Football betting preview: Toluca vs Pachuca

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Competition: Sun 14.March
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez (31000 seats)

Toluca and Pachuca have both delivered a "par" performance so far, to use a golfing expression. Both hold mid-table positions in the Liga MX.

Insights:
  • Toluca have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Pachuca have the fewest conceded goals (4) away in Liga MX

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

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Toluca form and stats

Toluca are steadily winning Liga MX games and points here at Estadio Nemesio Díez. 5 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats is the summary from 8 games.

The Toluca goalkeeper Alfredo Saldivar Medina is looking to record 90 more "clean sheet" minutes as his team have now played 297 minutes without conceding a goal in the Liga MX.

Toluca shared the glory with Atletico San Luis in their last match, an away game that ended all square 0-0. A strong away win before that one, visiting Tigres UANL and winning 1-0.

A painful moment in the game against Atletico San Luis was the missed penalty kick from Alexis Canelo in the 67th minute. A goal there would obviously have changed the match and probably the outcome.

This is expected to be a close game, with Toluca perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Toluca as a small favourite), we find ten games. Toluca has won four of these, drawn two and lost four.

A decent goal production from Toluca in their home games so far, with 14 goals from 8 league matches. On the other hand, Toluca have conceded 9 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Pachuca form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team, who have the fewest conceded goals (4) away in Liga MX, on their Liga MX travels is 3 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat.

Pachuca won their last game, 2-1 versus Tijuana played at home. Preceding that game, the 2-2 draw paying a visit to Necaxa.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found ten similar matches played by Pachuca in our archives, and the results are: three wins for Pachuca, five draws and two defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Pachuca are hosting Tigres UANL in the Liga MX only four days away.

The attacking power of Pachuca when travelling is not overwhelming with 7 goals scored from 8 league matches away. The Pachuca defense is a tough nut to crack, having conceded less than half a goal per away game on average (4 goals in 8 games). It's worth mentioning that 7 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

The two sides played each other earlier this season: Pachuca - Toluca 0-0. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: five wins for Toluca, four draws and one win for Pachuca. Over 2,5 goals: six times; under 2,5 goals: four games.

Top Goalscorers

TolucaA. Canelo
A. Canelo
14 goals
TolucaM. Estrada Martínez
M. Estrada Martínez
6 goals
PachucaV. Guzmán Guzmán
V. Guzmán Guzmán
5 goals

Toluca missing players

Pachuca missing players

Toluca Pachuca
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
28 13 3 Played P 5 15 30
11 9 2 Won W 2 4 8
6 2 0 Drew D 3 7 12
11 2 1 Lost L 0 4 10
40 24 4 Scored S 7 13 28
39 11 2 Conceded C 3 12 28
89% 92% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 80% 87%
71% 69% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 53% 53%
54% 46% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 20% 23%
39% 38% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 13% 13%
29% 23% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 3%
61% 46% 33% BTTS BTTS 40% 33% 43%
32% 46% 67% Clean Sheets C S 60% 47% 30%
18% 15% 0% Failed to Score F T 20% 40% 40%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.2 1.7 2.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.7 1.9
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 5
 
10.9 12 13.7 Shots (avg) S ( 11 14.4 13.9
3.9 4.5 5.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3.5 3.7
37% 41% 24% Goal Efficiency G E 47% 25% 25%
Key stats in Liga MX this season:
  • Pachuca have the fewest conceded goals (4) away in Liga MX
  • Pachuca have the most clean sheets (7) away in Liga MX
  • Toluca have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Leon 17 12 4 1 27 14 8 7 1 0 15 7 9 5 3 1 12 7 13 40
2 Pumas UNAM 17 8 8 1 29 17 9 5 4 0 19 8 8 3 4 1 10 9 12 32
3 America 17 9 5 3 31 22 9 6 2 1 19 9 8 3 3 2 12 13 9 32
4 Cruz Azul 17 9 2 6 23 16 8 5 1 2 12 6 9 4 1 4 11 10 7 29
5 Monterrey 17 8 5 4 26 21 8 4 3 1 13 9 9 4 2 3 13 12 5 29
6 Tigres UANL 17 7 7 3 27 16 9 4 4 1 15 8 8 3 3 2 12 8 11 28
7 Guadalajara 17 7 5 5 20 17 9 4 3 2 11 9 8 3 2 3 9 8 3 26
8 Santos Laguna 17 7 4 6 24 20 8 5 2 1 14 5 9 2 2 5 10 15 4 25
9 Pachuca 17 6 7 4 18 14 9 3 3 3 11 10 8 3 4 1 7 4 4 25
10 Necaxa 17 7 3 7 16 20 9 4 1 4 10 12 8 3 2 3 6 8 -4 24
11 Toluca 17 6 3 8 23 28 8 5 1 2 14 9 9 1 2 6 9 19 -5 21
12 Puebla 17 6 2 9 22 25 8 2 2 4 12 13 9 4 0 5 10 12 -3 20
13 Juarez 17 4 7 6 16 19 9 3 4 2 6 6 8 1 3 4 10 13 -3 19
14 Mazatlan 17 4 4 9 24 31 8 3 2 3 11 13 9 1 2 6 13 18 -7 16
15 Tijuana 17 4 3 10 12 27 9 4 2 3 9 9 8 0 1 7 3 18 -15 15
16 Atlas 17 3 5 9 13 20 8 2 1 5 5 8 9 1 4 4 8 12 -7 14
17 Queretaro 17 3 4 10 23 28 8 3 2 3 15 11 9 0 2 7 8 17 -5 13
18 Atletico San Luis 17 3 2 12 16 35 9 2 2 5 9 18 8 1 0 7 7 17 -19 11

Read more about Liga MX

Liga MX is the top division in the Mexican football league system. Each season the league has two tournaments, Apertura (opening) and Clausura (closing). This means that the Liga MX has two champions per season. The Liga MX is the fourth most attended football league in the world.