National cups are something special for many teams and supporters. Today's match will decide whether it's Nacional Asunción or Tacuary that keep their silverware dream alive.
These teams are located so close to each other that their supporters eat in the same restaurants, hang out at the same night clubs and give birth at the same hospitals. This means added importance to the game and a vibrant atmosphere.
There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.
Nacional Asunción form and stats
Last season their Copa Paraguay adventure ended in the 1st round.Nacional Asunción have collected 11 points from their Division 1 home games so far after 3-2-1.
Defensively the home team are doing well, with their goalkeeper not having conceded a league goal in 216 minutes.
Nacional Asunción enjoyed a nice away win last time out, playing at Resistencia's place. The match ended 1-0 with Martínez scoring.
Previous to that game, a Division 1 home match hosting General Caballero JLM in a game that was won 1-0.The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Nacional Asunción have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 17 games) they have won 6 times, drawn 6 and lost 5.
Nacional are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 7 goals in 6 games. Nacional Asunción are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estadio Arsenio Erico in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 4 from 6 matches.
Tacuary form and stats
Last season their Copa Paraguay adventure ended in the quarter-finals.There's been little loot from Tacuary's travels as they have only collected 6 points from 7 away games in the Division 1. Tacuary only have 2 wins to counter their 5 defeats and 0 draws.
Tacuary have been frustrated by their lack of goals lately, as they haven't scored in the league since they found the net 317 minutes ago. Sanabria was the goal scorer.
There might be some fixture complaints from Tacuary as they are again playing away from home after losing on the road in their previous game, 0-5 against Cerro Porteno. As you can see from the result above, the defeat against Cerro Porteno was particularly ugly (0-5). The humiliation is still top of mind.
Prior to that match, the Tacuary manager Almeida faced defeat when travelling to Guairena and losing 0-1.We have checked recent matches where Tacuary have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 11 games were 3 victories, 3 draws and 5 defeats.
After this away game Tacuary return home for a Division 1 game against Sportivo Ameliano. That game is only four sleeps after this.
Many goals are not expected from the visiting Tacuary as they have only managed to score 6 times from 7 away games in the league. Tacuary's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 11 goals from these trips.
Head 2 Head
As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's six Nacional victories, zero draws and four Tacuary wins. Over/under statistics; five of these games ended with three goals or more, five matches with two goals or less. The matches between these clubs have sometimes been a bit wild, having seen 6 sending-offs from the last ten duels.
Top Goalscorers
  F. Bruera 17 goals |  I. Valdez 8 goals | J. Santacruz González 6 goals |
Nacional Asunción missing players
Tacuary missing players
| Nacional Asunción | Tacuary | ||||||
| Total | Home | Statistics | Stat | Away | Total | ||
| 25 | 11 | Played | P | 14 | 25 | ||
| 12 | 4 | Won | W | 3 | 7 | ||
| 7 | 3 | Drew | D | 2 | 6 | ||
| 6 | 4 | Lost | L | 9 | 12 | ||
| 35 | 13 | Scored | S | 11 | 21 | ||
| 22 | 10 | Conceded | C | 23 | 34 | ||
| 96% | 100% | Over 0.5 | O 0.5 | 93% | 88% | ||
| 72% | 73% | Over 1.5 | O 1.5 | 71% | 64% | ||
| 48% | 36% | Over 2.5 | O 2.5 | 36% | 32% | ||
| 12% | 0% | Over 3.5 | O 3.5 | 21% | 20% | ||
| 0% | 0% | Over 4.5 | O 4.5 | 14% | 12% | ||
| 56% | 45% | BTTS | BTTS | 14% | 24% | ||
| 28% | 36% | Clean Sheets | C S | 21% | 32% | ||
| 20% | 18% | Failed to Score | F T | 71% | 56% | ||
| 5.2 | 5 | Corners for (avg) | C F | 4.6 | 4.6 | ||
| 4.5 | 2.9 | Corners against (avg) | C A | 5.4 | 5.2 | ||
| 2.3 | 1.7 | Yellow cards (avg) | Y C | 2.4 | 2.1 | ||
| 8 | 3 | Red cards | R C | 1 | 5 | ||
| 8.4 | 9.3 | Shots (avg) | S ( | 8.5 | 8.9 | ||
| 3.4 | 3.9 | Shots on Target (avg) | S O | 3.2 | 3.4 | ||
| 40% | 30% | Goal Efficiency | G E | 24% | 25% | ||
| 7.4 | 7.6 | Shots against (avg) | S A | 10.3 | 10 | ||
| 3 | 3.4 | Shots on Target against (avg) | S O | 5 | 4.7 | ||
| Total | Home | Away | |||||||||||||||||||
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | +/- | P |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | Nacional Asunción | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 28 |
| 3 | Libertad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Olimpia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Guairena | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Tacuary | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -2 | 17 |
| 7 | Sol de America | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | General Caballero JLM | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -6 | 14 |
| 10 | Guaraní | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -6 | 14 |
| 11 | Resistencia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | 12 de Octubre | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -14 | 6 |
