 Cienciano 19 8 3 8 27 23 10 5 2 3 19 12 9 3 1 5 8 11 4 27
11 Deportivo Binacional 19 6 5 8 24 29 9 3 1 5 14 19 10 3 4 3 10 10 -5 23
12 Alianza Lima 19 5 7 7 19 20 10 4 3 3 11 8 9 1 4 4 8 12 -1 22
13 Academia Cantolao 19 6 4 9 21 33 10 3 2 5 10 18 9 3 2 4 11 15 -12 22
14 Deportivo Municipal 19 4 9 6 20 24 9 1 4 4 7 13 10 3 5 2 13 11 -4 21
15 Real Garcilaso 19 5 6 8 26 31 9 3 3 3 13 15 10 2 3 5 13 16 -5 21
16 Universidad San Martin 19 5 6 8 20 27 10 2 4 4 11 12 9 3 2 4 9 15 -7 21
17 Sport Boys 19 5 5 9 24 33 10 3 3 4 15 18 9 2 2 5 9 15 -9 19
18 Carlos Stein 19 4 6 9 18 28 10 0 4 6 10 20 9 4 2 3 8 8 -10 17
19 Atlético Grau 19 3 8 8 17 27 9 1 7 1 12 12 10 2 1 7 5 15 -10 17
20 Deportivo Llacuabamba 19 2 5 12 25 42 10 2 2 6 13 19 9 0 3 6 12 23 -17 11

Read more about Primera Division

The Peruvian First Division, also known as the Primera Division or the Copa Movistar, is the top level of football in Peru. Seasons run from February to December with 18 teams playing 44 fixtures each to create a final league table. Universitario, Alianza Lima and Sporting Cristal are by far the dominant winner of this league since it was founded in 1912.