Eliteserien prediction and preview: Brann modest favorites to beat Viking

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Competition: Norway Eliteserien
Date: Sun 01.December
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Brann Stadion (17317 seats)

This could be an interesting match as Brann have their presumed home advantage while Viking are ahead 4 points in the Eliteserien table.

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

This pitch has grass, which is not Viking's usual surface at their own ground. When playing on grass Viking have performed like this: Played 13 matches resulting in 2 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats with the goal stats 12-29 (scored/conceded).

Brann are staying put; they can neither be promoted or relegated this season and are fighting only for positions. Viking is no longer fighting for a cause; they can neither go up or down this season.

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Brann form and stats

5-6-3 (win-draw-lost) are the Eliteserien numbers at home for Brann so far this season.

The fans are hoping that Brann will strike back in this match, putting things right after the 0-6 away loss in the Eliteserien game against Strømsgodset (placed 12th). Ahead of that match, Brann won a home game hosting Odd (1-0).

Brann were outplayed and humiliated in their previous game, as mentioned in the paragraph above. They will need to reinstall their confidence before this one.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Brann have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found six games) they have won 3 times, drawn 2 and lost 1.

Brann have scored 13 league goals here from 14 matches, not a lot. Brann have only conceded 11 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Viking form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Viking so far with only 13 points returning home. The records show 3-4-7 (win-draw-lose). Viking seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

There were no winners in Viking's previous match, a Eliteserien home game that ended 2-2 vs Rosenborg (placed 4th). Prior to that match, the Viking manager B. Berntsen faced defeat when travelling to Haugesund and losing 0-1.

We have checked recent matches where Viking have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those nine games were W4-D2-L3.

Viking are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 18 away goals from 14 games (in the league). Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Viking have conceded 26 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Viking - Brann 2-1. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: 4 - 2 - 4 (Brann wins - draws - Viking wins). As for goals, 5 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 5 had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

VikingK. Thorstvedt
K. Thorstvedt
8 goals
BrannD. Bamba
D. Bamba
7 goals
VikingT. Høiland
T. Høiland
7 goals

Brann missing players

Viking missing players

Brann Viking
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
29 14 4 Played P 4 14 29
10 5 1 Won W 1 3 12
10 6 2 Drew D 1 4 8
9 3 1 Lost L 2 7 9
31 13 2 Scored S 6 18 50
32 11 2 Conceded C 5 26 41
86% 79% 75% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 86% 90%
62% 50% 25% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 71% 83%
41% 29% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 50% 59%
14% 7% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 43% 38%
10% 7% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 29% 21%
55% 50% 25% BTTS BTTS 25% 50% 52%
28% 36% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 36% 38%
31% 36% 50% Failed to Score F T 50% 29% 21%
 
6.4 7.6 7.2 Corners For (avg) C F 3.8 4.5 4.5
4 3.7 6.2 Corners Against (avg) C A 7 6.4 5.3
1.2 0.8 1 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 0.8 1.4 1.7
0 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 1
 
414 219 50 Total Shots T S 36 165 376
127 66 17 Shots on Target S O 11 56 136
24% 20% 12% Goal Efficiency G E 55% 32% 37%
Key stats in Eliteserien this season:
  • Brann has the fewest points from losing position (2)
  • Brann has the fewest scored goals (13) at home
  • Brann has the fewest scored goals in the second half (15)
  • Brann have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Molde 29 20 5 4 68 29 14 12 2 0 37 8 15 8 3 4 31 21 39 65
2 Bodø / Glimt 29 15 9 5 62 40 15 10 4 1 39 12 14 5 5 4 23 28 22 54
3 Odd 29 15 7 7 44 36 15 12 3 0 31 14 14 3 4 7 13 22 8 52
4 Rosenborg 29 13 10 6 50 39 14 10 3 1 31 14 15 3 7 5 19 25 11 49
5 Viking 29 12 8 9 50 41 15 9 4 2 32 15 14 3 4 7 18 26 9 44
6 Kristiansund 29 11 8 10 40 39 14 8 4 2 30 14 15 3 4 8 10 25 1 41
7 Brann 29 10 10 9 31 32 14 5 6 3 13 11 15 5 4 6 18 21 -1 40
8 Stabæk 29 10 9 10 37 35 15 5 7 3 20 14 14 5 2 7 17 21 2 39
9 Haugesund 29 8 13 8 40 36 14 4 6 4 18 16 15 4 7 4 22 20 4 37
10 Vålerenga 29 8 10 11 39 43 15 6 4 5 23 20 14 2 6 6 16 23 -4 34
11 Sarpsborg 08 29 5 14 10 30 40 15 4 9 2 18 16 14 1 5 8 12 24 -10 29
12 Strømsgodset 29 7 8 14 39 53 15 6 3 6 29 28 14 1 5 8 10 25 -14 29
13 Lillestrøm 29 7 8 14 32 47 14 5 4 5 16 19 15 2 4 9 16 28 -15 29
14 Tromsø 29 8 5 16 38 57 14 5 4 5 22 17 15 3 1 11 16 40 -19 29
15 Mjøndalen 29 5 12 12 37 52 14 4 6 4 21 22 15 1 6 8 16 30 -15 27
16 Ranheim 29 7 6 16 34 52 15 4 2 9 21 30 14 3 4 7 13 22 -18 27

Brann:
Viking:
Eliteserien:
Norway:

Read more about Eliteserien

Eliteserien is at the top of the Norwegian football league system. Seasons run from March to November with the 16 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 240 fixtures. When all these are played, the top team in the league table is the the “League Winner” while the winner of the cup in Norway is the “Norwegian Champion”.