Liga MX preview: Can Toluca edge out victory against Mazatlán?

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Competition: Tue 17.August
Match begins: 22:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez (31000 seats)

Mazatlán have come here for an interesting duel versus the hosting Toluca. Get smart on the match with this in-depth Liga MX preview!

Insights:
  • Toluca have the most scored goals (8) in Liga MX

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Toluca and Mazatlán.

L W W W L

Toluca form and stats

1 victory, 0 draws and 0 defeats. That’s what Toluca, who have the most scored goals (8) in Liga MX, have to build on here at Estadio Nemesio Díez in the Liga MX.

Toluca are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 0-4 away versus Cruz Azul. Midfield player Claudio Baeza got a match rating of 7.22 in that game, the max score being 10. Baeza hit two key passes and had 45 successful passes (of 50 total). Toluca were outplayed and humiliated in their previous game, as mentioned in the paragraph above. They will need to reinstall their confidence before this one.

Before that match, a win away at Tijuana.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Toluca have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eleven games) they have won seven times, drawn two and lost two.

There will be little rest for Toluca after this match as they are travelling to Atlas for a Liga MX game in only four days.

It's still early days, but we have some goal stats for the Toluca at home in the league. 3 on target and 1 scored by the opposition; from 1 match.

L D W W D

Mazatlán form and stats

Things could have gone better for Mazatlán in their Liga MX away matches, but 3 points from 2 games is all right.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Mazatlán, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 0-3 versus Leon (placed 2nd). Jorge Padilla got a match rating of 6.85 in that game, top player of the team. Padilla hit two key passes.

Preceding that match was the 1-1 draw at home vs Monterrey.

We have checked recent matches where Mazatlán have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those seven games were one victory, zero draws and six defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Mazatlán are hosting Tigres UANL in the Liga MX only three days away.

It's early days yet, but Mazatlán has scored 2 and conceded 3 goals from their travels in the league so far (2 games).

Head 2 Head

Previous two meetings between these teams: Toluca won one, Mazatlán were winners in one and we saw zero draws. two games with over 2,5 goals, zero matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

TolucaR. López Gómez
R. López Gómez
2 goals
TolucaR. Sambueza
R. Sambueza
2 goals
TolucaA. Canelo
A. Canelo
2 goals

Toluca missing players

Mazatlán missing players

Toluca Mazatlán
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
4 1 1 Played P 2 2 4
3 1 1 Won W 1 1 2
0 0 0 Drew D 0 0 1
1 0 0 Lost L 1 1 1
8 3 3 Scored S 2 2 5
6 1 1 Conceded C 3 3 5
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 100%
75% 100% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 50% 50%
75% 100% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
50% 100% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 0% 50%
25% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 50% 25%
25% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 50% 25%
 
5.2 6 6 Corners for (avg) C F 3 3 3
6 8 8 Corners against (avg) C A 4 4 4.5
2.5 1 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.5 2
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
13.5 14 14 Shots (avg) S ( 9 9 10.5
6 8 8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 2.5 3
33% 38% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 40% 42%
Key stats in Liga MX this season:
  • Toluca have the most conceded goals in the first half (5) in Liga MX
  • Toluca have the most scored goals (8) in Liga MX
Toluca Last season Mazatlán
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
38 18   Played P   17 34
13 11   Won W   3 10
8 3   Drew D   2 7
17 4   Lost L   12 17
55 34   Scored S   20 43
60 21   Conceded C   34 57
92% 94%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   100% 91%
76% 78%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   76% 71%
61% 56%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   65% 59%
42% 39%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   41% 35%
24% 22%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   24% 26%
66% 56%   BTTS BTTS   59% 56%
24% 33%   Clean Sheets C S   6% 21%
18% 17%   Failed to Score F T   35% 32%
 
4.4 5.2   Corners for (avg) C F   3.2 3.5
4.9 5.4   Corners against (avg) C A   5.3 5
2.3 1.9   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   2.4 2.1
2 1   Red cards R C   5 7
 
10.7 11.6   Shots (avg) S (   10 10.4
3.5 4   Shots on Target (avg) S O   2.9 3
41% 47%   Goal Efficiency G E   41% 42%

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Toluca 4 3 0 1 8 6 1 1 0 0 3 1 3 2 0 1 5 5 2 9
2 Leon 4 3 0 1 6 5 2 2 0 0 5 1 2 1 0 1 1 4 1 9
3 Monterrey 4 2 2 0 7 3 3 2 1 0 6 2 1 0 1 0 1 1 4 8
4 Cruz Azul 4 2 1 1 7 4 2 1 0 1 4 2 2 1 1 0 3 2 3 7
5 America 3 2 1 0 4 1 2 2 0 0 4 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 3 7
6 Atlas 3 2 1 0 3 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 2 1 1 0 1 0 3 7
7 Atletico San Luis 4 2 1 1 6 5 2 0 1 1 1 3 2 2 0 0 5 2 1 7
8 Mazatlán 4 2 1 1 5 5 2 1 1 0 3 2 2 1 0 1 2 3 0 7
9 Santos Laguna 3 1 2 0 5 2 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 1 1 0 4 1 3 5
10 Tigres UANL 4 1 2 1 5 6 1 0 1 0 1 1 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 5
11 Guadalajara 3 1 1 1 5 4 2 0 1 1 3 4 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 4
12 Pachuca 4 1 0 3 6 6 2 1 0 1 4 1 2 0 0 2 2 5 0 3
13 Querétaro 4 0 3 1 1 2 2 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 2 0 1 1 -1 3
14 Necaxa 4 1 0 3 4 7 2 0 0 2 1 5 2 1 0 1 3 2 -3 3
15 Juarez 4 0 2 2 4 8 2 0 1 1 2 4 2 0 1 1 2 4 -4 2
16 Puebla 4 0 2 2 2 6 2 0 1 1 1 3 2 0 1 1 1 3 -4 2
17 Pumas UNAM 4 0 2 2 1 5 3 0 2 1 1 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -4 2
18 Tijuana 4 0 1 3 3 7 2 0 0 2 1 4 2 0 1 1 2 3 -4 1

Read more about Liga MX

Liga MX is the top division in the Mexican football league system. Each season the league has two tournaments, Apertura (opening) and Clausura (closing). This means that the Liga MX has two champions per season. The Liga MX is the fourth most attended football league in the world.