Eliteserien prediction and preview: Viking modest favorites to beat Strømsgodset

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Competition: Norway Eliteserien
Date: Sun 18.August
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: SR-Bank Arena (16508 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Viking are in the 9th position while the guests worry at 16th.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Viking and Strømsgodset.

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Viking form and stats

The story so far for Viking at their home stadium (SR-Bank Arena) is 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Viking has recorded two wins in a row here at SR-Bank Arena, increasing their hopes of victory in this match.

Viking's last game was hosting Strømsgodset and winning 2-0. Previous to that game, a home match hosting Sarpsborg 08 in a game that was won 2-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Viking have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found six games) they have won 3 times, drawn 2 and lost 1.

A decent goal production from Viking in their home games so far, with 13 goals from 8 matches. 9 goals have been conceded.

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Strømsgodset form and stats

Strømsgodset, who have the fewest points (3) away in Eliteserien, have only collected 3 points from their away games after 0-3-5 (8 played). Strømsgodset seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

It might be tough going out on the road again for Strømsgodset, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 0-2 versus Viking. A home win before that, celebrating 3-2 vs Vålerenga.

Strømsgodset are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats. From a total of five matches.

The attacking power of Strømsgodset when travelling is not overwhelming with 5 goals scored in 8 matches. Strømsgodset have conceded 12 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Strømsgodset - Viking 0-0 entered in the official records. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: 1 win for Viking, 4 draws and 5 wins for Strømsgodset. Over 2,5 goals: 3 times; under 2,5 goals: 7 games.

Top Goalscorers

K. Thorstvedt
6 goals / 2 assists
T. Høiland
5 goals / 3 assists
Z. Tripić
3 goals

Viking missing players

Strømsgodset missing players

Viking Strømsgodset
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
18 9 2 Played 2 9 18
7 5 2 Won 0 0 3
4 2 0 Drew 0 3 4
7 2 0 Lost 2 6 11
25 15 5 Scored 1 5 19
28 9 1 Conceded 4 14 34
89% 89% 100% Over 0.5 100% 89% 89%
83% 89% 100% Over 1.5 100% 78% 83%
44% 44% 100% Over 2.5 50% 33% 56%
22% 11% 0% Over 3.5 0% 11% 44%
22% 11% 0% Over 4.5 0% 0% 22%
50% 44% 50% BTTS 50% 44% 56%
39% 44% 50% Clean Sheets 0% 11% 11%
22% 22% 0% Failed To Score 50% 56% 44%
 
4.2 4 3 Corners For (avg) 1 2.7 4.9
5.2 4.1 2 Corners Against (avg) 4 4.1 3.7
1.9 2.1 4 Yellow Cards (avg) 1.5 2 1.8
1 1 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • Strømsgodset have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Strømsgodset have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Strømsgodset have yet to win a game away.
  • Viking have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Strømsgodset have scored away.

Viking
13-07-19 EL Rosenborg 5 - 1 Viking
04-08-19 EL Viking 0 - 2 Molde
11-08-19 EL Bodø / Glimt 2 - 1 Viking
14-08-19 EL Viking 2 - 1 Sarpsborg 08
18-08-19 EL Viking 18:00 Strømsgodset
25-08-19 EL Viking 16:00 Ranheim
01-09-19 EL Sarpsborg 08 16:00 Viking
15-09-19 EL Viking 16:00 Odd
22-09-19 EL Vålerenga 16:00 Viking
26-09-19 NMC Aalesund 18:00 Viking
Strømsgodset
05-07-19 EL Strømsgodset 0 - 2 Stabæk
14-07-19 EL Lillestrøm 2 - 1 Strømsgodset
05-08-19 EL Strømsgodset 1 - 3 Bodø / Glimt
11-08-19 EL Strømsgodset 3 - 2 Vålerenga
18-08-19 EL Viking 18:00 Strømsgodset
25-08-19 EL Strømsgodset 18:00 Sarpsborg 08
31-08-19 EL Stabæk 16:00 Strømsgodset
15-09-19 EL Strømsgodset 16:00 Ranheim
22-09-19 EL Tromsø 16:00 Strømsgodset
29-09-19 EL Strømsgodset 16:00 Odd

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Molde 18 12 3 3 42 18 8 7 1 0 21 4 10 5 2 3 21 14 24 39
2 Bodø / Glimt 17 12 2 3 40 26 9 7 1 1 23 7 8 5 1 2 17 19 14 38
3 Odd 18 10 4 4 26 20 10 8 2 0 19 9 8 2 2 4 7 11 6 34
4 Rosenborg 18 8 5 5 27 22 9 6 2 1 19 8 9 2 3 4 8 14 5 29
5 Brann 18 8 5 5 23 18 9 4 3 2 9 7 9 4 2 3 14 11 5 29
6 Vålerenga 18 7 5 6 33 25 9 5 2 2 18 8 9 2 3 4 15 17 8 26
7 Haugesund 18 6 6 6 27 21 9 2 4 3 13 11 9 4 2 3 14 10 6 24
8 Kristiansund 18 6 5 7 20 21 8 4 2 2 13 8 10 2 3 5 7 13 -1 23
9 Viking 17 6 4 7 23 28 8 4 2 2 13 9 9 2 2 5 10 19 -5 22
10 Lillestrøm 18 6 4 8 23 29 9 5 1 3 13 12 9 1 3 5 10 17 -6 22
11 Mjøndalen 18 4 8 6 26 30 9 3 4 2 15 15 9 1 4 4 11 15 -4 20
12 Stabæk 18 5 5 8 18 23 10 3 5 2 13 9 8 2 0 6 5 14 -5 20
13 Ranheim 18 5 3 10 20 32 9 2 1 6 13 21 9 3 2 4 7 11 -12 18
14 Tromsø 18 5 3 10 20 36 9 3 2 4 11 12 9 2 1 6 9 24 -16 18
15 Sarpsborg 08 17 2 8 7 18 24 8 2 4 2 9 9 9 0 4 5 9 15 -6 14
16 Strømsgodset 17 3 4 10 19 32 9 3 1 5 14 20 8 0 3 5 5 12 -13 13

Strømsgodset:
Eliteserien:
Norway: