Home advantage could prove decisive in Stabæk - Strømsgodset battle

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Competition: Norway Eliteserien
Date: Sat 31.August
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Nadderud Stadion (7000 seats)

This match features two teams living in the basement of the Eliteserien, Stabæk holding 11th place and Strømsgodset lying 15th. A good chance for both teams to improve their position.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Stabæk and Strømsgodset.

One slightly interesting match fact is that this game is played on grass and that the visiting Strømsgodset have a different surface at their stadium (artificial turf). The impact of this is hard to measure exactly, but the visitors stats on grass is 5-4-9 (win-draw-loss) from 18 matches.

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Stabæk form and stats

Overall Eliteserien stats at home this season for Stabæk are 4-5-2 (wins-draw-losses). The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Nadderud Stadion.

The Stabæk supporters enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host Strømsgodset in Eliteserien and win 2-1. Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Rosenborg (2-3).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Stabæk have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found four games) they have won 2 times, drawn 2 and lost 0.

Stabæk are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 15 goals in 11 attempts. Stabæk are not conceding a lot of goals here at Nadderud Stadion in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 10 from 11 matches.

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Strømsgodset form and stats

There's been little loot from Strømsgodset's travels as they have only collected 3 points from 10 away games in the Eliteserien. Strømsgodset, who have the most conceded goals (39) in Eliteserien, only have 0 wins to counter their 7 defeats and 3 draws. The pressure to perform on the road is increasing on H. Pedersen, the Strømsgodset manager, as the last three away games were defeats.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Strømsgodset, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 1-2 versus Stabæk. A home win before that, celebrating 2-1 vs Sarpsborg 08.

We have checked recent matches where Strømsgodset have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those five games were W1-D0-L4.

The visitors have scored 6 goals from 10 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Strømsgodset have conceded 18 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Stabæk - Strømsgodset 2-1, played this season. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's 4 Stabæk victories, 3 draws and 3 Strømsgodset wins. 6 of these games ended with three goals or more, 4 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Stabæk missing players

Strømsgodset missing players

Stabæk Strømsgodset
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs low Away Total
20 11 3 Played 2 10 20
6 4 0 Won 0 0 4
5 5 2 Drew 1 3 4
9 2 1 Lost 1 7 12
22 15 3 Scored 2 6 22
27 10 4 Conceded 3 18 39
95% 91% 67% Over 0.5 100% 90% 90%
75% 73% 33% Over 1.5 50% 80% 85%
45% 27% 33% Over 2.5 50% 50% 65%
15% 18% 33% Over 3.5 50% 20% 45%
10% 9% 33% Over 4.5 0% 0% 20%
45% 55% 33% BTTS 50% 50% 60%
25% 27% 33% Clean Sheets 0% 10% 10%
35% 27% 67% Failed To Score 50% 50% 40%
 
3.1 3.5 6.7 Corners For (avg) 5 2.8 4.8
6.9 5.5 3 Corners Against (avg) 3.5 3.9 3.5
1.6 1.3 1.7 Yellow Cards (avg) 2.5 1.9 1.8
2 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • Stabæk have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • Stabæk have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Strømsgodset have scored away.
  • Strømsgodset have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Strømsgodset have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Strømsgodset have yet to win a game away.

Stabæk
All Eliteserien NM Cup Club Friendlies
All Home Away
04-08-19 EL Stabæk 1 - 1 Haugesund
14-08-19 EL Stabæk 1 - 1 Vålerenga
18-08-19 EL Stabæk 2 - 0 Kristiansund
24-08-19 EL Rosenborg 3 - 2 Stabæk
31-08-19 EL Stabæk 2 - 1 Strømsgodset
15-09-19 EL Bodø / Glimt 16:00 Stabæk
23-09-19 EL Stabæk 17:00 Molde
29-09-19 EL Sarpsborg 08 16:00 Stabæk
06-10-19 EL Stabæk 16:00 Viking
19-10-19 EL Vålerenga 18:30 Stabæk
Strømsgodset
All Eliteserien NM Cup Club Friendlies
All Home Away
05-08-19 EL Strømsgodset 1 - 3 Bodø / Glimt
11-08-19 EL Strømsgodset 3 - 2 Vålerenga
18-08-19 EL Viking 4 - 0 Strømsgodset
25-08-19 EL Strømsgodset 2 - 1 Sarpsborg 08
31-08-19 EL Stabæk 2 - 1 Strømsgodset
15-09-19 EL Strømsgodset 16:00 Ranheim
22-09-19 EL Tromsø 16:00 Strømsgodset
29-09-19 EL Strømsgodset 16:00 Odd
04-10-19 EL Mjøndalen 17:00 Strømsgodset
20-10-19 EL Strømsgodset 16:00 Lillestrøm

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Bodø / Glimt 20 13 3 4 46 30 10 8 1 1 27 7 10 5 2 3 19 23 16 42
2 Molde 19 12 4 3 44 20 9 7 2 0 23 6 10 5 2 3 21 14 24 40
3 Odd 20 11 5 4 31 23 11 9 2 0 22 10 9 2 3 4 9 13 8 38
4 Rosenborg 19 9 5 5 30 24 10 7 2 1 22 10 9 2 3 4 8 14 6 32
5 Brann 19 8 5 6 25 21 10 4 3 3 11 10 9 4 2 3 14 11 4 29
6 Vålerenga 19 7 5 7 33 29 9 5 2 2 18 8 10 2 3 5 15 21 4 26
7 Kristiansund 19 7 5 7 24 21 9 5 2 2 17 8 10 2 3 5 7 13 3 26
8 Viking 19 7 5 7 29 30 10 5 3 2 19 11 9 2 2 5 10 19 -1 26
9 Lillestrøm 19 7 4 8 25 29 9 5 1 3 13 12 10 2 3 5 12 17 -4 25
10 Haugesund 19 6 6 7 27 23 10 2 4 4 13 13 9 4 2 3 14 10 4 24
11 Stabæk 20 6 5 9 22 27 11 4 5 2 15 10 9 2 0 7 7 17 -5 23
12 Tromsø 19 6 3 10 23 38 9 3 2 4 11 12 10 3 1 6 12 26 -15 21
13 Mjøndalen 19 4 8 7 26 34 9 3 4 2 15 15 10 1 4 5 11 19 -8 20
14 Ranheim 19 5 4 10 22 34 9 2 1 6 13 21 10 3 3 4 9 13 -12 19
15 Strømsgodset 20 4 4 12 22 39 10 4 1 5 16 21 10 0 3 7 6 18 -17 16
16 Sarpsborg 08 19 2 9 8 20 27 9 2 5 2 10 10 10 0 4 6 10 17 -7 15

Strømsgodset:
Eliteserien:
Norway:
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