Home advantage could prove decisive in Nacional Asunción - Guaraní battle

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Competition: Paraguay Division 1
Competition: Wed 18.Oct
Match begins: 21:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Arsenio Erico (5100 seats)

It's been seven days and nights since Nacional Asunción played against Martin Ledesma and the score was 2-0. What happens vs Guaraní?

Insights:
  • Guaraní have the fewest conceded goals (10) away in Division 1

This is a match between teams from the same area, a local derby. The community is buzzing.

The visiting Guaraní played their last game only four days ago, a Copa Paraguay match.

W W W L D

Nacional Asunción form and stats

When playing at home in the Division 1, Nacional Asunción have managed 4 wins, 3 draws and suffered 4 defeats from 11 games.

Nacional are confident in defense, having played 208 minutes without conceding a goal in the league.

Nacional Asunción's previous fixture was a Copa Paraguay game also played at home, finishing 2-0 against Martin Ledesma. The home team hope to to build on that result.

Previous to that game, a Division 1 home match hosting Olimpia in a game that was won 1-0.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Nacional Asunción handle that role? We have found 15 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats.

Nacional Asunción are traveling soon after this match as the Division 1 match at Guaireña awaits in four days.

From these home matches, Nacional have conceded only 10 goals.

W W D W W

Guaraní form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team, who have the fewest conceded goals (10) away in Division 1, on their Division 1 travels is 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats. Visiting Guaraní has seen their last two away games both end with a tied score and one point each.

The Guaraní goalkeeper Rodrigo Martin Munoz Salomon is collecting clean sheets like a laundry worker. It's been 180 league minutes without conceding a goal, and counting.

The regulars enjoyed Guaraní's previous fixture versus Deportivo Recoleta, a Copa Paraguay win (2-0) played at home.

That result followed a home victory 2-0 versus Tacuary in the Division 1.

Guaraní are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. From a total of 8 matches.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Guaraní have scored 15 goals in 11 league games away. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (10 so far). There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

The previous H2H game ended Guaraní - Nacional 1-1, earlier this season. Benegas (Nacional Asunción) was sent off when these teams met earlier this season. Statistics for the former ten meetings featuring these two teams are: three wins for Nacional, five draws and two wins for Guaraní. Over 2,5 goals: two times; under 2,5 goals: eight games.

Top Goalscorers

Nacional AsunciónG. Aguilar Encina
G. Aguilar Encina
11 goals
GuaraníN. Camacho Ledesma
N. Camacho Ledesma
9 goals
GuaraníF. Barcelo Viera
F. Barcelo Viera
8 goals

Nacional Asunción missing players

Guaraní missing players

Nacional Asunción Guaraní
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
36 18 5 Played P 5 18 36
14 7 1 Won W 2 7 15
9 4 0 Drew D 1 7 12
13 7 4 Lost L 2 4 9
42 22 6 Scored S 7 23 46
40 20 9 Conceded C 10 18 42
92% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 83% 89%
69% 72% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 61% 69%
42% 39% 80% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 39% 47%
17% 17% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 22% 25%
8% 11% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 6% 6%
50% 50% 80% BTTS BTTS 60% 44% 47%
36% 33% 0% Clean Sheets C S 20% 44% 36%
22% 22% 20% Failed to Score F T 20% 28% 28%
 
5.4 5.7 5.8 Corners for (avg) C F 3.6 3.5 3.9
4.6 4.3 3.6 Corners against (avg) C A 5.8 5.6 5.6
1.9 1.7 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2.8 2.3
7 2 0 Red cards R C 1 3 6
 
9.5 11.4 8.2 Shots (avg) S ( 6.6 7.1 7.5
3.8 4.5 3.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 2.9 3.2
31% 27% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 47% 44% 40%
 
8.4 8.2 7.8 Shots against (avg) S A 13.6 11.6 10.7
3.3 3.6 3.4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6 4.3 4
Key stats in Division 1 this season:
  • Guaraní have the fewest conceded goals (10) away in Division 1

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Libertad 22 16 3 3 39 15 11 9 2 0 21 4 11 7 1 3 18 11 24 51
2 Cerro Porteno 22 11 8 3 40 29 11 5 5 1 21 13 11 6 3 2 19 16 11 41
3 Sportivo Trinidense 22 11 5 6 34 21 11 7 2 2 18 8 11 4 3 4 16 13 13 38
4 Guaraní 22 8 9 5 29 24 11 4 4 3 14 14 11 4 5 2 15 10 5 33
5 Nacional Asunción 22 9 6 7 23 21 11 4 3 4 11 10 11 5 3 3 12 11 2 33
6 Olimpia 22 8 7 7 32 26 11 4 4 3 18 13 11 4 3 4 14 13 6 31
7 Sportivo Ameliano 22 7 9 6 27 28 11 3 4 4 13 17 11 4 5 2 14 11 -1 30
8 Sportivo Luqueno 22 6 9 7 27 28 11 4 5 2 12 8 11 2 4 5 15 20 -1 27
9 General Caballero JLM 22 6 6 10 21 28 11 4 1 6 13 15 11 2 5 4 8 13 -7 24
10 Guaireña 22 3 8 11 15 31 11 1 3 7 6 17 11 2 5 4 9 14 -16 17
11 Resistencia 22 4 5 13 14 35 11 2 3 6 6 17 11 2 2 7 8 18 -21 17
12 Tacuary 22 4 3 15 16 31 11 3 3 5 14 14 11 1 0 10 2 17 -15 15

Read more about Division 1

The Primera División, sometimes known as the Copa TIGO or División Profesional, is the top level of football in Paraguay. The season lasts almost a year, running from January to December in two parts; Apertura and Clausura. The twelve teams meet each other twice in each section.