Home advantage could prove decisive in Nacional Asunción - River Plate battle

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Competition: Paraguay Division 1
Competition: Mon 24.May
Match begins: 00:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Arsenio Erico (5100 seats)

Nacional Asunción are chasing the top positions while River Plate are more concerned with avoiding relegation. Who will get the points?

Insights:
  • Nacional Asunción haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • River Plate have the fewest scored goals (11) in Division 1

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

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Nacional Asunción form and stats

16 points is a decent return from 8 Division 1 games here at Estadio Arsenio Erico for Nacional Asunción. The data says 5 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.

Nacional's last game was hosting Olimpia (placed 4th) and winning 2-1.

2-2 away at Cerro Porteño before that.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Nacional Asunción have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 15 games) they have won five times, drawn five and lost five.

The Nacional Asunción fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 10 in 8 matches. Nacional Asunción's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 8 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. It's worth mentioning that 4 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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River Plate form and stats

River Plate, who have the fewest scored goals (11) in Division 1, have only collected 4 points from their away games in the Division 1, after 0-4-4 (8 played). The sun doesn’t shine and the birds do not sing for River, who have now gone twelve games without a victory. The Sportivo Luqueño game was their last win and it’s been a dry spell since.

River had fun at their own home (Estadio Arsenio Erico) last time out, beating Penarol 2-1. L. Caballero and Á. Garcete scored. L. Caballero came off the bench to score the winning goal in the match against Penarol last time out, making the manager C. Ayala Gavilán feel like a tactical genius. Late drama in the previous game, when L. Caballero scored the winning goal three minutes into stoppage time to defeat Penarol.

A 1-1 draw was the result before that, hosting Cerro Porteño in the Division 1.

We have checked recent matches where River have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those ten games were two victories, four draws and four defeats.

The attacking power of River when travelling is not overwhelming with 7 goals scored from 8 league matches away. The River manager C. Ayala Gavilán has some worries about the defense as 17 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

The two sides played each other earlier this season: River Plate - Nacional Asunción 0-0. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's three Nacional victories, six draws and one River Plate win. Over/under statistics; two of these games ended with three goals or more, eight matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Nacional AsunciónL. Villagra Enciso
L. Villagra Enciso
9 goals
Nacional AsunciónC. Arrua
C. Arrua
6 goals
River PlateP. Zeballos Ocampos
P. Zeballos Ocampos
4 goals

Nacional Asunción missing players

River Plate missing players

Nacional Asunción River Plate
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
16 8 3 Played P 2 8 16
8 5 2 Won W 0 0 1
5 1 1 Drew D 0 4 6
3 2 0 Lost L 2 4 9
24 10 3 Scored S 1 7 11
16 8 1 Conceded C 5 17 30
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 88% 88%
75% 75% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 88% 75%
50% 38% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 62% 44%
25% 12% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 38% 31%
6% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 12%
50% 38% 33% BTTS BTTS 50% 62% 50%
38% 50% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 12% 19%
19% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 38% 44%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.6 1.2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.5 2.1 2.3
4 1 1 Red cards R C 2 3 5
 
9.4 11.1 10.3 Shots (avg) S ( 4.5 6.4 7.2
4.1 5 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 2.8 2.7
36% 25% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 32% 26%
Key stats in Division 1 this season:
  • Nacional Asunción have scored more than double the goals of River Plate.
  • Nacional Asunción haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • River Plate have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • River Plate have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • River Plate have the fewest points (4) away in Division 1
  • River Plate have the fewest scored goals (11) in Division 1
  • River Plate have the fewest scored goals in the first half (4) in Division 1
  • River Plate have the most conceded goals (17) away in Division 1
  • River Plate have the most conceded goals (30) in Division 1
  • River Plate have the most conceded goals in the second half (21) in Division 1
  • River Plate have the the worst goal difference (-10) away in Division 1
  • River Plate have the the worst goal difference (-19) in Division 1
  • River Plate have yet to win a game away.
  • River Plate is in the worst form (0-3-3)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Libertad 17 11 2 4 33 14 9 5 2 2 14 9 8 6 0 2 19 5 19 35
2 Nacional Asunción 16 8 5 3 24 16 8 5 1 2 10 8 8 3 4 1 14 8 8 29
3 Cerro Porteño 16 8 4 4 24 19 8 5 2 1 13 8 8 3 2 3 11 11 5 28
4 Olimpia 16 8 3 5 28 21 8 3 3 2 15 12 8 5 0 3 13 9 7 27
5 Guairena 17 6 7 4 20 14 9 3 4 2 8 5 8 3 3 2 12 9 6 25
6 Guarani 17 6 4 7 22 27 8 3 1 4 9 16 9 3 3 3 13 11 -5 22
7 Sportivo Luqueño 16 5 3 8 17 22 8 3 3 2 14 13 8 2 0 6 3 9 -5 18
8 12 de Octubre 16 4 6 6 17 23 8 2 3 3 7 14 8 2 3 3 10 9 -6 18
9 Sol de America 17 3 4 10 18 28 8 0 1 7 4 18 9 3 3 3 14 10 -10 13
10 River Plate 16 1 6 9 11 30 8 1 2 5 4 13 8 0 4 4 7 17 -19 9

Read more about Division 1

The Primera División, sometimes known as the Copa TIGO or División Profesional, is the top level of football in Paraguay. The season lasts almost a year, running from January to December in two parts; Apertura and Clausura. The twelve teams meet each other twice in each section.