Primera Division prediction: Alianza Lima should edge out Universidad San Martín on their own turf

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Competition: Peru Primera Division
Competition: Tue 27.September
Match begins: 01:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (34000 seats)

Alianza Lima should be favourites to win this home fixture versus Universidad San Martín, if the league standings are to be trusted. Or could we be in for a surprise?

Insights:
  • Alianza Lima have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Universidad San Martín have the most conceded goals (29) in Primera Division

Both contenders have had plentiful rest since their previous game. Let's aim for an enthusiastic fixture!

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Alianza Lima form and stats

13 points is a decent return from 6 Primera Division games here at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva for Alianza Lima. The data says 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.

A nice win for Alianza Lima last time playing, versus Melgar. That was also a home game and the match ended 2-0 with Barcos and Lavandeira scoring for the victors.

In the preceding match a 2-1 victory visiting Carlos Stein.

Not much happening? In this club's last 16 league games, 13 have produced zero, one or two goals.

Alianza are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 7 goals in 6 games. Alianza Lima have only conceded 3 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Universidad San Martín form and stats

Playing away, Universidad San Martín have won 0 games, drawn 0 and suffered 6 defeats in the Primera Division this season. Travelling has not been lucrative for the away team as they have returned home without a win in 14 away games in a row.

The manager Zamora was unhappy after their last game, played at their home venue Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao. Universidad San Martín suffered a 1-5 loss to UTC Cajamarca (placed 13th). As you can see from the result above, the defeat against UTC Cajamarca was particularly ugly (1-5). The humiliation is still top of mind. Attacker Rojas got a player rating of 7.33 in the game. "Man of the match" Rojas scored one goal, hit one key pass and dribled past the opponent 2 of 4 times.

Preceding that game, the 2-3 loss visiting Sport Huancayo's place.

Goal-happy betting people should observe that 9 of this side's 12 latest league games have ended with three or more goals.

The visitors have scored 5 goals from 6 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. For Universidad, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net. Universidad San Martín has visited these top teams five times, and 4 of 5 has ended with 2 goals or more!

Head 2 Head

Universidad San Martín - Alianza Lima 0-1 was the score in these teams' last H2H match, earlier this season. Head-to-head data (for the preceeding ten meetings): Alianza Lima won six games, two matches ended with a draw and Universidad San Martín got two wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: three / seven.

Top Goalscorers

Alianza LimaH. Barcos
H. Barcos
13 goals
Universidad San MartínA. Rojas Castilla
A. Rojas Castilla
11 goals
AlianzaP. Lavandeira Hernández
P. Lavandeira Hernández
9 goals

Alianza Lima missing players

Universidad San Martín missing players

Alianza Lima Universidad San Martín
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
29 14 5 Played P 5 14 29
17 10 4 Won W 0 0 5
6 2 1 Drew D 0 1 4
6 2 0 Lost L 5 13 20
41 22 11 Scored S 5 13 32
22 8 3 Conceded C 15 42 66
90% 93% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
59% 57% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 93% 86%
31% 21% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 80% 79% 62%
17% 21% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 40% 64% 48%
10% 7% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 40% 36% 24%
38% 29% 40% BTTS BTTS 60% 57% 55%
45% 57% 60% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 14%
28% 21% 20% Failed to Score F T 40% 43% 31%
 
6.1 6.8 9 Corners for (avg) C F 3 4.1 4.8
4.8 4.2 4.4 Corners against (avg) C A 3.6 6.2 6.2
3.1 3 2.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.6 2.8 2.9
4 2 1 Red cards R C 0 3 5
 
11.9 13.8 17.4 Shots (avg) S ( 7.6 7.7 8.4
4.9 6 7.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.2 3.2 3.7
29% 26% 30% Goal Efficiency G E 31% 29% 30%
 
10.4 7.5 7.6 Shots against (avg) S A 19.8 17.1 14.7
4.1 3.2 2.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 8.8 7.3 6.1
Key stats in Primera Division this season:
  • Alianza Lima have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Universidad San Martín have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Universidad San Martín have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Universidad San Martín have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Universidad San Martín have the most conceded goals (29) in Primera Division
  • Universidad San Martín have the most conceded goals in the first half (25) in Primera Division
  • Universidad San Martín have the most conceded goals in the second half (41) in Primera Division
  • Universidad San Martín have the the worst goal difference (-18) in Primera Division
  • Universidad San Martín have yet to win a game away.
  • Universidad San Martín haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sporting Cristal 11 7 4 0 22 10 5 3 2 0 11 6 6 4 2 0 11 4 12 25
2 Atletico Grau 12 7 3 2 20 12 6 5 0 1 13 5 6 2 3 1 7 7 8 24
3 Alianza Lima 11 7 3 1 13 6 6 4 1 1 7 3 5 3 2 0 6 3 7 24
4 Universitario 12 7 2 3 17 6 6 4 1 1 9 3 6 3 1 2 8 3 11 23
5 Melgar 10 7 1 2 18 9 6 5 0 1 13 5 4 2 1 1 5 4 9 22
6 Cienciano 12 5 4 3 14 12 6 3 3 0 10 5 6 2 1 3 4 7 2 19
7 Cesar Vallejo 10 6 1 3 13 11 5 4 0 1 10 5 5 2 1 2 3 6 2 19
8 Deportivo Binacional 12 5 2 5 19 12 6 5 1 0 16 2 6 0 1 5 3 10 7 17
9 Sport Boys 12 5 2 5 17 17 7 5 0 2 11 5 5 0 2 3 6 12 0 17
10 Alianza Atletico 11 5 1 5 13 12 5 4 1 0 11 4 6 1 0 5 2 8 1 16
11 ADT 12 4 4 4 14 14 6 3 2 1 6 4 6 1 2 3 8 10 0 16
12 Sport Huancayo 11 4 3 4 19 13 6 3 3 0 14 5 5 1 0 4 5 8 6 15
13 UTC Cajamarca 11 4 2 5 15 17 5 3 1 1 9 5 6 1 1 4 6 12 -2 14
14 Deportivo Municipal 11 2 4 5 9 18 5 1 2 2 3 6 6 1 2 3 6 12 -9 10
15 Academia Cantolao 11 1 6 4 8 13 4 1 2 1 4 4 7 0 4 3 4 9 -5 9
16 Carlos Manucci 10 2 2 6 8 18 6 2 2 2 6 6 4 0 0 4 2 12 -10 8
17 Ayacucho 12 1 4 7 13 22 6 1 2 3 5 6 6 0 2 4 8 16 -9 7
18 Carlos Stein 10 1 1 8 9 21 5 1 1 3 6 9 5 0 0 5 3 12 -12 4
19 Universidad San Martín 11 1 1 9 11 29 5 1 1 3 6 14 6 0 0 6 5 15 -18 4

Read more about Primera Division

The Peruvian First Division, also known as the Primera Division or the Copa Movistar, is the top level of football in Peru. Seasons run from February to December with 18 teams playing 44 fixtures each to create a final league table. Universitario, Alianza Lima and Sporting Cristal are by far the dominant winner of this league since it was founded in 1912.