Primera Division match prediction: Little separates César Vallejo and Melgar in quality

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Competition: Peru Primera Division
Competition: Wed 19.August
Match begins: 23:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (34000 seats)

Struggling César Vallejo will be hoping to pull off an upset when they welcome high-flying Melgar in the upcoming league round. It’s 15th vs 5th and the home crowd will have moderate expectations.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 1500 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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César Vallejo form and stats

Three Primera Division home games done for César Vallejo, who are not happy collecting 2 points from these matches.

In their previous game, the manager J. del Solar Álvarez-Calderón led his Vallejo to a defeat in the Primera Division match away at Real Garcilaso. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 1-1 versus Sporting Cristal.

This is expected to be a close game, with César Vallejo perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Vallejo as a small favourite), we find four games. César Vallejo has won one of these, drawn one and lost two.

Vallejo aren't scoring a lot here at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva in the league, with only 2 goals from 3 games. 4 goals have been conceded.

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Melgar form and stats

Melgar are doing rather OK so far in their away games in the Primera Division, having played 3 games and collected 4 points (1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss).

J. Sánchez scored in Melgar's previous match, the home game against Sport Huancayo that ended 1-0. Before that, Melgar travelled to UTC Cajamarca and returned home with a draw after the game finished 1-1.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Melgar playing away and similar expectations, we found eleven relevant matches. Results were three Melgar wins, five draws and three defeats.

Melgar have scored more than twice on average per away game (in the league), an impressive attacking display. They have 6 goals from 3 away matches. For Melgar, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Vallejo two wins, one draw and Melgar seven victories. As for goals, six matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

MelgarO. Arce Jaramillo
O. Arce Jaramillo
4 goals
MelgarJ. Sánchez Alegria
J. Sánchez Alegria
3 goals
César VallejoY. Mena Palacios
Y. Mena Palacios
2 goals

César Vallejo missing players

Melgar missing players

César Vallejo Melgar
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
6 3 1 Played P 1 3 6
1 0 0 Won W 0 1 3
3 2 0 Drew D 0 1 1
2 1 1 Lost L 1 1 2
6 2 0 Scored S 1 6 9
7 4 2 Conceded C 3 6 8
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 67%
17% 0% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 67% 50%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 67% 33%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 33% 17%
67% 67% 0% BTTS BTTS 100% 100% 67%
17% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 33%
17% 33% 100% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 0%
 
8.3 12.7 16 Corners for (avg) C F 1 3 4.7
3.7 2.3 4 Corners against (avg) C A 5 5 3.8
2.8 2.7 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 3.7 3.2
1 0 0 Red cards R C 1 1 3
 
85 50 12 Total Shots T S 9 34 72
25 14 0 Shots on Target S O 1 9 22
24% 14% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 100% 67% 41%
Key stats in Primera Division this season:
  • All of César Vallejo's matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • All of Melgar's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • César Vallejo have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.
  • César Vallejo have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • César Vallejo have yet to win a game at home.
  • César Vallejo haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Melgar have scored in all their matches so far.
  • Melgar have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Melgar haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Alianza Universidad 6 5 1 0 11 4 3 3 0 0 5 0 3 2 1 0 6 4 7 16
2 Ayacucho 6 4 1 1 12 6 3 2 1 0 5 2 3 2 0 1 7 4 6 13
3 Deportivo Binacional 6 4 1 1 11 6 3 2 0 1 6 5 3 2 1 0 5 1 5 13
4 Universitario 7 4 2 1 12 8 3 2 0 1 4 3 4 2 2 0 8 5 4 13
5 Melgar 6 3 1 2 9 8 3 2 0 1 3 2 3 1 1 1 6 6 1 10
6 Academia Cantolao 7 3 1 3 5 8 4 2 1 1 3 3 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 10
7 Cienciano 6 3 0 3 13 9 3 2 0 1 10 6 3 1 0 2 3 3 4 9
8 UTC Cajamarca 6 2 3 1 7 6 3 2 1 0 5 3 3 0 2 1 2 3 1 9
9 Sport Huancayo 6 2 2 2 6 6 3 2 1 0 5 3 3 0 1 2 1 3 0 8
10 Universidad San Martin 6 2 2 2 8 10 3 1 1 1 6 5 3 1 1 1 2 5 -2 8
11 Deportivo Municipal 6 1 4 1 5 4 3 1 2 0 3 1 3 0 2 1 2 3 1 7
12 Sport Boys 6 2 2 2 14 15 3 1 2 0 9 8 3 1 0 2 5 7 -1 7
13 Alianza Lima 6 2 1 3 5 8 3 2 0 1 4 3 3 0 1 2 1 5 -3 7
14 Carlos Manucci 6 1 3 2 9 9 3 0 1 2 1 4 3 1 2 0 8 5 0 6
15 César Vallejo 6 1 3 2 6 7 3 0 2 1 2 4 3 1 1 1 4 3 -1 6
16 Real Garcilaso 6 2 0 4 10 12 3 2 0 1 5 4 3 0 0 3 5 8 -2 6
17 Sporting Cristal 6 1 2 3 5 7 3 1 1 1 3 3 3 0 1 2 2 4 -2 5
18 Carlos Stein 6 1 2 3 4 9 3 0 1 2 2 7 3 1 1 1 2 2 -5 5
19 Deportivo Llacuabamba 6 1 1 4 10 16 3 1 1 1 6 5 3 0 0 3 4 11 -6 4
20 Atlético Grau 6 0 2 4 3 7 3 0 2 1 3 4 3 0 0 3 0 3 -4 2

Read more about Primera Division

The Peruvian First Division, also known as the Primera Division or the Copa Movistar, is the top level of football in Peru. Seasons run from February to December with 18 teams playing 44 fixtures each to create a final league table. Universitario, Alianza Lima and Sporting Cristal are by far the dominant winner of this league since it was founded in 1912.