Liga MX preview: Can Toluca edge out victory against Querétaro?

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Competition: Sun 02.October
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez (31000 seats)

The Liga MX league table tells the truth about these participants up until now, with Toluca ahead of Querétaro by 15 points. Here's our preview:

Insights:
  • Toluca have the most points from losing position (10) in Liga MX
  • Querétaro have the fewest clean sheets (1) in Liga MX

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

D D L D L

Toluca form and stats

3-4-1 (win-draw-lost) are the Liga MX numbers at home for Toluca so far this season. Toluca have played two draws in a row on their own stadium.

Toluca drew their last game, 1-1 away at Mazatlán (placed 13th). The Toluca goalkeeper Volpi was crucial in the match against Mazatlán last time out, making six saves. The striker Fernández was announced as "man of the match" for Toluca with a rating of 7.55/10. Fernández hit three key passes.

Before that, Toluca drew at home versus Pumas UNAM.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Toluca's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played 4 games, won 0 matches, drawn 2 and lost 2.

Some stats: A review of the 11 most recent league games reveals that 9 of them had goals from both teams.

The Toluca fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 13 goals in 8 league matches. Toluca have conceded 12 from these games. It's worth mentioning that 6 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

L D L D L

Querétaro form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Querétaro so far with only 2 points returning home. The records show 0-2-6 (win-draw-lose). Three consecutive losses in away matches means Querétaro are growing more and more desperate for a good performance on the road.

Querétaro are travelling again after losing away to Leon in their previous match (1-3). Barrera got a match rating of 8.01 in that game, top player of the team. Barrera hit four key passes and dribled past the opponent 3 of 3 times.

A draw for Querétaro before that, at their own venue hosting Santos Laguna (3-3).

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Querétaro when being an outsider away as they are today, we find 7 matches with the visitors losing 5 times, drawing 2 and winning 0 games.

Take note! Both teams have scored goal(s) in 10 of this club's latest 12 league matches.

The visitors have scored 7 goals from 8 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. For Querétaro, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net. It's worth mentioning that 9 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: four - four - two (Toluca wins - draws - Querétaro wins). As for goals, four matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), six had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

TolucaJ. Meneses Villarroel
J. Meneses Villarroel
7 goals
TolucaC. Da Silva Sanvezzo
C. Da Silva Sanvezzo
4 goals
TolucaL. Fernández López
L. Fernández López
4 goals

Toluca missing players

Querétaro missing players

Toluca Querétaro
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
16 8 3 Played P 2 8 16
6 3 2 Won W 0 0 1
6 4 1 Drew D 0 2 6
4 1 0 Lost L 2 6 9
23 13 8 Scored S 1 7 17
22 12 5 Conceded C 4 18 31
94% 88% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
75% 88% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 94%
50% 62% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 62% 56%
44% 50% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 38% 31%
19% 25% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 12%
75% 88% 100% BTTS BTTS 50% 88% 75%
12% 12% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 6%
19% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 12% 19%
 
5.1 7 6.3 Corners for (avg) C F 1.5 3.5 4.3
5.9 4.8 6.3 Corners against (avg) C A 3.5 4.5 4.4
2.3 2.2 1.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.5 2.9 2.5
5 3 1 Red cards R C 1 2 2
 
13.6 15.4 20 Shots (avg) S ( 10.5 11.6 13.2
5.9 6.5 9 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3 4.4
24% 25% 30% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 29% 24%
 
16.4 16.5 18 Shots against (avg) S A 16.5 11.9 12.6
5.5 5.6 5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.5 3.9 3.9
Key stats in Liga MX this season:
  • All of Querétaro's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Querétaro have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Querétaro have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Querétaro have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Querétaro have the fewest clean sheets (1) in Liga MX
  • Querétaro have the the worst goal difference (-14) in Liga MX
  • Querétaro have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Querétaro have yet to win a game away.
  • Querétaro haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Toluca have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Toluca have the most points from losing position (10) in Liga MX
  • Toluca have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 América 16 11 2 3 36 16 8 6 2 0 20 6 8 5 0 3 16 10 20 35
2 Monterrey 16 10 4 2 29 13 7 5 2 0 14 5 9 5 2 2 15 8 16 34
3 Pachuca 16 9 4 3 28 15 9 6 2 1 17 6 7 3 2 2 11 9 13 31
4 Santos Laguna 16 9 3 4 35 21 8 7 1 0 21 7 8 2 2 4 14 14 14 30
5 Tigres UANL 16 8 3 5 21 14 8 5 1 2 12 6 8 3 2 3 9 8 7 27
6 Toluca 16 6 6 4 23 22 8 3 4 1 13 12 8 3 2 3 10 10 1 24
7 Puebla 16 4 10 2 24 21 8 3 5 0 12 9 8 1 5 2 12 12 3 22
8 Guadalajara 16 5 7 4 18 15 9 3 4 2 7 7 7 2 3 2 11 8 3 22
9 Leon 16 6 3 7 23 27 7 4 1 2 14 12 9 2 2 5 9 15 -4 21
10 Cruz Azul 16 6 3 7 24 33 8 4 1 3 13 11 8 2 2 4 11 22 -9 21
11 Necaxa 16 5 4 7 19 25 8 3 1 4 11 15 8 2 3 3 8 10 -6 19
12 Atletico San Luis 16 4 6 6 15 20 8 2 2 4 7 9 8 2 4 2 8 11 -5 18
13 Mazatlán 16 3 8 5 17 21 8 2 3 3 9 12 8 1 5 2 8 9 -4 17
14 Juarez 16 3 7 6 14 17 8 1 5 2 8 9 8 2 2 4 6 8 -3 16
15 Tijuana 16 4 4 8 16 28 8 2 2 4 9 13 8 2 2 4 7 15 -12 16
16 Pumas UNAM 16 2 8 6 20 28 9 2 4 3 11 15 7 0 4 3 9 13 -8 14
17 Atlas 16 2 4 10 15 27 7 2 2 3 9 10 9 0 2 7 6 17 -12 10
18 Querétaro 16 1 6 9 17 31 8 1 4 3 10 13 8 0 2 6 7 18 -14 9

Read more about Liga MX

Liga MX is the top division in the Mexican football league system. Each season the league has two tournaments, Apertura (opening) and Clausura (closing). This means that the Liga MX has two champions per season. The Liga MX is the fourth most attended football league in the world.