Home advantage could prove decisive in Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht battle

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Competition: Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Competition: Mon 24.April
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: Sportcomplex De Herdgang (2500 seats)

Scrambling Jong PSV need to pull off a small shock when they welcome top team MVV Maastricht in the next league fixture. It’s 14th vs 6th and the home crowd will have moderate confidence.

Insights:
  • Jong PSV have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • MVV Maastricht have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

6 - 1 - 8 with 20-32. What does this mean? Well, these are the statistics for MVV Maastricht when playing on grass like they will do today. Wins - draws- losses and goals scored-conceded. MVV Maastricht play their home games on artifical turf so that's why we provide these numbers.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

L L W W W

Jong PSV form and stats

7-2-7 (win-draw-lost) are the Eerste Divisie numbers at home for Jong PSV so far this season. Jong PSV has recorded two wins in a row here at Sportcomplex De Herdgang, increasing their hopes of victory in this match.

In their previous game, the manager Ramzi led his Jong PSV to a defeat away at Jong Ajax. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Sportcomplex De Herdgang. A goal frenzy last time out for Jong, with a total of 9 goals in the match against Jong Ajax. Fun stuff to watch! Midfielder Saibari was the best player on the team with a rating of 9.45 (out of ten) in that game. Saibari scored one goal, signed up for two assists, hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 6 of 8 times and had 33 successful passes (of 37 total).

Prior to that was the away defeat visiting FC Dordrecht (0-1).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Jong PSV have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 8 games) they have won 6 times, drawn 2 and lost 0.

Betting people might want to know that 15 of the most recent 19 league games from this club have had goals from both teams.

There will be little rest for Jong PSV after this match as they are travelling to Heracles for a Eerste Divisie game in only four days.

A decent goal production from Jong in their home games so far, with 30 goals from 16 league matches. Jong PSV have conceded 26 from these games. When Jong hosts teams that live on the top of the table (like Jong Utrecht, FC Den Bosch, FC Dordrecht, FC Oss, Helmond Sport and Jong Ajax), the matches have ended over 2.5 goals 3 of 4 times.

W W W L W

MVV Maastricht form and stats

MVV Maastricht have only collected 14 points from their away games in the Eerste Divisie, after 4-2-10 (16 played).

MVV Maastricht go into this game after a win, the home game against FC Dordrecht that ended 2-1. van Bommel got a match rating of 8.01 in that game, top player of the team. Bommel scored one goal, hit the woodwork once, hit four key passes and had 37 successful passes (of 46 total).

Before that one, a nice away victory 2-1 at Helmond Sport.

We have checked recent matches where MVV Maastricht have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 10 games were 4 victories, 0 draws and 6 defeats.

Observe that 13 of this side's 17 most recent league games have ended with three or more goals.

After this away game MVV Maastricht return home for a Eerste Divisie game against Jong AZ. That game is only four sleeps after this.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Maastricht have scored 21 goals in 16 league games away. For MVV Maastricht, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

Jong PSV have won or drawn the last 5 fixtures (2-3-0) versus MVV Maastricht.

These opponents have battled earlier this season: MVV Maastricht - Jong PSV 1-1.

Top Goalscorers

JongJ. van Duiven
J. van Duiven
13 goals
MVV MaastrichtR. van Bommel
R. van Bommel
12 goals
MVV MaastrichtK. Kostons
K. Kostons
9 goals

Jong PSV missing players

MVV Maastricht missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Jong PSV MVV Maastricht
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
33 16 4 Played P 6 16 33
11 7 1 Won W 3 4 16
8 2 0 Drew D 1 2 5
14 7 3 Lost L 2 10 12
55 30 4 Scored S 10 21 60
56 26 8 Conceded C 12 39 58
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
85% 88% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 83% 88% 85%
67% 81% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 83% 81% 73%
36% 38% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 44% 52%
24% 25% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 31% 30%
70% 62% 50% BTTS BTTS 67% 69% 70%
9% 12% 0% Clean Sheets C S 17% 12% 15%
21% 25% 50% Failed to Score F T 17% 19% 15%
 
3.7 4.1 2.8 Corners for (avg) C F 3.8 3.8 3.5
4.8 4.8 4.8 Corners against (avg) C A 4 6.2 5.7
1.6 1 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 2 1.8
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
9.5 9.9 6 Shots (avg) S ( 10.3 9.1 10
4 4.6 2.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.3 3.3 4.1
41% 41% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 38% 40% 44%
 
11.1 9 7.8 Shots against (avg) S A 13.5 14.8 13.7
4.1 3.5 3.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6.3 6.2 5.2
Key stats in Eerste Divisie this season:
  • Jong PSV have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Jong PSV haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • MVV Maastricht have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • MVV Maastricht haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 PEC Zwolle 33 24 3 6 87 36 17 13 2 2 51 17 16 11 1 4 36 19 51 75
2 Heracles 33 22 4 7 91 41 17 13 3 1 56 17 16 9 1 6 35 24 50 70
3 Almere City 33 19 5 9 49 36 16 9 3 4 27 18 17 10 2 5 22 18 13 62
4 Willem II 32 16 8 8 55 35 16 10 2 4 27 15 16 6 6 4 28 20 20 56
5 VVV-Venlo 33 15 8 10 52 46 17 5 7 5 22 20 16 10 1 5 30 26 6 53
6 MVV Maastricht 33 16 5 12 60 58 17 12 3 2 39 19 16 4 2 10 21 39 2 53
7 FC Eindhoven 33 14 9 10 52 49 16 9 4 3 34 20 17 5 5 7 18 29 3 51
8 NAC Breda 32 15 4 13 54 55 16 9 2 5 29 21 16 6 2 8 25 34 -1 49
9 Graafschap 33 13 7 13 56 47 16 8 2 6 26 18 17 5 5 7 30 29 9 46
10 Jong AZ 33 12 8 13 54 52 17 8 6 3 36 21 16 4 2 10 18 31 2 44
11 ADO Den Haag 33 11 10 12 42 49 17 6 4 7 26 27 16 5 6 5 16 22 -7 43
12 Telstar 33 11 10 12 34 49 16 6 4 6 19 24 17 5 6 6 15 25 -15 43
13 Roda JC Kerkrade 33 12 6 15 43 47 16 7 3 6 24 21 17 5 3 9 19 26 -4 42
14 Jong PSV 33 11 8 14 55 56 16 7 2 7 30 26 17 4 6 7 25 30 -1 41
15 Jong Ajax 33 10 10 13 63 65 17 6 5 6 36 27 16 4 5 7 27 38 -2 40
16 Helmond Sport 33 10 8 15 33 50 16 7 3 6 23 20 17 3 5 9 10 30 -17 38
17 FC Oss 33 9 5 19 41 64 17 5 3 9 26 32 16 4 2 10 15 32 -23 32
18 FC Dordrecht 33 8 6 19 35 57 16 5 3 8 19 23 17 3 3 11 16 34 -22 30
19 FC Den Bosch 33 9 3 21 43 79 17 7 2 8 28 30 16 2 1 13 15 49 -36 30
20 Jong Utrecht 33 6 5 22 31 59 16 4 3 9 16 20 17 2 2 13 15 39 -28 23

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 PEC Zwolle 33 24 3 6 87 36 17 13 2 2 51 17 16 11 1 4 36 19 51 75
2 Heracles 33 22 4 7 91 41 17 13 3 1 56 17 16 9 1 6 35 24 50 70
3 Almere City 33 19 5 9 49 36 16 9 3 4 27 18 17 10 2 5 22 18 13 62
4 Willem II 32 16 8 8 55 35 16 10 2 4 27 15 16 6 6 4 28 20 20 56
5 VVV-Venlo 33 15 8 10 52 46 17 5 7 5 22 20 16 10 1 5 30 26 6 53
6 MVV Maastricht 33 16 5 12 60 58 17 12 3 2 39 19 16 4 2 10 21 39 2 53
7 FC Eindhoven 33 14 9 10 52 49 16 9 4 3 34 20 17 5 5 7 18 29 3 51
8 NAC Breda 32 15 4 13 54 55 16 9 2 5 29 21 16 6 2 8 25 34 -1 49
9 Graafschap 33 13 7 13 56 47 16 8 2 6 26 18 17 5 5 7 30 29 9 46
10 Jong AZ 33 12 8 13 54 52 17 8 6 3 36 21 16 4 2 10 18 31 2 44
11 ADO Den Haag 33 11 10 12 42 49 17 6 4 7 26 27 16 5 6 5 16 22 -7 43
12 Telstar 33 11 10 12 34 49 16 6 4 6 19 24 17 5 6 6 15 25 -15 43
13 Roda JC Kerkrade 33 12 6 15 43 47 16 7 3 6 24 21 17 5 3 9 19 26 -4 42
14 Jong PSV 33 11 8 14 55 56 16 7 2 7 30 26 17 4 6 7 25 30 -1 41
15 Jong Ajax 33 10 10 13 63 65 17 6 5 6 36 27 16 4 5 7 27 38 -2 40
16 Helmond Sport 33 10 8 15 33 50 16 7 3 6 23 20 17 3 5 9 10 30 -17 38
17 FC Oss 33 9 5 19 41 64 17 5 3 9 26 32 16 4 2 10 15 32 -23 32
18 FC Dordrecht 33 8 6 19 35 57 16 5 3 8 19 23 17 3 3 11 16 34 -22 30
19 FC Den Bosch 33 9 3 21 43 79 17 7 2 8 28 30 16 2 1 13 15 49 -36 30
20 Jong Utrecht 33 6 5 22 31 59 16 4 3 9 16 20 17 2 2 13 15 39 -28 23

More from Netherlands - Eerste Divisie

Read more about Eerste Divisie

The Eerste Divisie, meaning “First Division”, is the second highest level of football in the Netherlands. 20 teams play two fixtures against each other to form a final league table after 380 games. The winning team is promoted with a creative playoff system deciding whether more teams promote.